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by Devesh Jaganath in World Cup Predictions
Germany and Luxembourg will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers on Friday at the Rhein-Neckar Arena in Sinsheim. Die Mannschaft are in third place in Group A, while the Red Lions are bottom of the standings. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Germany have featured in every World Cup since they were banned from entering in 1950, and they are assured of at least a play-off spot this year based on Nations League rankings.
Die Nationalelf suffered a shock 2-0 defeat to Slovakia in their first qualifying match last month, but bounced back with an impressive 3-1 victory over Northern Ireland at home three days later.
The hosts have not been in the best form lately, with only one win in their last five matches in all competitions. They are also without the in-form Nick Woltemade, who is ruled out through illness.
Meanwhile, following back-to-back defeats in the first two games of these qualifiers last month, Luxembourg dropped four spots in the FIFA World Rankings, now down to 96th place.
Die Roten Lowen were beaten 3-1 by Northern Ireland in their opener, but they were bitterly unlucky to lose 1-0 to Slovakia in game two, conceding in stoppage time.
The visitors are now winless in their last five matches across all competitions and have only won one of their last 14 since March of last year.
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The Best Betting Odds for Germany v Luxembourg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 15 | 41 |
|
|
1.04 | 15 | 51 |
|
|
1.06 | 12 | 46 |
|
|
1.03 | 12 | 29 |
|
|
1.03 | 14 | 46 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Germany and Luxembourg?
Our prediction for the Germany vs Luxembourg match is: Germany wins both halves & under 4.5 total goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2025 between Germany and Luxembourg in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.02% for a win of Germany against Luxembourg with odds of 1.07 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Germany vs Luxembourg is 21.75% with odds of 16.5 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Luxembourg vs Germany with odds of 60 at Tonybet.
Germany vs Luxembourg Form
Germany and Luxembourg's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
Germany and Luxembourg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2025 - World Cup
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2025 - World Cup
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2025 - World Cup
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Germany vs Luxembourg last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
Germany
Luxembourg
F. Wirtz
(1 Goals)
,
N. Amiri
(1 Goals)
,
S. Gnabry
(1 Goals)
A. Dardari
(1 Goals)
Germany - Luxembourg Key Points
- Five of Germany’s last seven games have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Germany have failed to score in two of their last three matches.
- Seven of Luxembourg’s last 10 matches have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Luxembourg are winless in their last five matches across all competitions.
- Luxembourg have failed to score in three of their last four matches.
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Our Germany vs Luxembourg Prediction
Given the gulf in class between these sides and the home advantage, it is unsurprising to see Germany installed as one of the shortest-priced favourites on matchday three of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers.
However, while we firmly expect Die Mannschaft to win this match, we are not convinced that it will be by a huge margin, given their recent form. Additionally, while Luxembourg are winless in five games, they have not lost a match by 4+ goals in over two years. Therefore, our Germany vs Luxembourg prediction is Germany wins both halves & under 4.5 total goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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