Germany vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Prediction
More draws than wins, narrow margins and few goals have been the order in Group 3 of League A in the UEFA Nations League, and fans will be craving some big action when Germany gets to host Italy next. These two sides are separated by two points; Italy leads on five and Germany are third on two. For the hosts, the Nations League hasn’t been very rosy; they have three straight draws in this group, and going into Match Day 4 they’ll want to go for more. In the history of the Nations League, Germany have played 13 matches, and won just two – both against Ukraine. At one point they were thrashed 6-0 by Spain. Though unbeaten in their last 12 matches, Germany have four straight draws going into this game. Each of their last four matches have ended 1-1 and none of the last five has produced over 2.5 goals, and one of these four was against Italy. Four of their last five meetings have also ended in draws at 90 minutes.
Italy are winless in their last five matches against Germany, though they’ve only lost once inside 90 minutes. In a group with just two wins, theirs over Hungary is one of them, and they will be looking for a second win to boost their chances of finishing top. This is a tricky group, with any of the four teams in with a chance to go top, thus we expect a cautious approach from Italy. The visitors aren’t known for their scoring prowess; in the last 10 matches, they’ve managed more than a goal on three occasions only. With two clean sheets only in the last 10, they’ve also been lacking defensively. Italy are coming from a 0-0 draw with England, a game they had a fair share of scoring opportunities but were denied by the superb Aaron Ramsdale. Three of their last five away matches have ended in under 2.5 goals and they’ve failed to score in them. Notably, Italy haven’t lost any of their last five away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Germany v Italy Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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|
1.73 | 3.75 | 5 |
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1.75 | 3.8 | 5.07 |
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1.75 | 3.8 | 5.07 |
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1.68 | 3.8 | 4.9 |
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|
1.7 | 3.7 | 5.5 |
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Who will win the Germany vs Italy Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Germany and Italy of UEFA Nations League on 6/14/22 :
- There is a probability of % ⭐ for Germany to win this match against Italy ⚽ with odds of 1.75 found at 1xbet.
- 1xbet ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.8 which implies a probability of %.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Italy to win the match are about 5.5 at Betwinner. That means a probability of %.
Germany vs Italy Form
Germany and Italy's standings in the UEFA Nations League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
3
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Germany and Italy Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2021 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jun 2022 - Finalissima 2022
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2022 - World Cup
Germany against Italy : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2016 - International Friendlies
Germany against Italy Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
G. Promel
I. Provedel
Germany - Italy Key Points
- Three of Italy’s last five away matches ended in under 2.5 goals.
- Germany are unbeaten in their last 12 matches.
- Italy are unbeaten in five away matches.
- Germany’s last five matches have all produced under 2.5 goals.
- Four of the last five meetings between these two nations have ended in draws at 90 minutes.
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Our Germany vs Italy Prediction
Italy and Germany matches have been tight in most of their recent meetings. These two face off on the back of shaky performances in the recent games, and more so in the Nations League. Germany, seeking their first win, will want to go all out here, but Italy are expected to play a cautious game, with a keen focus on defending. Not many goals have been witnessed in these two nations’ recent games and here we will stick with under 2.5 goals.
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