Gabon vs Ivory Coast Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

World - World Cup

Gabon
09/09/2025 15:00
Ivory Coast

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in World Cup Predictions

The biggest test in Ivory Coast’s chase for a fourth appearance at a FIFA World Cup awaits in Franceville. The African champions are set to travel to Gabon for what in the end could be the decisive match in Group F of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. One point separates the two nations, and below is our analysis of the match as well as two predictions.

Hosts Gabon head into this game placed second. They have, in these qualifiers, their best opportunity to make a first-ever World Cup appearance. The Panthers have qualified for Africa's most prestigious tournament, the Afrcian Cup of Nations, nine times and will feel a place among the world’s best is due.

That quest will meet massive resistance in the shape of Ivory Coast. The visitors arrive for the match looking to protect not just their lead but also extend their head-to-head advantage. Across the last decade these two have faced off six times, with Ivory Coast winning four.

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Gabon v Ivory Coast Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.95 2.75 2.16
1xbet
4.19 2.99 2.09
Melbet
3.98 2.99 2.14
Betwinner
4.12 2.8 2.21
Bet365
4 3 2.15
Check all Gabon vs Ivory Coast odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Gabon and Ivory Coast?

Our prediction for the Gabon vs Ivory Coast match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Gabon and Ivory Coast in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.79% for a win of Gabon against Ivory Coast with odds of 4.2 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gabon vs Ivory Coast is 16.76% with odds of 3 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 40.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Ivory Coast vs Gabon with odds of 2.21 at Betwinner.

Gabon - Ivory Coast Prediction and Best Odds:

Gabon Ivory Coast Prediction Probability Odds
Gabon wins 42.79% 4.2 at Betway
Under 2.5 70.55% 1.67 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 83.33% 1.6 at Betsson
Half-time: Ivory Coast / Full-time: Gabon 18.43% 41 at Bet365

Gabon vs Ivory Coast Form

Gabon and Ivory Coast's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Ivory Coast
26 10 8 2 0 +25
2 Gabon
25 10 8 1 1 +13

Gabon and Ivory Coast Last Matches

Gabon
Gabon Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Seychelles
0 :  4
Gabon

9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Gabon
2 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Niger
4 :  3
Gabon

23 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Kenya
1 :  2
Gabon

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Gabon
3 :  0
Seychelles

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Central African Republic
0 :  1
Gabon
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Gabon
2 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Gabon
3 :  0
Seychelles

15 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Gabon
1 :  5
Morocco

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Gabon
0 :  0
Lesotho

10 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Gabon
2 :  0
Central African Republic

11 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Gabon
3 :  2
Gambia
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Seychelles
0 :  4
Gabon

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Niger
4 :  3
Gabon

23 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Kenya
1 :  2
Gabon

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Central African Republic
0 :  1
Gabon

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Lesotho
0 :  2
Gabon

6 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Morocco
4 :  1
Gabon
Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast Last matches
W W W L D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Burundi

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Ivory Coast

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
1 :  0
Ivory Coast

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Gambia

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Burundi
0 :  1
Ivory Coast

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
4 :  0
Chad
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Burundi

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Gambia

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
4 :  0
Chad

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
4 :  1
Sierra Leone

6 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
2 :  0
Zambia

7 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Gabon
W L L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Ivory Coast

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
1 :  0
Ivory Coast

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Burundi
0 :  1
Ivory Coast

15 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Zambia
1 :  0
Ivory Coast

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Sierra Leone
1 :  0
Ivory Coast

10 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Chad
0 :  2
Ivory Coast

Gabon vs Ivory Coast Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Gabon

0 %

Draw

0 %

Ivory Coast

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

7 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Gabon

Gabon - Ivory Coast: Form Analysis

Gabon momentarily took leadership of this group last week, courtesy of a 4-0 away win in Seychelles. That was before Ivory Coast played Burundi. Now the Panthers have the chance to go top and stay there by their own terms.

Beating Seychelles moved Gabon to 18 points. It increasingly seems they will have a chance at the playoffs just in case they fail to finish top in this group.

Among the second-placed teams, Gabon rank highest. They, however, don’t measure up when it comes to matches against Ivory Coast. The hosts lost 1-0 in their first Group F meeting and fell 3-0 the last time they hosted the Ivorians. 

Gabon are Ivory Coast’s biggest challengers in the chase for a fourth World Cup appearance.

Ivory Coast are the bookies’ favorites to collect three points from this match, and it isn’t hard to see why. They don’t just have the head-to-head advantage but are also the only undefeated side in this group.

The African champions have also not conceded a goal in this qualification campaign, and their run is inclusive of a 1-0 win at home against Gabon.

The Elephants have the mental edge, having only lost once in six meetings with Gabon. In their latest outing, Emerse Fae’s charges earned a hard-fought 1-0 win over Burundi and hit 19 points.

Another win here will push them even closer to a fourth World Cup appearance.

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Gabon vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Missing players

Gabon
Gabon
Midfielder

U. Mboula

Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast

Gabon & Ivory Coast Squad Analysis

Passionate home support will be one of the major strengths for Gabon, but they bring a lot too in terms of player quality. Denis Bouanga scored three in the last game, and with that, edged ahead of Mohamed Salah as the top scorer in the qualifiers.

The LAFC forward is enjoying a good season and will target being the first to score against Ivory Coast in this group. Bouanga is proving a great replacement for the aging Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

In this game he will surely benefit from the support of Teddy Averlant and David Sambissa from the flanks.

An aging Gabon backline could find things tough against Ivory Coast’s youthful attack.

While Gabon have been fluid at home, they can’t afford any mistakes in the backline. Ivory Coast have a lethal attack coming up for this match.

A brand of youthful forwards, including Manchester United’s Amad Diallo and Sunderland’s Simon Adingra, will be on show. They won’t need a second invitation to isolate Gabon veteran Bruno Ecuele Manga as a weak point. The 37-year-old is experienced but might struggle in this match.

Another positive is Seko Fofana’s return to the team. His versatility means he helps defensively, while chipping in with important goals. The Rennes man has scored three times in the current qualifiers.

Gabon - Ivory Coast Key Points

  1. Ivory Coast’s last eight away matches produced under 2.5 goals.
  2. Both teams scored in only two of Ivory Coast’s last 10 away games.
  3. At least one side failed to score in six of Gabon’s last 10 home outings.
  4. Gabon failed to score in their two home matches against Ivory Coast.
  5. Three of Gabon’s last five home matches produced under 2.5 goals.
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Our Gabon vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Ivory Coast are the favorites to triumph here, but facing their biggest challengers in the group, in an away game, makes this a tough outing. We can’t rule out the significance of home support even though Gabon have struggled when hosting this match.Considering these factors and the two nations’ recent forms, we do not expect a high-scoring match.

In their last four home games, Gabon were only dominant against minnows Seychelles. On the other hand, Ivory Coast haven't managed more than a goal in their last six away matches. As such, our prediction for Gabon v Ivory Coast is for under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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Gabon vs Ivory Coast Alternative Predictions

Ivory Coast to win

Odds 2

Our second prediction will be for Ivory Coast to win this match. With history and form favoring the visitors, Gabon might suffer in this game. They are facing one of the toughest defences in these qualifiers, a team yet to concede after seven rounds. At the same time, Ivory Coast have dominated previous meetings with Gabon.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gabon Ivory Coast

Gabon vs Ivory Coast Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Gabon wins 3.75 4.2 +12.0%
Draw 3.2 3 -6.3%
Ivory Coast wins 2.05 2.21 +7.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Gabon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 12.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 23.8% (-2.9%)

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Gabon vs Ivory Coast - FAQs

The Gabon v Ivory Coast match will be played on Tuesday, 9th September. 

The Gabon v Ivory Coast match will be played at the Franceville Stadium in Gabon.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.