Freiburg vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

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Germany - Bundesliga

Freiburg
09/11/2025 09:30
St. Pauli

Prediction :

 

Freiburg wins

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

St Pauli could see themselves in the 2025-26 Bundesliga relegation zone if they don’t change things starting with the matchday 10 fixture against Freiburg. This match on Sunday at Europa-Park-Stadion between the 11th-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer and the 15th-placed Kiezkicker comes with our prediction of a home win.

With ten points (W2, D4, L3), Freiburg are only four points above the relegation zone. St Pauli have only seven points (W2, D1, L6) and find themselves just a point above the bottom three ahead of this round.

Freiburg won 3-1 away at Nice in the Europa League, making it three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five competitive matches. One of those wins was in the DFB Pokal, and the hosts would be keen to translate that success to the league.

The hosts drew 0-0 away at Union Berlin last matchday, making it four draws and a loss from their five recent league games. At home, they have one win and two draws.

A 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Borussia Monchengladbach last matchday extended St Pauli’s unwanted record. They have now lost six matches in a row in the league, and worryingly, five of those were without scoring.

That’s a malaise on the road too, as St Pauli lost their recent three league trips.

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Freiburg v St. Pauli Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.83 3.65 4.5
1xbet
1.86 3.88 4.55
Melbet
1.77 3.62 4.76
Betwinner
1.78 3.62 4.6
Bet365
1.75 3.6 4.75
Check all Freiburg vs St. Pauli odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and St. Pauli?

Our prediction for the Freiburg vs St. Pauli match is: Freiburg wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Freiburg and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.38% for a win of Freiburg against St. Pauli with odds of 1.88 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs St. Pauli is 28.47% with odds of 3.88 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.15% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Freiburg with odds of 5 at Tonybet.

Freiburg - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:

Freiburg St. Pauli Prediction Probability Odds
Freiburg wins 52.38% 1.88 at Shangrila
Under 2.5 56.79% 2 at Stake
Both Team To Score: No 56.25%
Half-time / Full-time : Freiburg/Freiburg 19.78% 2.75 at Bet365

Freiburg vs St. Pauli Form

Freiburg and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Freiburg
47 34 13 8 13 -6
18 St. Pauli
26 34 6 8 20 -31

Freiburg and St. Pauli Last Matches

Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
D W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Nice
1 :  3
Freiburg

1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Freiburg

29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Fortuna Dusseldorf
1 :  3
Freiburg

26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Freiburg

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Freiburg
2 :  0
Utrecht

19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt
L W W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Freiburg
2 :  0
Utrecht

19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  1
Hoffenheim

24 Sept 2025 - Europa League

Freiburg
2 :  1
FC Basel 1893

13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  1
Stuttgart

23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Augsburg
D D L W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Nice
1 :  3
Freiburg

1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Freiburg

29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Fortuna Dusseldorf
1 :  3
Freiburg

26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Freiburg

5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  0
Freiburg

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  1
Freiburg
St. Pauli
St. Pauli Last matches
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  4
Mönchengladbach

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

St. Pauli
2 :  2
Hoffenheim

25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  0
St. Pauli

19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  3
Hoffenheim

4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  0
St. Pauli

27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen
D W L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  4
Mönchengladbach

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

St. Pauli
2 :  2
Hoffenheim

19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  3
Hoffenheim

27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Augsburg

23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
3 :  3
Borussia Dortmund
D W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  0
St. Pauli

4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  0
St. Pauli

19 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
2 :  0
St. Pauli

3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Holstein Kiel
1 :  1
St. Pauli

29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  2
St. Pauli

16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal

Eintracht Norderstedt
0 :  0
St. Pauli

Freiburg vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Freiburg

50 %

Draw

0 %

St. Pauli

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Freiburg

28 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  3
St. Pauli

Freiburg against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11

Freiburg

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
N. Atubolu
29
P. Treu
28
M. Ginter
3
P. Lienhart
30
C. Gunter
8
M. Eggestein
44
J. Manzambi
19
J. Beste
14
Y. Suzuki
32
V. Grifo
20
J. Adamu
28
M. Pereira Lage
19
M. Kaars
24
C. Metcalfe
23
L. Oppie
16
J. Fujita
6
J. Sands
11
A. Pyrka
3
K. Mets
8
E. Smith
5
H. Wahl
22
N. Vasilj

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

St. Pauli

Substitutes

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

F. Muller

Defender

J. Makengo

C. Gunter 59'

M. Rosenfelder

J. Beste 88'

A. Jung

L. Kubler

Midfielder

P. Osterhage

Y. Suzuki 71'

Forward

I. Matanovic

J. Adamu 58'

D. Scherhant

V. Grifo 58'

L. Holer

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Goalkeeper

B. Voll

Defender

F. Stevens

J. Robatsch

L. Ritzka

Midfielder

J. Irvine

J. Sands 68'

Forward

A. Ceesay

K. Mets 82'

D. Sinani

C. Metcalfe 82'

O. Afolayan

A. Hountondji

M. Kaars 59'

Missing players

Freiburg
Freiburg
Midfielder

D. Kyereh

Forward

C. Irie

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Defender

A. Dzwigala

D. Nemeth

Midfielder

R. Jones

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Freiburg
CD Huachipato St. Pauli
Top Goalscorer
Croatia I. Matanovic (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Luxembourg D. Sinani (5 Goals)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (4 Assists) , 
Switzerland J. Manzambi (4 Assists) , 
Germany M. Ginter (4 Assists)
Best assists
Japan J. Fujita (3 Assists)

Freiburg - St. Pauli Key Points

  1. Freiburg saw their four home league matches this season produce BTTS.
  2. Freiburg won three of their last five competitive matches.
  3. St. Pauli lost five of their recent six home league matches without scoring.
  4. St. Pauli lost all three of their recent away league games.
  5. Freiburg won 1-0 when these sides last met in February.
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Our Freiburg vs St. Pauli Prediction

After losing six in a row in the Bundesliga, St Pauli are in grave danger of getting dragged into the relegation zone. With only a point separating them from the bottom three, another adverse result here will pull them down the table. Freiburg haven’t quite excelled in this competition but have been successful in recent weeks in the DFB Pokal and the Europa League competitions.

Freiburg are likely to translate continental success to the league to address their mounting concerns, and that’s why our Freiburg vs St. Pauli prediction is Freiburg wins.

Prediction :

 

Freiburg wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg St. Pauli

Freiburg vs St. Pauli Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Freiburg wins 1.83 1.88 +2.7%
Draw 3.7 3.88 +4.9%
St. Pauli wins 4.3 5 +16.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Freiburg is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 2.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 53.2% (-1.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Freiburg vs St. Pauli Prediction