Freiburg vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Freiburg will hope to push for European qualification spots when the Bundesliga restarts for them with a matchday 16 fixture against a struggling Hamburg. This match on Saturday in Freiburg between the ninth-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer and the 13th-placed Die Rothosen comes with our prediction of a home win with both teams scoring.
With 20 points from 15 matches (W5, D5, L5), Freiburg spent the winter break six points outside European qualification spots. Hamburg’s 16 points (W4, D4, L7) saw them stay four points above the relegation zone.
Freiburg won 4-3 away at Wolfsburg, going into the winter break on a high with four wins from their last six competitive matches (D1, L1). Their lone defeat in that sequence came in the Bundesliga, where Freiburg had two wins and a draw from their last four matches.
It seems to get better at home for Freiburg, as they have five wins and a draw from their last six competitive matches at this venue.
Hamburg drew 1-1 at home against Eintracht Frankfurt before the winter break, extending their indifferent run. The visitors have five losses from their last nine league games (W2, D2), keeping them closer to the relegation zone.
One big concern for Hamburg is their dire away form, as they were beaten in five of their last six league trips (D1), including four in a row.
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Freiburg v Hamburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.78 | 3.65 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.56 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.56 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.55 | 4.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Hamburg match is: Freiburg win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Freiburg and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.27% for a win of Freiburg against Hamburg with odds of 1.84 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Hamburg is 23.56% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Freiburg with odds of 4.98 at 888Starz.
Freiburg - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Hamburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 64.27% | 1.84 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 51.46% | 1.98 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Freiburg/Freiburg | 34.19% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Freiburg vs Hamburg Form
Freiburg and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 |
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
Freiburg and Hamburg Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
19 Apr 2022 - DFB Pokal
1 Dec 2017 - Bundesliga
Freiburg against Hamburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
F. Muller
DefenderJ. Makengo
A. Jung
N. Hofler
P. Osterhage
J. Beste
J. Adamu
I. Matanovic
D. Scherhant
H. Hermann
DefenderG. Gocholeishvili
W. Mikelbrencis
G. Ramos
J. Torunarigha
I. Pherai
ForwardR. Konigsdorffer
O. Megeed
A. Rossing Lelesiit
Missing players
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderD. Kyereh
ForwardE. Dinkci
W. Omari
MidfielderA. Gronbaek
ForwardY. Poulsen
R. Glatzel
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Hamburg
I. Matanovic
(11 Goals)
F. Vieira
(7 Goals)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Ginter
(4 Assists)
F. Vieira
(5 Assists)
Freiburg - Hamburg Key Points
- Freiburg won five of their last six home matches in all competitions.
- Five of Freiburg’s last six league games saw both teams score goals.
- In six of their seven home league games this season, Freiburg saw BTTS.
- Hamburg saw both teams score goals in six of their last seven league games.
- Hamburg lost five of their last six league trips including four in a row.
- Freiburg won their last two competitive matches against Hamburg with both matches producing BTTS.
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Our Freiburg vs Hamburg Prediction
Freiburg are only four points above Hamburg, but their recent form has been remarkably different. Freiburg have won four of their last six competitive matches, and their form seems to be improving at home. The hosts have five wins from their last six home matches in all competitions, drawing the other. Hamburg have had indifferent results in recent weeks, spending the winter break closer to the relegation zone.
Hamburg’s dire record on the road could continue here, although not without scoring. That’s why our Freiburg vs Hamburg prediction is Freiburg win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Hamburg
| Freiburg vs Hamburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 1.72 | 1.84 | +7.0% |
| Draw | 4.27 | 3.8 | -11.0% |
| Hamburg wins | 5.03 | 4.98 | -1.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.1% and is now 54.3% (-3.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
