Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund will look to continue their top-two push in the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign as they travel to Freiburg on Sunday for a matchday 14 fixture. This match at Europa-Park-Stadion between the ninth-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer and the third-placed ‘Die Borussen’ comes with our prediction of an away win.
Freiburg’s 16 points (W4, D4, L5) put them six points outside the European qualification places, with three others on the same tally. Dortmund’s 28 points (W8, D4, L1) see them start this round one point behind second and five points ahead of fourth.
A 1-0 home win over Salzburg in the Europa League this week made it three wins in four competitive games for Freiburg. The hosts need to translate that into domestic success, however, as they lost 2-1 away at Heidenheim last weekend in the league.
Home form is a different proposition, with Freiburg winning three and drawing two of their last five league fixtures at this venue.
Dortmund were held to a 2-2 home draw by Bodo/Glimt in the Champions League midweek fixture. That made it just three wins for the visitors in their last eight competitive games (D3, L2).
League form is much different, as Dortmund won four of their last six Bundesliga games (D2), including a 2-0 home win over Hoffenheim last weekend. Their last away match was a 2-1 win at Leverkusen.
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The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
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3.25 | 3.4 | 2.15 |
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3.2 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
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3.2 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
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3.4 | 3.45 | 2.08 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Borussia Dortmund wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/12/2025 between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.37% for a win of Freiburg against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 3.44 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund is 23.76% with odds of 3.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg with odds of 2.25 at 888Starz.
Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
|
9
|
16 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 |
Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
12 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderD. Kyereh
ForwardE. Dinkci
W. Anton
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
V. Grifo
(8 Goals)
V. Grifo
(3 Assists)
J. Ryerson
(5 Assists)
Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Bundesliga
Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Dortmund won eight of their last 12 Bundesliga matches this season, losing only once.
- Away from home, Dortmund won four of their last six league fixtures.
- Freiburg lost two of their three recent league games.
- Dortmund won the last seven Bundesliga matches played against Freiburg.
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Our Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Both Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund had midweek European matches, so there will be some physical exertion for the two squads. Regardless, three points here are crucial for Dortmund, who are looking to get above Leipzig and be the nearest challengers to Bayern Munich. Freiburg are stuck in the mid-table muddle, while there’s some way to go in their quest for European qualification. They have a good recent record at this venue, but Dortmund may be ready to break that.
This is a fixture that BVB dominated historically, and our Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is Borussia Dortmund wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
