Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Hoffenheim will look to get back to winning ways as they host a relegation-threatened Hamburg side on matchday 14 of the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign. This match on Saturday at PreZero Arena between the fifth-placed ‘Die Kraichgauer’ and the 13th-placed ‘Die Rothosen’ comes with our prediction of a home win and over 2.5 goals scored.
Hoffenheim’s 23 points (W7, D2, L4) put them just outside the top four on goal difference. Hamburg’s 15 points (W4, D3, L6) see them start this round four points above the relegation zone.
Hoffenheim lost 2-0 away at Borussia Dortmund last weekend in a massive top-four clash. That defeat shouldn’t take the sheen off a six-game unbeaten run prior to that (W5, D1), which saw them become genuine top-four contenders.
Three of those wins came at this venue, and Hoffenheim will be confident of extending that record, especially having scored three goals in each of those wins.
Hamburg defeated Werder Bremen 3-2 at home last weekend to post consecutive league victories, following a 2-1 win over Stuttgart. They are set to stay in the safety zone irrespective of the result here, but points are massive in the longer haul.
It’s their away form that’s of concern, as Hamburg lost four of their last five league trips, including three in a row.
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Hoffenheim v Hamburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 4.3 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.16 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.24 | 4.24 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hoffenheim and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the Hoffenheim vs Hamburg match is: Hoffenheim win and over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/12/2025 between Hoffenheim and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.28% for a win of Hoffenheim against Hamburg with odds of 1.76 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hoffenheim vs Hamburg is 14.22% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Hoffenheim with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
Hoffenheim - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hoffenheim Hamburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 53.28% | 1.76 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.11% | 1.6 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Hoffenheim/Hoffenheim | 24.79% | 2.6 at Bet365 |
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Form
Hoffenheim and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 |
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
Hoffenheim and Hamburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim against Hamburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
L. Philipp
DefenderV. Gendrey
A. Chaves
MidfielderA. Prass
U. Tohumcu
M. Damar
ForwardA. Hlozek
F. Asllani
I. Bebou
D. Peretz
DefenderA. Soumahoro
D. Elfadli
W. Mikelbrencis
G. Ramos
MidfielderI. Pherai
B. Jatta
R. Philippe
Y. Poulsen
Missing players
K. Machida
Bernardo
W. Omari
MidfielderN. Remberg
ForwardR. Glatzel
A. Rossing Lelesiit
Most goals and assists
Hoffenheim
Hamburg
A. Kramaric
(14 Goals)
F. Vieira
(7 Goals)
B. Toure
(8 Assists)
F. Vieira
(5 Assists)
Hoffenheim - Hamburg Key Points
- Hoffenheim won five of their last seven league matches, losing just once.
- At home, Hoffenheim won their last three league fixtures.
- Hamburg lost four of their last seven league games, winning only two.
- Away from home, Hamburg lost four of their last five league trips including three in a row.
- Four of the last five matches between these sides produced over 2.5 goals.
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Our Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Prediction
Hoffenheim lost 2-0 away at Dortmund last weekend, but that should take nothing away from their impressive recent form. The hosts hadn’t lost in six consecutive league games prior to that, winning five and drawing one. Their surge in form coincided with improvement of home fortunes, which could continue here. That’s largely due to Hamburg’s poor record on the road, where they were beaten in four of their last five trips.
This match could end up in Hoffenheim’s corner, but not without a touch of excitement. Our Hoffenheim vs Hamburg prediction is Hoffenheim win and over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hoffenheim Hamburg
| Hoffenheim vs Hamburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 1.81 | 1.76 | -2.8% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.5 | +3.9% |
| Hamburg wins | 4.33 | 4.7 | +8.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.2% and is now 56.8% (1.6%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Hoffenheim vs. Hamburg game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Hoffenheim and Hamburg when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Bundesliga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
