Union Berlin vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Union Berlin will hope to spring a surprise on matchday 14 against Leipzig, who aim to remain challenging in the Bundesliga title race. This match on Friday in Berlin between the 12th-placed ‘Iron Ones’ and the second-placed ‘Red Bulls’ comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.
With 15 points (W4, D3, L6), Union are only four points above the relegation zone, while Leipzig’s 29 points (W9, D2, L2) put them eight points behind leaders Bayern and one point above Borussia Dortmund.
Union were beaten 3-1 away at Wolfsburg last weekend to make it three defeats in a row. Two of those came in the Bundesliga, and they have just one win from their last six league fixtures (D2, L3).
Their home form is slightly better, with Union remaining a stubborn team at this venue. They avoided defeat in four of their last five home league games (W1, D3), although that loss came in their most recent fixture here.
Leipzig thrashed Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0 at home last weekend to make it seven wins from their last nine competitive matches (D1, L1). They continue to provide excitement, averaging more than three goals per league game this season.
The visitors will be slightly concerned about their away form, having won only two of their last five trips (D2, L1).
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Union Berlin v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.38 |
|
|
3 | 3.35 | 2.35 |
|
|
3 | 3.32 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.35 | 2.34 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.55 | 2.31 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Leipzig match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/12/2025 between Union Berlin and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.49% for a win of Union Berlin against Leipzig with odds of 3.23 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Leipzig is 29.67% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Union Berlin with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.
Union Berlin - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Union Berlin Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 45.84% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.97% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 56.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leipzig | 19.6% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Union Berlin vs Leipzig Form
Union Berlin and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
32 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +13 |
|
9
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -3 |
Union Berlin and Leipzig Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
17 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
28 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Raab
DefenderT. Rothe
S. Nsoki
C. Trimmel
J. Juranovic
MidfielderA. Schafer
L. Burcu
T. Skarke
A. Ilic
M. Vandevoordt
DefenderS. Konate
J. Masanka Bungi
M. Finkgrafe
L. Klostermann
MidfielderA. Haidara
A. Maksimovic
T. Gomis
T. Werner
Missing players
A. Markgraf
ForwardR. Skov
B. Henrichs
MidfielderR. Baku
A. Ouedraogo
V. Gebel
ForwardA. Nusa
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Leipzig
I. Ansah
(5 Goals)
C. Baumgartner
(6 Goals)
, 
Y. Diomande
(6 Goals)
A. Ilic
(5 Assists)
C. Baumgartner
(4 Assists)
Union Berlin - Leipzig Key Points
- In four of Union’s last five matches in all competitions, over 2.5 goals were scored.
- Union’s last three home games in all competitions saw three or more goals scored each time.
- Leipzig’s last eight league games averaged 3.38 goals per match and only three clubs had a higher average during that period.
- Overall, in the league this season, Leipzig’s matches averaged 3.15 goals per game.
- Seven of Leipzig’s last nine competitive matches have produced three or more goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Our Union Berlin vs Leipzig Prediction
Leipzig are staying the closest to Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga title race, although the eight-point gap is already looking unbridgeable. The visitors can’t afford to drop points with Dortmund breathing down their neck. As for Union Berlin, their recent drop in form has them worried, with the buffer to the relegation zone shrinking.
It’s the goals market, though, that offers value, with both teams regularly part of heavy-scoring games this season. That could continue here, and our Union Berlin vs Leipzig prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin Leipzig
| Union Berlin vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 3.72 | 3.23 | -13.2% |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.55 | -4.6% |
| Leipzig wins | 2.1 | 2.38 | +13.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 42.0% (-5.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Union Berlin vs. Leipzig game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Union Berlin and Leipzig? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Bundesliga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
