ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
2024 finalist Frances Tiafoe will hope for another good run in this year's outdoor hard court Cincinnati Open. The tenth seed received a bye into this second round and takes on unseeded Roberto Carballes Baena. Time for our match prediction.
Last week saw Tiafoe lose in round four of the Canadian Open. That continued his good form on this surface after making it to the quarter-finals in Washington. That's the only hard court last eight appearance he's made this year. His one title triumph came on clay in Houston.
A good performance in this Masters tournament will be needed as he's down to 17th in the live rankings due to all the points he's defending.
Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Hugo Gaston in round one of this tournament. The Spaniard took two-and-a-half hours to win that match in three sets, losing the middle one. That took his 2025 hard court record to 7-8 and to 80th in the live rankings list.
Baena has also only reached one hard court quarter-final this year. That was at the start of the year in Auckland but no seeded players were beaten. He last won two successive matches in an ATP Tour event in April but that was on clay.
We tip Tiafoe to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Frances Tiafoe v Roberto Carballes Baena Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 5 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.18 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.18 | 4.5 |
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|
1.21 | 4.6 |
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Who will win the Frances Tiafoe vs Roberto Carballes Baena Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Frances Tiafoe vs Roberto Carballes Baena match is: Frances Tiafoe to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Frances Tiafoe vs Roberto Carballes Baena game on 09/08/2025 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:
- Frances Tiafoe has a 67.09% chance to win against Roberto Carballes Baena according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.21.
- Roberto Carballes Baena has a 32.91% probability of winning facing Frances Tiafoe ⭐ with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Frances Tiafoe vs Roberto Carballes Baena Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Frances Tiafoe has a 67.09 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 67.09 % |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | 32.91 % |
Frances Tiafoe vs Roberto Carballes Baena Form
Frances Tiafoe and Roberto Carballes Baena Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
25 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
24 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
7 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
28 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
21 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
Frances Tiafoe - Roberto Carballes Baena Key Points
- Tiafoe is over 60 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Tiafoe reached the final of this tournament in 2024.
- Baena had to go to three sets to win his first round match.
- Baena hasn't won two successive matches in an ATP Tour event since April.
- Tiafoe has won four of his last six hard court matches.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction
Frances Tiafoe is consistent on this surface with only two of his last six matches being lost. Both of those defeats were to players currently ranked in the top ten. The American faces a much easier task up against Roberto Carballes Baena in round two of the Cincinnati Open.
Baena began the year well on this surface but has struggled since then. He had to go to three sets to defeat Hugo Gaston who is ranked outside the top 100. Our Frances Tiafoe v Roberto Carballes Baena prediction is Frances Tiafoe to win in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Frances Tiafoe vs. Roberto Carballes Baena game!
When you place a bet on the match between Frances Tiafoe and Roberto Carballes Baena you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Frances Tiafoe or Roberto Carballes Baena , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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