Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
29/07/2026 20:30
Bahia

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions

Fluminense and Bahia are in dire need of some stability in the second half of the season to fuel their Copa Libertadores ambitions. They face off in the 21st round, Fluminense playing host, sitting fourth, two places ahead of Bahia. Twice in these teams’ last three league matches, they drew, and here our prediction is for the teams to share spoils.

Earlier this month, these two sides met in a friendly, which Fluminense won 2-0. It won’t be as straightforward in this competitive outing, though, with Fluminense coming off a four-game winless run in Serie A.

The latest of those was a 1-1 outcome at Gremio, marking their third straight league draw. At home, Tricolor have lost just once and will come here confident of a win.

Bahia have also failed to bag maximum points in their recent matches and will come here under pressure. They drew their latest two games against Corinthians and Atletico MG.

Both matches registered 1-1 outcomes, and Bai are looking to improve on these results that place them among the most drawn sides thus far.

Two of their total seven draws in Serie A this season came on their travels, and there is a strong possibility for this one to yield a similar result. It could get worse though, as Bahia head into this encounter winless in four away league games.

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Fluminense v Bahia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.78 3.65 4.5
1xbet
1.82 3.68 4.53
Melbet
1.8 3.64 4.46
Betwinner
1.8 3.64 4.46
Bet365
1.71 3.7 4.75
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fluminense and Bahia?

Our prediction for the Fluminense vs Bahia match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/07/2026 between Fluminense and Bahia in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.66% for a win of Fluminense against Bahia with odds of 1.85 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fluminense vs Bahia is 27.19% with odds of 3.8 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 11.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Bahia vs Fluminense with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.

Fluminense vs Bahia Form

Fluminense and Bahia's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Fluminense
33 20 9 6 5 +5
6 Bahia
31 20 8 7 5 +4

Fluminense and Bahia Last Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense Last matches
W D W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  1
Fluminense

17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  1
Bragantino

12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fluminense
2 :  0
Bahia

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fluminense
6 :  1
Nova Iguacu RJ

31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
1 :  1
Fluminense

27 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
3 :  1
Deportivo La Guaira
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  1
Bragantino

12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fluminense
2 :  0
Bahia

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fluminense
6 :  1
Nova Iguacu RJ

27 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
3 :  1
Deportivo La Guaira

19 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
2 :  1
Club Bolivar

16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
SAO Paulo
L L D L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  1
Fluminense

31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
1 :  1
Fluminense

23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  0
Fluminense

6 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Independiente Rivadavia
1 :  1
Fluminense

3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
2 :  0
Fluminense

30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Club Bolivar
2 :  0
Fluminense
Bahia
Bahia Last matches
W W L W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  1
Corinthians

21 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Bahia

17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  0
Chapecoense

12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fluminense
2 :  0
Bahia

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bahia
4 :  1
Montevideo City Torque

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  1
Botafogo
L D W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  1
Corinthians

17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  0
Chapecoense

4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bahia
4 :  1
Montevideo City Torque

30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  1
Botafogo

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  1
Gremio

9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  2
Cruzeiro
L D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Bahia

12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fluminense
2 :  0
Bahia

25 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Coritiba
3 :  2
Bahia

13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Remo
2 :  1
Bahia

3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Bahia

19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  0
Bahia

Fluminense vs Bahia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fluminense

50 %

Draw

33 %

Bahia

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fluminense
2 :  0
Bahia

5 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  1
Fluminense

7 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  0
Bahia

10 Sept 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Fluminense
2 :  0
Bahia

28 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Bahia
1 :  0
Fluminense

9 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
3 :  3
Fluminense
Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction

Fluminense vs Bahia last Lineups

Fluminense

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Fabio
23
Guga
3
T. Silva
22
J. Freytes
13
G. Arana
35
Hercules
8
M. Martinelli
90
K. Serna
32
L. Acosta
17
A. Canobbio
7
Hulk
16
E. Pulga
9
A. Veliz
11
R. Nestor
5
N. Acevedo
6
Jean Lucas
7
Ademir
66
Z. Guilherme
21
S. Ramos Mingo
33
D. Duarte
31
R. Gomez
1
Ronaldo

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Bahia

Substitutes

Fluminense
Fluminense
Goalkeeper

M. Pitaluga

Defender

J. Fidelis

Rene

I. Rabello

S. Xavier

Ignacio

Midfielder

Otavio

Ganso

Nonato

Y. Soteldo

Forward

R. Silva de Almeida

G. Cano

Bahia
Bahia
Goalkeeper

G. Herrera

Defender

Kanu

L. Juba

Marcos Victor

Midfielder

E. Ribeiro

M. Araujo

D. Almeida De Lira

Forward

R. Pablo

Willian Jose

Everaldo

K. Furquim

M. Sanabria

Missing players

Fluminense
Fluminense
Midfielder

M. Martinelli

Forward

G. Cano

M. Reis

Bahia
Bahia
Goalkeeper

Ronaldo

Midfielder

C. Alexandre

Forward

R. Pablo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fluminense
CD Huachipato Bahia
Top Goalscorer
Brazil J. Kennedy (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil L. Juba (7 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina L. Acosta (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil E. Ribeiro (4 Assists)

Fluminense and Bahia Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
Fluminense
Bahia
Bahia
45%
Wins
40%
25%
Losses
25%
30%
Draws
35%
2.75
Average goals per match
2.7
1.5
Goals scored per match
1.45
1.25
Goals conceded per match
1.25
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
15%
No goals conceded
25%
75%
BTTS
70%

Fluminense - Bahia Key Points

  1. Bahia are winless in the last four league games at home, drawing twice.
  2. Fluminense drew two of their last three Serie A matches at home.
  3. In the opening 20 rounds, these two have drawn a combined 13 times.
  4. Two of these teams’ last three league meetings ended in draws.
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Our Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction

No team has registered more draws in the top four in Serie A than Fluminense. Half of their six draws so far this season have come in their latest three league games. Bahia come here on an almost similar run, having drawn their last two league encounters.

Their most recent one pushed them to joint top of the standings for teams with the most draws. It was their seventh of the season, and their recent away form doesn’t inspire belief they can rise here. Our prediction for Fluminense v Bahia is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.