Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Fluminense and Bahia are in dire need of some stability in the second half of the season to fuel their Copa Libertadores ambitions. They face off in the 21st round, Fluminense playing host, sitting fourth, two places ahead of Bahia. Twice in these teams’ last three league matches, they drew, and here our prediction is for the teams to share spoils.
Earlier this month, these two sides met in a friendly, which Fluminense won 2-0. It won’t be as straightforward in this competitive outing, though, with Fluminense coming off a four-game winless run in Serie A.
The latest of those was a 1-1 outcome at Gremio, marking their third straight league draw. At home, Tricolor have lost just once and will come here confident of a win.
Bahia have also failed to bag maximum points in their recent matches and will come here under pressure. They drew their latest two games against Corinthians and Atletico MG.
Both matches registered 1-1 outcomes, and Bai are looking to improve on these results that place them among the most drawn sides thus far.
Two of their total seven draws in Serie A this season came on their travels, and there is a strong possibility for this one to yield a similar result. It could get worse though, as Bahia head into this encounter winless in four away league games.
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Fluminense v Bahia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.71 | 3.80 | 4.90 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.70 | 5.95 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.62 | 5.80 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fluminense and Bahia?
Our prediction for the Fluminense vs Bahia match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/07/2026 between Fluminense and Bahia in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.82% for a win of Fluminense against Bahia with odds of 1.85 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fluminense vs Bahia is 27.27% with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Bahia vs Fluminense with odds of 5.95 at 1xbet.
Fluminense - Bahia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fluminense Bahia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fluminense wins | 61.82% | 1.85 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 53.16% | 1.95 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 67.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Fluminense/Fluminense | 25.79% | 2.95 at Betsson |
Fluminense vs Bahia Form
Fluminense and Bahia's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
51 | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 |
|
7
|
49 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 |
Fluminense and Bahia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
27 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
19 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Fluminense vs Bahia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Sept 2025 - Copa do Brasil
28 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
9 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Fluminense against Bahia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 1 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
M. Pitaluga
DefenderI. Rabello
T. Silva
Guga
MidfielderJ. Savarino
Hercules
Otavio
Ganso
Alisson
ForwardR. Silva de Almeida
G. Cano
K. Serna
G. Herrera
DefenderL. Gustavo
Kanu
MidfielderSidney
M. Araujo
E. Ribeiro
D. Almeida De Lira
W. Silva
ForwardWillian Jose
M. Sanabria
K. Furquim
R. Pablo
Most goals and assists
Fluminense
Bahia
J. Kennedy
(9 Goals)
L. Juba
(10 Goals)
Hulk
(5 Assists)
E. Ribeiro
(4 Assists)
,
R. Nestor
(4 Assists)
Fluminense - Bahia Key Points
- Bahia are winless in the last four league games at home, drawing twice.
- Fluminense drew two of their last three Serie A matches at home.
- In the opening 20 rounds, these two have drawn a combined 13 times.
- Two of these teams’ last three league meetings ended in draws.
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Our Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction
No team has registered more draws in the top four in Serie A than Fluminense. Half of their six draws so far this season have come in their latest three league games. Bahia come here on an almost similar run, having drawn their last two league encounters.
Their most recent one pushed them to joint top of the standings for teams with the most draws. It was their seventh of the season, and their recent away form doesn’t inspire belief they can rise here. Our prediction for Fluminense v Bahia is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fluminense Bahia
| Fluminense vs Bahia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense wins | 1.85 | 1.85 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.85 | +6.9% |
| Bahia wins | 4.46 | 5.95 | +33.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fluminense is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 54.1% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
