Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Italian champions Napoli will be up against Fiorentina, seeking a third straight win in Serie A as Fiorentina eye an opening victory. Heading into matchday three, hosts Fiorentina are 12th, and Napoli lead the standings. We have a prediction for this match below.
Fiorentina have so far failed to transfer their form in Europe to Serie A. Two points from as many matches leave them in the bottom half, but a win could change more than just their placing.
La Viola are, however, winless in the last four matches against Napoli, only drawing once in the process. In their last outing, Fiorentina played to a 0-0 draw with Torino, having also started the season with a draw against Cagliari.
Napoli’s title defence hasn’t stuttered; they are on two wins in two matches and come here as outright favorites. While they aren’t known to be flashy, Napoli mean business.
They did just what it takes to see off Sassuolo and Cagliari. In their latest match, before heading into the international break, the champions left it late to beat Cagliari 1-0.
With three goals scored and none conceded, they are among the four teams on perfect records, and recent head-to-head records show this too could fly their way. In their last seven matches after an international break, Napoli posted six wins.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.1 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.1 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.2 | 2.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Napoli match is: Napoli wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between Fiorentina and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.07% for a win of Fiorentina against Napoli with odds of 3.58 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Napoli is 36.2% with odds of 3.38 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Fiorentina with odds of 2.35 at 22bet.
Fiorentina vs Napoli Form
Fiorentina and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|
12
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Fiorentina and Napoli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
8 May 2025 - Conference League
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
17 Apr 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
17 May 2024 - Serie A
18 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
8 Oct 2023 - Serie A
7 May 2023 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Napoli last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
C. Kouame
N. Contini
DefenderM. Gutierrez
A. Rrahmani
MidfielderC. Saco
L. Hasa
A. Vergara
ForwardR. Lukaku
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Napoli
R. Mandragora
(1 Goals)
K. De Bruyne
(1 Goals)
, 
S. Mctominay
(1 Goals)
, 
F. Anguissa
(1 Goals)
A. Gudmundsson
(1 Assists)
M. Politano
(1 Assists)
,
A. Buongiorno
(1 Assists)
Fiorentina - Napoli Key Points
- Fiorentina won just two of their last six Serie A matches.
- Napoli kept a clean sheet in five of their last six away matches in Serie A.
- Napoli have won six of their last seven matches coming after an international break.
- In the last 19 away matches in Serie A, Napoli suffered just one loss.
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Our Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction
Napoli have suffered just one loss in their last 19 away league matches, and they come into this match with a good run against Fiorentina. They haven't lost to Fiorentina in the last four meetings, winning three. The champions have started the season in great shape, and their returns when coming from the international break have been good.
To this game they come as favorites again, while Fiorentina’s season hasn’t started well, and they’ve shown signs of struggling on the road. Our prediction for Napoli v Fiorentina is that Napoli wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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