Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
29/10/2026 15:45
Atalanta

Prediction :

 

Fiorentina to win and BTTS

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina and Atalanta will take their winless streaks to Stadio Franchi on Thursday, both seeking morale-boosting Serie A wins. The last round was crazy, as 18th-placed Fiorentina conceded late against Inter Milan, while Atalanta, in 11th, were involved in an eight-goal thriller. Superb home form in this fixture has our prediction favoring Fiorentina.

Fiorentina have made a poorer start than last season after their defeat at Inter Milan last time out. La Viola were very close to a big win over the champions only to concede twice in the closing stages.

That marked their sixth loss in eight league games and leaves them in great danger here, as defeat could see them drop to the bottom. There is hope, though, in the fact that Fiorentina are unbeaten at home in the six meetings with Atalanta.

As Fiorentina seek that one point to possibly lift them off the bottom three, Atalanta eye a win that will see them hit the top half. La Dea were close to getting there last time out, but they fluffed their lines against an impressive Frosinone.

Maurizio Sarri’s men twice came from behind and twice lost the lead as they drew 4-4 with the newly promoted side. This coming game has more memories that Atalanta would rather banish.

They lost four times in six away matches against Fiorentina, extending a lengthy poor run in Florence.

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Fiorentina v Atalanta Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
2.12 3.65 3.05
1xbet
2.30 3.77 3.17
Melbet
2.22 3.62 3.06
Betwinner
2.22 3.62 3.06
22bet
2.22 3.62 3.06
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Atalanta?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Atalanta match is: Fiorentina to win and BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/10/2026 between Fiorentina and Atalanta in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.31% for a win of Fiorentina against Atalanta with odds of 2.3 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Atalanta is 13.9% with odds of 3.77 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Fiorentina with odds of 3.17 at 1xbet.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Form

Fiorentina and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 Atalanta
10 8 3 1 4 -1
18 Fiorentina
4 8 1 1 6 -10

Fiorentina and Atalanta Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W W D L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

18 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Como 1907

10 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Fiorentina

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Napoli

15 Sept 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Pisa SC

11 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Venezia
2 :  4
Fiorentina
W L L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Como 1907

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Napoli

15 Sept 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Pisa SC

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Torino FC

29 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  3
Frosinone

14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
4 :  1
Benevento Calcio
W D L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

10 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Fiorentina

11 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Venezia
2 :  4
Fiorentina

24 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Fiorentina

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
0 :  1
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
L W W L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  4
Frosinone

22 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
2 :  0
Atalanta

18 Oct 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Atalanta

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
3 :  1
Pafos FC

12 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Venezia

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Atalanta
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  4
Frosinone

15 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Atalanta
3 :  1
Pafos FC

12 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Venezia

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Cagliari

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Bologna

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Oct 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
2 :  0
Atalanta

18 Oct 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Atalanta

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Atalanta

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Atalanta

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC
0 :  1
Atalanta

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

33 %

Draw

17 %

Atalanta

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

22 May 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Atalanta

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

30 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

15 Sept 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
Fiorentina

2 Jun 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  3
Fiorentina

24 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  1
Fiorentina
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction

Fiorentina vs Atalanta last Lineups

Fiorentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

43
D. De Gea
20
A. Jimenez
3
R. Dragusin
5
M. Pongracic
21
V. Valdepenas
27
C. Ndour
44
N. Fagioli
4
M. Brescianini
30
F. Mastantuono
32
M. Pellegrino
25
A. Njie
90
N. Krstovic
11
J. Rowe
17
C. De Ketelaere
99
E. Elmas
70
G. Gaetano
13
E. Silva
77
D. Zappacosta
40
R. Obric
31
T. Kristensen
16
R. Bellanova
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Atalanta

Substitutes

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
A. Ademi Goalkeeper

O. Christensen

L. Lezzerini

Defender

Dodo

J. Mario

Viery

Midfielder

A. Pirro

C. Oulai

P. Goncalves

Forward

G. Wilfried

B. Mazzeo

Beto

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Sonzogni

M. Sportiello

Defender

L. Bernasconi

M. Plaia

Midfielder

L. Samardzic

J. Idele

N. Zalewski

M. Pasalic

Forward

G. Scamacca

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

M. Pongracic

F. Parisi

Forward

R. Sottil

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

S. Kolasinac

R. Bellanova

I. Hien

O. Kossounou

G. Scalvini

Midfielder

F. Kessie

Forward

G. Raspadori

K. Sulemana

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Argentina F. Mastantuono (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Montenegro N. Krstovic (6 Goals)
Best assists
Italy N. Fagioli (2 Assists)
Best assists
Poland N. Zalewski (2 Assists) , 
Montenegro N. Krstovic (2 Assists)

Fiorentina and Atalanta Stats in Serie A

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Atalanta
13%
Wins
38%
75%
Losses
50%
13%
Draws
13%
3.5
Average goals per match
3.63
1.13
Goals scored per match
1.75
2.38
Goals conceded per match
1.88
13%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
88%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
0%
No goals conceded
13%
75%
BTTS
75%

Fiorentina - Atalanta Key Points

  1. Six of these teams’ last 10 meetings had both sides score.
  2. Fiorentina are unbeaten in six home games against Atalanta, winning four.
  3. Fiorentina scored in their last three home encounters.
  4. Atalanta have lost four straight away matches.
  5. Atalanta failed to score just once in their last 11 away Serie A matches.
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Our Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction

Atalanta have struggled a lot on the road this season. Though overall they have a better record than Fiorentina, we feel their bad run will extend beyond this week. Across their five away matches this season, they’ve only been able to win once.

They may argue that they faced top teams in those away games, which is a valid point. However, that could be complicated by the fact that they’ve also been poor against Fiorentina on the road. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Atalanta is for Fiorentina to win and BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Fiorentina to win and BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.