Europe - EuroBasket
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions
Finland aims to keep their qualification dreams in the FIBA Eurobasket alive against an undefeated Germany side, which should make for an intense game for basketball fans. Read on to discover our best Finland vs Germany match prediction.
The historical data between these nations tells a remarkably, and more importantly, a consistent story about scoring patterns. These teams have met nine times since 2011, and none of those games featured 190+ total points. In fact, the highest scoring encounter between them in that time reached just 176 points.
Finland's recent 81-78 loss to Lithuania ended their three-game winning streak but continued their streak of under 190 points games. Meanwhile, Germany's tournament form has been dominant with four wins from four games, with their latest 120-57 demolition coming against.
However, the broader numbers support lower-scoring basketball from both sides. Only one of Germany's four group stage games has reached 191 points, while all four of Finland's group matches stayed under that mark. Looking at competitive games outside friendlies, Germany has seen just one game exceed 190 points in their last 20 outings, while Finland has managed it only once in their last 18 competitive fixtures. When these defensively solid teams meet, the scoreline typically favours the under.
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The Best Betting Odds for Finland v Germany Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 1.17 |
|
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4.5 | 1.17 |
|
|
5.5 | 1.15 |
|
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4.33 | 1.18 |
|
|
5.25 | 1.16 |
|
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Who will win the Finland vs Germany Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Finland vs Germany match is: Under 190.5 Points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Finland vs Germany game on 03/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:
- Finland has a 22.33% chance to pick up the win against Germany according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 5.5.
- There is a probability of 77.67% ⭐ for Germany to win vs Finland with odds of 1.2 at Bwin.
Finland vs Germany Form
Finland and Germany's standings in the EuroBasket
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
|
3
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | -2 |
Finland and Germany Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
17 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
11 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
8 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
17 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
24 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
31 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
23 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
23 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
16 Aug 2025 - Basketball Supercup
15 Aug 2025 - Basketball Supercup
10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
8 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
22 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Finland vs Germany Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
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Finland - Germany Key Points
- These teams have met nine times since 2011 and none featured 190+ total points.
- The highest points total in the Finland vs Germany H2Hs since 2011 is just 176 points.
- Only one of Germany's four group stage games has featured 191+ points.
- All four of Finland's group stage games have recorded less than 191 points.
- Only one of Germany's last 20 competitive games outside friendlies exceeded 190 points.
- Only one of Finland's last 18 competitive games outside friendlies featured 191+ points.
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Our Finland vs Germany Prediction
Finland and Germany have consistently produced lower-scoring affairs throughout their recent history, with neither side showing any inclination to get involved in shootouts. Germany's perfect tournament record might suggest offensive fireworks, but their systematic approach typically keeps totals manageable against quality opposition.
Meanwhile, Finland's style naturally limits possessions and scoring opportunities. With both teams understanding how to grind out results through defense and game management, we expect another controlled encounter that stays well under the total. Hence, our Finland vs Germany prediction is Under 190.5 Points.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Finland vs. Germany game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Finland and Germany? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's EuroBasket! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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