Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
We head to the Groupama Arena in Hungary on Tuesday for the first leg of the Champions League Playoff round clash between Ferencvaros and Qarabag. The winner of this tie between the Fradi and Atlilar will enter this season’s main draw, while the loser will be transferred to the Europa League league phase. Let’s get into the match prediction!
A mixture of tension, nerves and excitement is expected this week as the Green Eagles look to soar to a return to the top tier of club cup football in Europe. FTC have not featured in the UCL main draw since 2020-21, which was also their only appearance in the competition over the last three decades.
As for the Blue and Whites - they’ve attempted qualifying for the Champions League in 10 of the last 11 seasons, but only managed to get to the big stage once in that time (2017-18). A lead in this tie could prove crucial - let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Ferencvarosi Budapest v Qarabag FK Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.95 | 3.4 | 4 |
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1.95 | 3.4 | 4 |
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1.85 | 3.3 | 4 |
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1.83 | 3.5 | 4 |
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1.77 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ferencvarosi Budapest and Qarabag FK?
Our prediction for the Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Qarabag FK match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/08/2025 between Ferencvarosi Budapest and Qarabag FK in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.7% for a win of Ferencvarosi Budapest against Qarabag FK with odds of 1.96 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Qarabag FK is 18.83% with odds of 3.63 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Qarabag FK vs Ferencvarosi Budapest with odds of 4.4 at Unibet.
Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Qarabag FK Form
Ferencvarosi Budapest and Qarabag FK Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - NB I
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
9 Aug 2025 - NB I
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2 Aug 2025 - NB I
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - NB I
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2 Aug 2025 - NB I
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - NB I
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - NB I
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
24 May 2025 - NB I
10 May 2025 - NB I
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
5 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
23 Jul 2025 - Champions League
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2025 - Azerbaijan Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2025 - Champions League
23 Jul 2025 - Champions League
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Topaz Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Topaz Premier League
11 Apr 2025 - Topaz Premier League
Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Qarabag FK Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Aug 2022 - Champions League
3 Aug 2022 - Champions League
Ferencvarosi Budapest - Qarabag FK: Form Analysis
Ferencvaros produced an excellent performance in the home leg of their third-round qualifying tie to beat Ludogorets 3-0 last week after a goalless opening clash in Razgrad. That followed a 4-3 aggregate victory over Noah in the preceding round.
However, Fradi’s European commitments have seen them make a mixed start to their domestic league campaign, where they lost 2-1 to Puskas this past weekend and have seven points after four games.
Notably, that loss to Puskas brought an end to a five-match winning streak and a 12-game unbeaten run for the hosts at the Groupama Arena. Still, they have scored two or more goals in four of their last five competitive matches at this venue.
Qarabag beat this opponent 4-2 on aggregate in UCL qualifying at the start of the 2022-23 season!
This term, the Horsemen have been excellent in this competition, following up a 4-0 aggregate victory against Shelbourne with a stunning 6-1 win over Macedonian outfit Shkendija in the last round.
Given that their opening round Azerbaijan Premier League fixture last weekend against Sabah was postponed, the Blue and White’s only matches this season so far have come in this competition.
Barring pre-season friendlies against FC Twente and RB Salzburg, the visitors are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches on the road and have kept clean sheets in each of their last three.
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Ferencvarosi Budapest & Qarabag FK Squad Analysis
Robbie Keane opted to make 10 changes over the weekend to minimise the risk of any new injuries, with Krisztian Lisztes ruled out due to a knock and Toon Raemaekers listed as a minor doubt.
FTC has received one notable boost here, with centre-back Ibrahim Cisse now eligible to return to action for the team after being forced to serve an international suspension against Ludogorets.
Barnabas Varga has made a stunning start to the 2025-26 season, already on six goals and an assist in eight matches to date, including four goals in as many games in this competition.
Habib Maiga has been cleared fit for this clash after picking up a knock in the last round!
For the visitors, Cape Verde and Azerbaijan internationals Leandro Andrade and Nariman Akhundzada have been the chief contributors from an attacking point with two goals apiece in this competition.
Qurban Qurbanov has an almost entirely fit squad at his disposal for this trip to Budapest, with the only known exception being shot-stopper Amin Ramazanov, who is ruled out with an ACL issue.
Most goals and assists
Ferencvarosi Budapest
Qarabag FK
Z. Gruber
(3 Goals)
Ferencvarosi Budapest - Qarabag FK Key Points
- Six of Ferencvaros’ last nine games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Ferencvaros have scored two or more goals in four of their last six home matches.
- Five of Qarabag’s last eight games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Qarabag have only failed to score in one of their last nine away matches.
- Each of the last three matches between these sides ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Qarabag FK Prediction
Ferencvaros boss Robbie Keane took no chances with his team selection over this past weekend, and given that he has a fully fit squad at his disposal, the Irishman will be expecting to secure a lead here at home to take into the second leg.
However, we simply cannot write off Qarabag from possibly edging a result here, given how they’ve performed in the competition so far. Additionally, the visitors are unbeaten against this opponent in three previous encounters. Our Ferencvaros vs Qarabag prediction is both teams to score.
Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Qarabag FK - Other Interesting Predictions
Ferencvaros over 1.5
Ferencvaros have scored seven goals combined in their two previous Champions League qualifier home games this season. They have also failed to score more than once in only one of their last five competitive matches at the Groupama Arana.
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Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Qarabag FK match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Ferencvaros and Qarabag will take place on August 19 at 19:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Ferencvaros and Qarabag will be played at the Groupama Arena in Budapest.
The Champions League match between Ferencvaros and Qarabag will be broadcast on Amazon Prime in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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