Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Kasimpasa Istanbul Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Lig

Turkey - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
23/02/2026 12:00
Kasimpasa Istanbul

Prediction :

 

Fenerbahce to win and over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Super Lig Predictions

Fenerbahce will welcome Kasimpasa to the Sukru Saracoglu Stadium on matchday 23 of the Turkish Super Lig. Fenerbahce are in second place in the league standings, while Kasimpasa are in 16th place. Here's our match prediction. 

Fenerbahce are not in a good mood heading into this clash. The Turkish giants were outplayed in a 3-0 home defeat against English opposition Nottingham Forest in the first leg of the UEFA Europa League knockout playoffs.

The Yellow Canaries will seek to redeem themselves as they turn their attention to the Turkish Super Lig. It has been an impressive display so far, with the team yet to suffer defeat in 22 games (W15, D7).

In their most recent match, Domenico Tedesco's men secured a hard-fought 3-2 away victory against Trabzonspor. That was their third consecutive win. They aim to build on this momentum and make it four wins in a row.

Kasimpasa find themselves in a relegation dogfight this season. Languishing in the bottom three with 19 points accumulated from 22 games, they are one point adrift of safety. 

The Apaches rediscovered their winning touch last time out against Fatih Karagumruk. A 3-2 home victory ended an eight-match unbeaten run. This includes a three-match losing streak. 

In unfamiliar territory, their performance has left much to be desired. They are winless in four outings, including a three-match losing streak.

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Fenerbahce Istanbul v Kasimpasa Istanbul Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.29 5.6 9.4
Melbet
1.26 6.05 10
Betwinner
1.26 6.05 10
Bet365
1.22 6 10
Roobet
1.27 5.6 9.4
Check all Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Kasimpasa Istanbul odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Kasimpasa Istanbul?

Our prediction for the Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Kasimpasa Istanbul match is: Fenerbahce to win and over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/02/2026 between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Kasimpasa Istanbul in Super Lig :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.11% for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul against Kasimpasa Istanbul with odds of 1.3 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Kasimpasa Istanbul is 18.5% with odds of 6.05 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Kasimpasa Istanbul vs Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 10.5 at LSbet.

Fenerbahce Istanbul - Kasimpasa Istanbul Prediction and Best Odds:

Fenerbahce Istanbul Kasimpasa Istanbul Prediction Probability Odds
Fenerbahce Istanbul wins 63.11% 1.3 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 63.72% 1.63 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 57.5%
Half-time / Full-time : Fenerbahce Istanbul/Fenerbahce Istanbul 33.08% 1.83 at Bet365

Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Kasimpasa Istanbul Form

Fenerbahce Istanbul and Kasimpasa Istanbul's standings in the Super Lig

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Fenerbahce Istanbul
74 34 21 11 2 +40
13 Kasimpasa Istanbul
35 34 8 11 15 -16

Fenerbahce Istanbul and Kasimpasa Istanbul Last Matches

Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul Last matches
D W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

14 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Trabzonspor
2 :  3
Fenerbahce Istanbul

9 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
3 :  1
Genclerbirligi SK

5 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Fenerbahce Istanbul
3 :  1
Erzurumspor FK

2 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
0 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

FCSB
1 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul
W L D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

9 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
3 :  1
Genclerbirligi SK

5 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Fenerbahce Istanbul
3 :  1
Erzurumspor FK

25 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Goztepe Izmir

22 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  1
Aston Villa

6 Jan 2026 - Super Cup

Fenerbahce Istanbul
2 :  0
Samsunspor
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Trabzonspor
2 :  3
Fenerbahce Istanbul

2 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
0 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

FCSB
1 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

18 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Alanyaspor
2 :  3
Fenerbahce Istanbul

14 Jan 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
0 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

10 Jan 2026 - Super Cup

Galatasaray
0 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Kasimpasa Istanbul
Kasimpasa Istanbul Last matches
L D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
3 :  2
Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

9 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Gaziantep FK
2 :  1
Kasimpasa Istanbul

30 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
0 :  1
Samsunspor

23 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Trabzonspor
2 :  1
Kasimpasa Istanbul

18 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
0 :  0
Antalyaspor

21 Dec 2025 - Super Lig

Galatasaray
3 :  0
Kasimpasa Istanbul
L L D D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
3 :  2
Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

30 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
0 :  1
Samsunspor

18 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
0 :  0
Antalyaspor

12 Dec 2025 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
0 :  0
Genclerbirligi SK

29 Nov 2025 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
1 :  3
Istanbul Basaksehir

8 Nov 2025 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
0 :  2
Goztepe Izmir
L W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Feb 2026 - Super Lig

Gaziantep FK
2 :  1
Kasimpasa Istanbul

23 Jan 2026 - Super Lig

Trabzonspor
2 :  1
Kasimpasa Istanbul

21 Dec 2025 - Super Lig

Galatasaray
3 :  0
Kasimpasa Istanbul

7 Dec 2025 - Super Lig

Kocaelispor
0 :  0
Kasimpasa Istanbul

23 Nov 2025 - Super Lig

Alanyaspor
1 :  2
Kasimpasa Istanbul

2 Nov 2025 - Super Lig

Kayserispor
3 :  2
Kasimpasa Istanbul

Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Kasimpasa Istanbul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fenerbahce Istanbul

83 %

Draw

17 %

Kasimpasa Istanbul

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

21 Sept 2025 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
1 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

16 Feb 2025 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
3 :  1
Kasimpasa Istanbul

9 Jan 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi

Kasimpasa Istanbul
0 :  3
Fenerbahce Istanbul

15 Sept 2024 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
0 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

24 Feb 2024 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
2 :  1
Kasimpasa Istanbul

8 Oct 2023 - Super Lig

Kasimpasa Istanbul
0 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

Fenerbahce Istanbul against Kasimpasa Istanbul Lineups: Starting 11

Fenerbahce Istanbul

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
Ederson
27
N. Semedo
4
C. Soyuncu
24
J. Oosterwolde
22
L. Mercan
6
M. Guendouzi
5
I. Yuksek
45
N. Dorgeles
21
M. Asensio
20
A. Musaba
94
Talisca
23
C. Tosun
19
A. Benedyczak
12
M. Ben Ouanes
71
I. Kahveci
34
F. Diabate
16
A. Baldursson
21
Frimpong
20
N. Opoku
4
A. Arous
22
K. Corekci
1
A. Gianniotis

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Kasimpasa Istanbul

Substitutes

Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Goalkeeper

M. Gunok

Defender

M. Muldur

A. Musaba 46'

A. Brown

K. Uregen

Y. Demir

C. Soyuncu 27'

Midfielder

N. Kante

J. Oosterwolde 40'

Fred

I. Yuksek 76'

Forward

O. Aydin

K. Akturkoglu

S. Cherif

L. Mercan 76'

Kasimpasa Istanbul
Kasimpasa Istanbul
Goalkeeper

A. Yanar

Defender

J. Allevinah

F. Diabate 84'

E. Tasdemir

A. Benedyczak 46'

T. Aydin

A. Arous 84'

Midfielder

B. Gultekin

Cafu

E. Tasdemir 67'

Forward

A. Kol

K. Kanatsizkus

H. Gueye

C. Tosun 76'

Y. Barasi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fenerbahce Istanbul
CD Huachipato Kasimpasa Istanbul
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Talisca (19 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Poland A. Benedyczak (10 Goals)
Best assists
Spain M. Asensio (11 Assists)
Best assists
Tunisia M. Ben Ouanes (6 Assists)

Fenerbahce Istanbul - Kasimpasa Istanbul Key Points

  1. Fenerbahce have seen three of their last four matches across all competitions end with over 3.5 goals.
  2. Kasimpasa have lost three of their last four league games.
  3. Fenerbahce have won each of their last three league games.
  4. Kasimpasa have lost each of their last three away league games.
  5. Fenerbahce have seen four of their last six matches against Kasimpasa end with over 3.5 goals.
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Our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Kasimpasa Istanbul Prediction

Fenerbahce are the in-form team in the Turkish Super Lig right now, having avoided defeat in 22 games. Their impressive record in this fixture also suggests they are in for a commanding win in front of their home crowd, where they've gone ten matches without defeat. 

Kasimpasa are in a rut at the moment and are unlikely to pose a threat in this upcoming encounter. The last matchup between them and this opponent on the road ended in a 3-1 defeat, indicating a similar outcome here. Our Fenerbahce vs Kasimpasa prediction: Fenerbahce to win and over 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Fenerbahce to win and over 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fenerbahce Istanbul Kasimpasa Istanbul

Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Kasimpasa Istanbul Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fenerbahce Istanbul wins 1.21 1.3 +7.4%
Draw 6.2 6.05 -2.4%
Kasimpasa Istanbul wins 12 10.5 -12.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Fenerbahce Istanbul is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 7.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 82.6% and is now 76.9% (-5.7%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Kasimpasa Istanbul Prediction