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Everton vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Everton
18/05/2025 07:00
Southampton

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions

Goodison Park will host Everton one last time when the Toffees welcome relegated Southampton on Sunday. In the penultimate round of the 2024/25 Premier League campaign, Everton start the week sitting 13th with 42 points. The visitors, who are sure to finish bottom of the standings, enter the weekend on 12 points. Below we have the preview and a prediction for this match.

This 2791st match at Everton’s home will be a third meeting this season, pitting the two clubs. Everton will want to do better than in the first two, having lost to the Saints on penalties in the League Cup and then 1-0 in the Premier League.

The fire that David Moyes’ return reignited seems to be dying down, as Everton haven't won at home in the last seven outings. Southampton will hope to reap from this, having not lost to Everton in their last three interactions. The Saints are playing for pride and Everton for sentimental value; who will carry the day?

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The Best Betting Odds for Everton v Southampton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.4 4.75 7.5
Betfred
1.4 5 8
Betway
1.4 4.75 7.5
Ladbrokes
1.4 4.6 7
Unibet
1.4 4.7 8
Check all Everton vs Southampton odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Southampton?

Our prediction for the Everton vs Southampton match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/05/2025 between Everton and Southampton in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.47% for a win of Everton against Southampton with odds of 1.43 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Southampton is 37.57% with odds of 5 at Betfred.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Everton with odds of 8.8 at Betsson.

Everton vs Southampton Form

Everton and Southampton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13
Everton
Everton
42 36 9 15 12 -5
20
Southampton
Southampton
12 36 2 6 28 -57

Everton and Southampton Last Matches

Everton
Everton Last matches
D W L L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  3
Everton

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Ipswich Town

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  2
Manchester City

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Everton

5 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Arsenal
D D D D L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Ipswich Town

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  2
Manchester City

5 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Arsenal

15 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
West Ham

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

12 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Liverpool
D D L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  3
Everton

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Everton

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Everton

8 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Everton

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Everton
Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L L D L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  0
Manchester City

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
2 :  0
Southampton

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Fulham

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Southampton

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  1
Southampton
L L D L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  0
Manchester City

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Fulham

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

15 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Wolves

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  4
Brighton
W L L L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
2 :  0
Southampton

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Southampton

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  1
Southampton

8 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Southampton

25 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  0
Southampton

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
1 :  2
Southampton

Everton vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Everton

33 %

Draw

17 %

Southampton

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

2 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  0
Everton

17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Everton
1 :  1
Southampton

14 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Southampton

1 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Everton

19 Feb 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  0
Everton

14 Aug 2021 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  1
Southampton
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Everton - Southampton: Form Analysis

Everton are set for an emotional farewell to Goodison Park and will be looking forward to this after returning to winning ways. Having failed to pick up a win in three straight outings, Everton halted the run last week away to Fulham.

They recorded a 3-1 victory at Craven Cottage. The Toffees know 13th is the highest they can finish this season, and it will be fine, as it is already an improvement from the previous campaign.

Their tally of 42 points is also two more than last season’s, and there’s reason to be optimistic about the future. At this point, the only concern from fans is the seven-match winless run at Goodison Park.

Southampton won just one point from their last five away league matches.

Southampton are set for a straight return to the Championship. They will want to leave with some headline, now that they already have a brand as Everton’s bogey team.

The Saints are unbeaten in the last three matches against their weekend hosts. In the last four Premier League meetings with Everton, Southampton posted three wins and twice had clean sheets.

They will target extending this run of form and will feel confident about it, having held Manchester City to a 0-0 draw last week. However, across all competitions, it has now been 13 matches since Southampton last won.

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Everton vs Southampton last Lineups

Everton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Pickford
18
A. Young
5
M. Keane
32
J. Branthwaite
19
V. Mykolenko
27
I. Gueye
37
J. Garner
11
J. Harrison
16
A. Doucoure
24
C. Alcaraz
14
Beto
33
T. Dibling
20
K. Sulemana
18
M. Fernandes
34
Welington
26
L. Ugochukwu
4
F. Downes
14
J. Bree
5
J. Stephens
35
J. Bednarek
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
30
A. Ramsdale

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Southampton

Missing players

Everton
Everton
Defender

J. Tarkowski

Midfielder

O. Mangala

J. Lindstrom

Southampton
Southampton

Everton & Southampton Squad Analysis

Dominic Calvert-Lewin was supposed to be Everton’s main attacking option for the season, but in recent times he has been on and off. Everton needed a main man, and Beto stepped forward.

The striker is having a great second season at the club and is the leading scorer with eight goals. Only one of his goals came last year; the remaining seven have been scored between February and now.

Iliman Ndiaye has also stepped up since his arrival from Marseille, with seven goals. It is, however, a month since the Senegalese scored, and he will want to end this drought in the final home match. 

Everton haven't lost when Ndiaye or Beto scores.

This seems like a match Southampton will have to be at their best defensively. They already did well against Manchester City last week, but Everton come with different demands.

With a two-pronged threat, facing Ndiaye and Beto, the Saints might revert to a 4-4-2 after using three defenders against City.

It means Kyle Walker-Peters returns to the starting team, if fit, with Wellington Santos the most likely to be sacrificed. Leading scorer Paul Onuachu may once again start from the bench as he battles a niggling ankle injury.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Everton
CD Huachipato Southampton
Top Goalscorer
Beto (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Archer (5 Goals)
Best assists
England D. McNeil (5 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal M. Fernandes (6 Assists)

Everton and Southampton Stats in Premier League

Everton
Everton
Southampton
Southampton
25%
Victories
6%
42%
Draw
17%
33%
Defeats
78%
2.31
Total goals per match
2.97
1.08
Goals scored per match
0.69
1.22
Goals conceded per match
2.28
39%
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
44%
BTTS
56%
28%
No goals conceded
8%

Everton - Southampton Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in six of Everton’s last 10 league matches.
  2. In three of these teams’ last four meetings, both sides scored.
  3. Southampton have kept one clean sheet in their last 19 league outings.
  4. Both teams scored in three of Southampton’s last four away league games.
  5. In Everton’s last six home league games, they have no clean sheet but failed to score once.
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Our Everton vs Southampton Prediction

These two sides have England’s top two keepers in Aaron Ramsdale at Southampton and Jordan Pickford at Everton. However, their struggles in defence are well documented, and the two sides rarely keep clean sheets. Everton have one in their last 13 league matches, and Southampton have one in 19 league games.

The two sides score with some regularity, though, and we will be looking out for that here. Six times in Southampton’s last nine league games, both teams scored. It was the same case in six of Everton’s last 10. Our prediction for Everton v Southampton is for both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Everton vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions

Everton to win

Odds 1.4

Everton haven't been great at home in their recent matches, but they will feel capable of addressing that in their final game at Goodison Park. They’ve failed to win any of their last six league games there but only lost once.

The fact that in five matches against the sides in the bottom three, Everton only lost once strengthens our feeling that they can win here. The Toffees won two of the five. Also, Southampton have a poor away run, losing 14 of 18 league games on the road. Our second prediction for this match is for Everton to win.

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Everton vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions

The Everton v Southampton match will be played on Sunday, 18th May.

The Everton v Southampton match will be played at Goodison Park in Liverpool.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Everton vs Southampton Prediction
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