Everton vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Everton will hope that playing at home brings better fortunes as they prepare to host embattled Chelsea next in the Premier League. Eight matches remain in their league campaign, and European football-chasing Everton are eighth, two places behind Chelsea. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
The two sides are separated by five points, with hosts Everton on 43 while Chelsea have garnered 48, with both coming off defeats. As the two teams are sitting outside the European football places, we expect a grueling battle for three points here. When playing at home, the Toffees have failed to beat any of the teams currently in the top 10.
Having had a full week to prepare, however, should give then a head start against a jaded Chelsea side. The Blues are coming off another torrid outing, having been thrashed 3-0 at home by PSG in the Champions League. Meanwhile, Chelsea have only managed one away win in the last eight meetings with Everton.
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Everton v Chelsea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 3.5 | 2.24 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.38 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.38 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
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3.2 | 3.3 | 2.22 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Chelsea match is: Everton wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2026 between Everton and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.23% for a win of Everton against Chelsea with odds of 3.41 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Chelsea is 24.39% with odds of 3.5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Everton with odds of 2.3 at 888Starz.
Everton - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Everton Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 46.38% | 2.3 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.28% | 1.88 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Chelsea/Chelsea | 18.99% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Everton vs Chelsea Form
Everton and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 |
|
13
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 |
Everton and Chelsea Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
13 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Everton vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Apr 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2023 - Premier League
18 Mar 2023 - Premier League
Everton - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Everton had their quest for a third straight win thwarted away at Arsenal last time out. While they gave a good account of themselves, they couldn’t hold on to the end, as the game was settled by two late Arsenal goals.
The 2-0 defeat also meant they only have one clean sheet in the last five matches. David Moyes’ side is now just one point above ninth. There could be jitters, with the team having won just five of their 15 league games at home. They did win the latest one at Hill Dickinson, though, beating Burnley 2-0. That, and a spirited performance against Arsenal, should give Everton the lift they need here.
Chelsea are winless in 90 minutes across six of their last seven games.
Chelsea will also be looking at this as a winnable encounter, having beaten their hosts in the last two meetings. The Blues are also unbeaten in this fixture in the last four meetings with Everton and kept clean sheets in all four. They won 2-0 in the reverse match and will hope to get anywhere close to that form, as they’ve been struggling lately. In their last three outings, Chelsea have suffered straight defeats.
A 1-0 loss to Newcastle in the league last time out is sandwiched by two losses to PSG in the Champions League. While they’ve dominated the last four meetings with Everton, Liam Rosenior’s men have only managed one win in eight away games at Everton.
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Everton against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Travers
DefenderS. Coleman
N. Patterson
MidfielderM. Rohl
T. Iroegbunam
J. Branthwaite
H. Armstrong
ForwardT. Barry
T. Dibling
T. Sharman-Lowe
DefenderM. Sarr
J. Acheampong
T. Adarabioyo
D. Essugo
A. Santos
L. Delap
A. Garnacho
Estevao
Missing players
J. Grealish
C. Alcaraz
L. Colwill
ForwardM. Mudryk
J. Gittens
Everton & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Everton goalkeeper Jordan Pickford has been a pillar in the team, but he has some corrections to think of. The skipper was culpable to some extent in both of Arsenal’s goals last time out and will be pressured to give a better performance.
A game against Chelsea would offer him a good platform, as he has seven career clean sheets against the Blues. Bidding to solidify the defence, David Moyes might call on James Tarkowski, who missed the Arsenal defeat. Jack Grealish and Carlos Alcaraz remain out with injury.
Everton’s Jarrad Branthwaite remains a doubt for the Chelsea visit.
Chelsea’s Cole Palmer has struggled to hit his previous highs and will hope to do better here. Against Everton, he has a good record, having scored five times, with the latest being in the reverse meeting.
Defensively, Liam Rosenior will be sweating over the fitness of a few key men. Trevoh Chalobah left the pitch injured against PSG, joining a ballooning treatment room at Stamford Bridge. The visitors also have Reece James, Jamie Gittens, and Levi Colwill ruled out of this match.
Most goals and assists
Everton
Chelsea
Beto
(9 Goals)
Joao Pedro
(15 Goals)
J. Garner
(7 Assists)
P. Neto
(6 Assists)
Everton - Chelsea Key Points
- Chelsea have lost each of their last three matches.
- Everton won five of their last seven home matches against Chelsea.
- Chelsea won inside 90 minutes in just one of their last seven games.
- Everton posted two wins in their last three matches.
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Our Everton vs Chelsea Prediction
Everton might be struggling at their new home, but Chelsea seems to be in deeper trouble. The Blues are coming from a third straight defeat and have particularly been porous at the back. They’ve conceded 12 times in the last five matches and have generally underperformed away to Everton.
The visitors have only won once in eight matches at Everton. Both sides are coming off league defeats, but Everton will have the advantage of extended rest and fewer injuries to key players. Our prediction for Everton v Chelsea is that Everton wins.
Everton vs Chelsea Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Four times in their last six matches, Chelsea conceded two or more goals, and their matches have mostly been high-scoring. As for Everton, they were shut out by the league’s best defence last time out, though they had scored five in the earlier two games. By the teams’ recent performances, we could have a high-scoring game here. Our second prediction is therefore for more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Chelsea
| Everton vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 3.76 | 3.41 | -9.3% |
| Draw | 3.88 | 3.5 | -9.8% |
| Chelsea wins | 2.03 | 2.3 | +13.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 49.3% and is now 43.5% (-5.8%)
Everton vs Chelsea - FAQs
The Everton v Chelsea match will be played on Saturday, 21st March.
The Everton v Chelsea match will be played at the Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
