Tip Estonia - Finland
Top plays bottom in Group 2 of this League C group. Finland have won both of their games so far without conceding a goal and look for a third win away to Estonia who are bottom of the group after losing their two matches without scoring a goal. Neither of these countries qualifed for the World Cup finals held in Russia during the summer. Estonia started off their UEFA Nations League campaign with a 1-0 home defeat by Greece and that was followed by a 1-0 loss in Finland. Both games saw them concede in the first quarter hour but kept their opponents at bay for the rest of the match. They have only won one of their last nine games (a 2-0 home win over Lithuania) and 10 of their last 11 games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. They get slightly better results at home and in the last year and a half have beaten Croatia, Cyprus and Lithuania on home territory.
Finland are in a strong position after two games in this group with maximum points and a three-point lead over Hungary and Greece. Those two countries meet this Friday and a win for Finland with a draw in the other game would put them well on the way to winning promotion to League B. They opened up this group with a 1-0 win over Hungary and followed that with a 1-0 win over Estonia. The Finns have only one defeat in their last 12 matches and away form has seen them lose one in five. 12 of their last 14 away games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them, With Estonia better on home territory and both teams struggling for goals, a bet on under 2.5 goals is the tip here.
Key points Estonia - Finland
10 of the last 11 Estonia games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
12 of the last 14 Finland away games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
There have been under 2.5 goals scored in three of the last four games played between these two countries.
Conclusion Estonia - Finland
Goals have been in short supply so far in this UEFA Nations League group. Estonia have lost both their games but only 1-0 and both of Finland's games have been won by that same score-line. The stats point towards a low-scoring game and the tip here is to go for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Estonia Finland Prediction published on October 9, 2018