Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Daniel Ngulu | in AFCON Predictions
First meets last in Group E of the African Cup of Nations as Algeria faces Equatorial Guinea in matchday three action. Heading into this game, Algeria have already secured their spot in the knockout round, while Equatorial Guinea stand eliminated. The Desert Foxes have so far banked six points from their opening two wins, while Nzalang Nacional have lost both games. We have the preview and a prediction going into this match.
This clash will make the fourth encounter between these two nations. Equatorial Guinea won 1-0 in the very first meeting in 2022 but haven't been able to get the better of Algeria since. They suffered a 2-0 loss in their 2024 meeting before drawing 0-0 in their latest.
Algeria, who have posted two wins in two in this group, will be keen on extending their dominance in this fixture. This edition will mark Equatorial Guinea’s first-ever elimination from the group stage at AFCON.
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The Best Betting Odds for Equatorial Guinea v Algeria Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.25 | 3.3 | 1.75 |
|
|
5 | 3.4 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.25 | 1.8 |
|
|
5.3 | 3.45 | 1.71 |
|
|
5 | 3.3 | 1.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Equatorial Guinea and Algeria?
Our prediction for the Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria match is: Algeria wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/12/2025 between Equatorial Guinea and Algeria in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 8.97% for a win of Equatorial Guinea against Algeria with odds of 5.3 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria is 35% with odds of 3.45 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Algeria vs Equatorial Guinea with odds of 1.8 at William Hill.
Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria Form
Equatorial Guinea and Algeria's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
Equatorial Guinea and Algeria Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
12 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
12 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
15 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
5 Sept 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Equatorial Guinea - Algeria: Form Analysis
Equatorial Guinea progressed to the knockout phase in the last two AFCON editions. They were among the giant killers back then, but this time their luck has run out. In their opening two matches, conceding late goals has been their key undoing.
In the last round, they were holding off Sudan just fine until the shock arrived 16 minutes to time. Saul Coco scored an own goal that went on to be the difference in the 1-0 loss to the East African nation. That loss wasn’t as painful as their first, though.
Equatorial Guinea conceded twice after the 90th minute to see their 85th-minute lead canceled. These results have left Equatorial Guinea on three straight defeats.
Equatorial Guinea have managed two wins across their last 11 matches.
Algeria have had a blistering start to the 2025 edition and are really keen on going for a third African title. In their opening match they beat Sudan 3-0 before seeing off Burkina Faso 1-0 in their latest outing.
That win over Burkinabe saw Algeria record an 18-game unbeaten run inside 90 minutes. In the last two AFCON editions, they exited at the group stages, one of them when playing as defending champions.
This time they did their homework well and stand out as one of the favorites, having equaled the total goals they scored in the last two editions.
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Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Equatorial Guinea & Algeria Squad Analysis
Emilio Nsue, one of Equatorial Guinea’s best players across the last two AFCON editions, has been a bit part player in this one. The Spain-based forward has only featured from the bench in one of the team’s two matches.
In the 2-1 defeat to Burkina Faso, he was an unused sub, and against Sudan, he came on for the closing 14 minutes. As such, he hasn’t had an impact as he did last time out, but he will be expected to start in this dead-rubber affair.
At 36, this could be his final major tournament with Equatorial Guinea, and he’d want to leave on a high.
Algeria, having already qualified, could choose to rest players in this game
Algeria have the comfort of resting their key players after their second win secured a knockout spot. The North Africans have benefitted a lot from Riyad Mahrez’s experience.
The forward, playing in his sixth AFCON tournament, has already scored three times in the opening two matches. Mahrez has now scored four times in his last three international appearances for Algeria.
Here he has the chance to atone for the missed penalty against Equatorial Guinea in their September 2024 meeting. Algeria won the match 2-0 anyway.
Most goals and assists
Equatorial Guinea
Algeria
R. Mahrez
(3 Goals)
H. Boudaoui
(2 Assists)
Equatorial Guinea and Algeria Stats in AFCON
Equatorial Guinea - Algeria Key Points
- Across their last 11 matches, Equatorial Guinea won just twice and lost six.
- Algeria are unbeaten in their last two meetings with Equatorial Guinea.
- Algeria haven't lost in 90 minutes in their last 18 matches, winning 10.
- Equatorial Guinea suffered defeat in each of their last three games.
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Our Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria Prediction
Equatorial Guinea have nothing to lose in this fixture, and neither does Algeria. There couldn’t be a better example of a dead rubber fixture. Algeria come here having already advanced to the knockout stage, while Equatorial Guinea have been eliminated.
Head-to-head, each has a win in their last three meetings, but Algeria will feel like the favorite, having avoided defeat in the last two. With progression secured, Algeria will feel the urge to rest players, but they still have a superior crop comparatively. History favors them as well. Our prediction for Equatorial Guinea v Algeria is that Algeria wins.
Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria - Other Interesting Predictions
Riyad Mahrez to score
Algeria have scored four goals so far and once again look determined to go the distance. They are in their 2019 shape, and Riyad Mahrez is leading the pack in what seems like his last AFCON.
The former Manchester City man is in superb form, scoring three of their four goals. In our second prediction, we are backing him to score.
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Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria match : Frequently asked questions
The Equatorial Guinea v Algeria match will be played on Wednesday, 31st December.
The Equatorial Guinea v Algeria match will be played at Prince Moulay Hassan Stadium in Rabat.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
