England vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
England haven’t enjoyed a great start to the UEFA Nations League; they are bottom of League A in Group 3 and will be hoping to change this when they host leaders Italy on Match Day 3. The Three Lions needed a late penalty goal to pick their first point in a 1-1 draw with Germany last time out, that coming after a 1-0 away loss to Hungary. It hasn’t been very rosy for them in the Nations League, with just one win in their last five matches. They’ve failed to score in three of those five Nations League matches, and kept just one clean sheet. Their only win in five Nations League matches was against Iceland, a 4-0 win, which is also the only time they scored more than a goal in their last five games. Only three of England’s last 10 Nations League matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
Italy are top of the group with four points and are coming from a 2-1 home win over Hungary, building on a 1-1 draw with Germany earlier. Some stability is coming to Italy’s fold but they still have a lot to do defensively, having failed to keep a clean sheet in the last five matches. They have two clean sheets only in the last 10 matches. They are unbeaten in their last three Nations League matches, and have just one loss in 12 matches in this competition. This meeting will be the first between these two nations since facing off in the Euro 2020 final, which Italy won on post-match penalties. While England will be seeking to avenge that as well as getting their first win in this season’s competition, Italy haven’t lost in four away games in this competition. They’ve also kept straight clean sheets in the four away matches in the Nations League.
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England v Italy Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.84 | 3.57 | 4.85 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.48 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.4 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.4 | 5 |
|
England vs Italy Form
England and Italy's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +1 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 |
England and Italy Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2021 - World Cup
12 Nov 2021 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
12 Nov 2021 - World Cup
12 Oct 2021 - World Cup
5 Sept 2021 - World Cup
7 Jul 2021 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2021 - World Cup
9 Oct 2021 - World Cup
8 Sept 2021 - World Cup
2 Sept 2021 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jun 2022 - Finalissima
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2022 - World Cup
15 Nov 2021 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
24 Mar 2022 - World Cup
12 Nov 2021 - World Cup
10 Oct 2021 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2021 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2022 - Finalissima
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2021 - World Cup
5 Sept 2021 - World Cup
2 Jul 2021 - Euro
11 Jun 2021 - Euro
England vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Jul 2021 - Euro
27 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies
England against Italy Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
N. Pope
J. Pickford
DefenderK. Walker
J. Stones
C. Coady
M. Guehi
J. Bellingham
C. Gallagher
K. Phillips
J. Bowen
B. Saka
H. Kane
A. Meret
P. Gollini
DefenderD. Calabria
L. Felipe
G. Scalvini
A. Florenzi
N. Barella
B. Cristante
S. Esposito
M. Politano
G. Wilfried
G. Raspadori
Most goals and assists
England
Italy
H. Kane
(2 Goals)
L. Pellegrini
(2 Goals)
,
G. Raspadori
(2 Goals)
,
F. Dimarco
(2 Goals)
R. James
(1 Assists)
,
B. Saka
(1 Assists)
G. Wilfried
(1 Assists)
,
L. Spinazzola
(1 Assists)
,
M. Politano
(1 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(1 Assists)
,
L. Bonucci
(1 Assists)
,
B. Cristante
(1 Assists)
,
D. Frattesi
(1 Assists)
,
G. Raspadori
(1 Assists)
England - Italy Key Points
- Seven of England’s last 10 Nations League matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
- England have failed to score in three of their last five Nations League games.
- Italy have one loss in their last 12 Nations League matches.
- England have scored more than a goal in two of 10 matches in the Nations League.
- Italy have no clean sheet in their last five matches.
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Our England vs Italy Prediction
England haven’t had a great run in the Nations League; they have just one win in the last five. However, after opening with two winless outings, here they will want to go a step higher. They face an Italy side on a good away run. A rematch of the Euro 2020 final, we expect England to up their game as they seek a first win in this competition, but Italy are also on a good away run in the competition and we expect a draw here.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
