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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Defending champion Iga Swiatek faces a tough task even to get to this year's Roland Garros final. The last 16 sees the fifth seed face 12th-seeded Elena Rybakina. Can Swiatek reach the quarter-finals of this outdoor clay court Grand Slam? Here's our match prediction.
The winner of this match will be up against either Jasmine Paolini or Elina Svitolina in the last eight. The seeded semi-final opponent is top seed Aryna Sabalenka. The French Open title is the only one that Swiatek currently holds. The Pole is down to fifth in the live rankings.
Her form has been disappointing this year with no finals being reached but four semi-final defeats. The Pole has reached round four without dropping a set but this is her first match against a seeded opponent.
Elena Rybakina won the clay court tournament played in Strasbourg last weekend. The 25-year-old is 4-4 in previous meetings with Swiatek but has won both of their clay court matches. A win here will take the world number 11 into the Roland Garros quarter-finals for the second successive year.
To reach round four, Rybakina has only dropped one set. The last round saw her impressively beat 21st seed Jelena Ostapenko for the loss of only four games.
We go for over 19.5 games in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Elena Rybakina v Iga Swiatek Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.75 | 1.44 |
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2.75 | 1.44 |
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2.75 | 1.45 |
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2.5 | 1.48 |
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2.65 | 1.5 |
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Who will win the Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek match is: over 19.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek game on 01/06/2025 of the current WTA French Open season:
- Elena Rybakina has a 40.73% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.8.
- Iga Swiatek has a 59.27% probability of winning facing Elena Rybakina ⭐ with odds of 1.51 at Betobet.
Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Elena Rybakina has a 40.73 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Elena Rybakina | 40.73 % |
Iga Swiatek | 59.27 % |
Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek Form
Elena Rybakina and Iga Swiatek Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
30 May 2025 - WTA French Open
28 May 2025 - WTA French Open
26 May 2025 - WTA French Open
24 May 2025 - WTA Strasbourg Open
23 May 2025 - WTA Strasbourg Open
22 May 2025 - WTA Strasbourg Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
30 May 2025 - WTA French Open
28 May 2025 - WTA French Open
26 May 2025 - WTA French Open
10 May 2025 - WTA Rome
8 May 2025 - WTA Rome
1 May 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
13 Feb 2025 - WTA Doha
3 Jan 2025 - United Cup
21 Dec 2024 - World Tennis League, Women Singles
20 Apr 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open
17 Feb 2024 - WTA Doha
21 Dec 2023 - World Tennis League, Men Singles
Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- The last five matches between these two players have all had over 19.5 games played in them.
- Both of their two previous meetings on clay went to a final set.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help boost our prediction's chances of success. There's been at least one in four of the last five matches played between Swiatek and Rybakina.
- Over 19.5 games have been played in four of Rybakina's last six matches.
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Our Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
It's not an easy task betting on Iga Swiatek these days. The former world number one is nowhere near as consistent as she hhas been in previous years, especially on clay. Will the Pole return to her best at Roland Garros or continue to struggle against top players?
Elena Rybakina is in form and has won her last seven matches. The 12th seed has never lost to Swiatek on this surface. Our Elena Rybakina v Iga Swiatek prediction is over 19.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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