Africa - AFCON
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by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
The top team in Group H of the 2025 AFCON qualifiers, DR Congo and the bottom side, Ethiopia, will meet on Match Day 6. There’s nothing to be gained from this game for either team, hosts DR Congo having qualified and Ethiopia eliminated. Here’s our prediction for the match.
Four wins in their opening four matches ensured Congo went into Match Day 5 having already qualified. The 1-0 away loss to Guinea, therefore, only broke their winning run.
This will be the fifth time in history that these teams get to meet. Congo have three wins in the previous four.
Ethiopia are coming from a 2-0 home loss at the hands of Tanzania. They head into another tough away match and not much is expected from them here either.
The one-time AFCON winners haven't been able to add to their single point earned on Match Day 1 of these qualifiers. much of their troubles in the qualifiers stem from the fact that they’ve been weak in attack.
Ethiopia have scored only one goal in their five matches in this group, in a 4-1 loss to Guinea. In each of their last four matches, they lost by a margin of at least two goals. In 10 straight away AFCON qualification matches, Ethiopia are winless.
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The Best Betting Odds for Congo DR v Ethiopia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.18 | 5 | 15 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.33 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 4.8 | 9 |
|
|
1.23 | 4.6 | 13 |
|
|
1.28 | 4.6 | 9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Congo DR and Ethiopia?
Our prediction for the Congo DR vs Ethiopia match is: DR Congo to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/11/2024 between Congo DR and Ethiopia in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.32% for a win of Congo DR against Ethiopia with odds of 1.33 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Congo DR vs Ethiopia is 23.71% with odds of 5 at William Hill.
- Our prediction model gives a 7.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Ethiopia vs Congo DR with odds of 15 at William Hill.
Congo DR - Ethiopia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Congo DR Ethiopia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Congo DR wins | 68.32% | 1.33 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 73.95% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | 2.7 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Congo DR | 37.31% | 3.6 at Betfair |
Congo DR vs Ethiopia Form
Congo DR and Ethiopia's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 |
Congo DR and Ethiopia Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sept 2024 - AFCON
6 Sept 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sept 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2 Feb 2024 - AFCON
17 Jan 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sept 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
10 Feb 2024 - AFCON
7 Feb 2024 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sept 2024 - AFCON
4 Sept 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sept 2024 - AFCON
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
4 Sept 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
8 Sept 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
Congo DR vs Ethiopia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
9 Sept 2024 - AFCON
Congo DR vs Ethiopia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Congo DR
Ethiopia
Y. Wissa
(2 Goals)
A. Masuaku
(1 Assists)
,
M. Elia
(1 Assists)
,
C. Bakambu
(1 Assists)
Congo DR - Ethiopia Key Points
- Ethiopia are winless in 10 away AFCON qualification matches.
- Ethiopia scored once in their last five AFCON qualification matches.
- DR Congo have four wins in their last five matches.
- DR Congo won with clean sheets five of their last six matches.
- In eight of 10 AFCON qualification matches at home, DR Congo kept clean sheets.
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Our Congo DR vs Ethiopia Prediction
For these two nations, this is a dead rubber affair. Still both teams will want to finish their qualification campaigns with wins. For Ethiopia, it will be a tall order given their form in such matches. Playing as visitors, they haven't won in AFCON qualification in the last 10 attempts.
They’ve also scored just once in their last five AFCON qualification matches. Meanwhile, DR Congo have a good run at home in AFCON qualification and we expect them to finish their campaign on a high. Our prediction for DR Congo v Ethiopia is for DR Congo to win to nil.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
