England - Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula in Championship Predictions
Derby County and Stoke City will take their survival battle to the season-ending match in the Championship. Heading into round 45 of the league, hosts derby are 19th, trailing Stoke City by a point. Read on for our prediction.
Derby County sit just one point above the drop zone, and survival is within their control. They only need a win here or to match Hull City’s result. For a side that has posted straight wins in the last two matches, that shouldn’t be a problem.
They beat Hull City 1-0 in their last outing. However, the Rams will be concerned that they are winless in the last two home fixtures.
Stoke City should be worried about their season-ending form. The 50 points they’ve garnered so far place them two points above the relegation region. Like Derby County, their fate is in their hands.
A win will secure their continued stay in the Championship. A draw could also be enough but will be dependent on other results. The Potters are coming off two straight defeats, a run that has pushed their survival fight to the final day of the regular season.
Understandably, though, the two games were against much stronger sides. The latest of them was a 2-0 loss at home against Sheffield United, having earlier lost 6-0 at Leeds United.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Stoke Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 2.8 | 4.1 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.88 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.2 | 2.7 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.8 | 4 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.1 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Stoke match is: Derby County wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2025 between Derby County and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.4% for a win of Derby County against Stoke with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Stoke is 22.5% with odds of 2.96 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Derby County with odds of 4.22 at Melbet.
Derby County - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 53.4% | 2.5 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 60.62% | 1.95 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Derby County | 25.3% | 5 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Stoke Form
Derby County and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18
|
51 | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | -17 |
|
19
|
50 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | -8 |
Derby County and Stoke Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
30 Dec 2021 - Championship
31 Jan 2020 - Championship
13 Mar 2019 - Championship
Derby County against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Stoke
J. Yates
(10 Goals)
L. Baker
(7 Goals)
, 
M. Manhoef
(7 Goals)
N. Mendez
(4 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Forsyth
(4 Assists)
A. Moran
(6 Assists)
Derby County - Stoke Key Points
- Derby County have three home wins in the last five matches.
- In five home matches against Stoke City, Derby are unbeaten.
- Stoke City are coming from two straight defeats.
- Derby County won their last two matches.
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Our Derby County vs Stoke Prediction
Derby County will welcome the prospect of wrapping up their season at home. It has been a tough one, and they’ll want to give fans one last win for the campaign. They come here fresh from two straight wins and will be more confident, having dominated their home matches against Stoke City.
The visitors, on the other hand, are coming from two straight defeats, in which they also failed to score. Their away from isn’t great either. Our prediction for Derby County v Stoke City is that Derby County wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Stoke
| Derby County vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2 | 2.2 | +10.0% |
| Draw | 3 | 2.8 | -6.7% |
| Stoke wins | 4.33 | 4.1 | -5.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 45.5% (-4.5%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Derby County vs. Stoke game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Derby County and Stoke when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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