Derby County vs Wrexham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Championship Predictions
Derby County’s best days haven't come in home matches, but they will aim for three Championship points when Wrexham visits. These two will face off on Sunday; Derby placed 11th and Wrexham 10th. We have a prediction for the match below.
For Derby, this will be a second straight home game, a chance to claim back-to-back home wins. They’ve done that once this season, and after an impressive 1-0 win against Middlesbrough, they will be optimistic going into this one.
The Rams moved to within five points of the top six and are looking to further build up their promotion hopes. There’s some hope, with their only win against Wrexham having come in a home match.
Just as Derby sees this as an opportunity for three points, so does Wrexham. The visitors are on a three-match winning streak and have an impressive scoring run.
They are coming off a 2-0 win at Blackburn, that being the fourth time in five matches that they scored two or more goals. Across their last 10 matches, Wrexham have only suffered two defeats – against Hull City and Swansea.
They haven't had a very strong run on the road though, with only two wins in their last 10 outings, though having only lost three times.
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Derby County v Wrexham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.26 | 3.05 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.22 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.02 | 3.41 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.05 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.1 | 3.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Wrexham?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Wrexham match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Derby County and Wrexham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.88% for a win of Derby County against Wrexham with odds of 2.35 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Wrexham is 44.45% with odds of 3.22 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Wrexham vs Derby County with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
Derby County - Wrexham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Wrexham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 44.45% | 3.22 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 62.84% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.75% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Wrexham Form
Derby County and Wrexham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
71 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | +4 |
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
Derby County and Wrexham Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
15 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
15 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
19 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
19 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Wrexham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
Derby County against Wrexham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 1 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
R. O'Donnell
DefenderD. Batth
C. Forsyth
MidfielderL. Travis
E. Adams
ForwardL. Salvesen
C. Blackett Taylor
A. Weimann
K. Jackson
C. Burton
DefenderD. Scarr
L. Cacace
C. Coady
MidfielderO. Rathbone
R. Barnett
L. O'Brien
G. Dobson
ForwardJ. Rodriguez
Missing players
A. James
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Wrexham
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
J. Windass
(16 Goals)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
I. Kabore
(8 Assists)
Derby County - Wrexham Key Points
- Wrexham failed to win in nine of their last 12 away matches, drawing four times.
- Derby are winless in nine of their last 13 home league games, drawing four.
- Across their last three home league matches, Derby posted draws in two.
- The latest meeting between these two sides ended in a draw.
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Our Derby County vs Wrexham Prediction
Wrexham have posted quite comfortable wins in their last three matches and will look to keep that going here. However, in a Derby side straight from beating Middlesbrough, the visitors will find a motivated team. Derby are also determined to improve their fortunes at home, so for Wrexham, this will not be a very rosy affair.
Derby have been shaky at home, though, and this could go either way. The last meeting between these teams ended in shared spoils, and there is a possibility for the same here. Our prediction for Derby County v Wrexham is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Wrexham
| Derby County vs Wrexham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.05 | 2.35 | +14.6% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.22 | -2.4% |
| Wrexham wins | 3.3 | 3.5 | +6.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 31.1% (0.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
