Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Middlesbrough and Southampton will face off next in the Championship, with both sides seeking a return to winning ways. A recent drop has seen Middlesbrough fall off the top two while Southampton remain in the bottom half. Let’s have a look at this match prediction.
The year 2025 didn’t end well for Middlesbrough, and neither has 2026 started any better. Boro are coming off a 1-0 loss at Derby County. That was their fourth straight winless outing and third defeat in the process.
At the end of this match, Middlesbrough fell out of the automatic promotion slots, and there will be genuine concern in the hosts’ camp.
Southampton are standing on much worse ground. Relegated from the Premier League, the Saints have so far failed to find their rhythm in the second tier. After 25 matches, they have managed just eight wins.
There are no guarantees that this match will bring better tidings as they approach it off the back of five winless outings. In that period, they suffered two losses, but most recently they drew 0-0 with Millwall, keeping their first clean sheet in eight games.
Southampton’s away shape isn’t great either. They collected just one point from the last four matches on the road. They’ve only won 13 of their 33 points on their travels.
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Middlesbrough v Southampton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.16 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.76 | 3.17 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.76 | 3.01 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.65 | 3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Southampton match is: Middlesbrough or a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Middlesbrough and Southampton in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.54% for a win of Middlesbrough against Southampton with odds of 2.24 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Southampton is 22.59% with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Middlesbrough with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
Middlesbrough - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Middlesbrough Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 42.54% | 2.24 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.82% | 1.93 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 78.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough | 20.11% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Middlesbrough vs Southampton Form
Middlesbrough and Southampton's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 |
|
5
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 |
Middlesbrough and Southampton Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
5 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
40 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2024 - Championship
23 Sept 2023 - Championship
13 May 2017 - Premier League
11 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Middlesbrough against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Mclaughlin
DefenderG. McCormick
D. Fry
MidfielderA. Gilbert
M. Hamilton
S. Nypan
R. Kante
A. Browne
S. Hansen
A. McCarthy
DefenderWelington
E. Jelert
J. Stephens
MidfielderK. Matsuki
C. Bragg
C. Archer
J. Robinson
R. Stewart
Missing players
D. Lenihan
A. Jones
M. Roerslev
Most goals and assists
Middlesbrough
Southampton
M. Whittaker
(14 Goals)
F. Azaz
(11 Goals)
,
A. Armstrong
(11 Goals)
M. Whittaker
(6 Assists)
,
H. Hackney
(6 Assists)
,
C. Brittain
(6 Assists)
L. Scienza
(9 Assists)
Middlesbrough - Southampton Key Points
- Middlesbrough won four times in their last eight matches.
- At home, Middlesbrough have registered five wins in 10 games.
- Southampton are winless in their last five matches, posting three draws.
- In these teams’ last three meetings, Middlesbrough are unbeaten, drawing twice.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction
Southampton’s promotion quest is in shambles after failing to win in 17 of their 25 league matches. While they haven't lost much lately, three draws in five outings isn’t a run to really build confidence. It is worse on the road, where they’ve lost three of the last four matches.
Middlesbrough’s charge has also come up short lately, as they are winless in the last four games, with three defeats. They have a slightly better run at home, though, and might bounce back here. Our prediction for Middlesbrough v Southampton is: Middlesbrough or a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Southampton
| Middlesbrough vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 2.26 | 2.24 | -0.9% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.8 | +8.6% |
| Southampton wins | 2.9 | 3.3 | +13.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.2% and is now 44.6% (0.4%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Middlesbrough vs. Southampton game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Middlesbrough and Southampton when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
