Norwich vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions
After their New Year's win in the Championship, Norwich and Stoke now meet for the second time following their 1-1 stalemate earlier. Will The Canaries or The Potters extend their one-game winning streak in 2026, or are we in for another draw? See our best bet in this match prediction!
Norwich is fighting to stay afloat after an abysmal start to the season that has placed them in the relegation zone (22nd). However, things have been getting greener for Norwich as of late. The Canaries, who won only two of their first 17 league games, are now unbeaten in five of their last six games and seven of their last nine.
The New Year’s 2-1 win over QPR away from home also made it four wins in that nine-game span and six victories for the season. They mostly have their offence to thank, as Norwich has now scored in 11 of its last 12 games.
In contrast, Stoke, who started with only three defeats in 14 games, are now struggling to even walk away with a draw. The Potters did just beat 5th-place Hull 1-0 away from home. However, that's just their first victory in four games. But even more glaring are the seven defeats Stoke has racked up in their last 11 games, leaving them just 10 points above relegation-bound Norwich.
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Norwich v Stoke Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.04 | 3.55 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.54 | 3.78 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.44 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.5 | 3.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Norwich and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Norwich vs Stoke match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Norwich and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.22% for a win of Norwich against Stoke with odds of 2.06 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norwich vs Stoke is 19.56% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Norwich with odds of 3.78 at Melbet.
Norwich - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Norwich Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich wins | 53.22% | 2.06 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.84% | 2.05 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Norwich | 24.4% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Norwich vs Stoke Form
Norwich and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | +7 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Norwich and Stoke Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
Norwich vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
16 Mar 2024 - Championship
16 Sept 2023 - Championship
18 Mar 2023 - Championship
Norwich against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Grimshaw
DefenderB. Chrisene
J. Stacey
J. Medic
MidfielderA. Ben Slimane
T. Springett
ForwardM. Kvistgaarden
O. Schwartau
E. Marcondes
J. Bonham
DefenderJ. Dixon
J. Griffin
MidfielderS. Nzonzi
G. Kelly
T. Seko
F. Fawunmi
M. Manhoef
S. Gallagher
Missing players
S. Duffy
MidfielderM. Topic
G. Forsyth
ForwardA. Crnac
V. Johansson
Most goals and assists
Norwich
Stoke
J. Makama
(10 Goals)
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
K. McLean
(4 Assists)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
Norwich - Stoke Key Points
- Stoke has conceded the fewest goals this season (23).
- Stoke has also kept the joint-most clean sheets (9).
- Four of Stoke’s last six games and their last three away games finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Norwich's last six games and six of its last nine away home games finished with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Norwich vs Stoke Prediction
Stoke’s defensive solidity is the biggest factor in our decision to back the under 2.5 goals bet. We can't call them the best defensive team considering their position. But The Potters are up there after having conceded the fewest goals while keeping the joint-fewest clean sheets.
Their first leg ended 1-1. And while we're not sure of a draw, we expect a similar number of goals or possibly fewer, especially as Stoke and Norwich are 15th and 16th of 24 teams in goals scored this season. Hence, our Norwich vs Stoke prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Norwich Stoke
| Norwich vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich wins | 2.75 | 2.06 | -25.1% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.65 | +15.9% |
| Stoke wins | 2.5 | 3.78 | +51.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Norwich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 25.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 48.5% (12.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
