Derby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah in Championship Predictions
Derby County hosts Middlesbrough in their next Championship match. Both sides have struggled in recent weeks, and this game finds Derby 14th, with Middlesbrough second. Let’s have a look at the prediction here.
While Derby remain just six points off the top six, outcomes from the past weeks will not inspire much confidence. The festivities weren’t great for the Rams, who banked just two points from three games.
They were looking to build in two draws in the last outing but ended up 2-1 losers against Leicester City. It may be a consolation that they are 10 points off the bottom three. However, their home form isn’t great, having only bagged 14 points there out of their total 32.
Middlesbrough are the second-best away team and will be hoping that stat lifts a bit of their recent gloom. The visitors have claimed 19 of their 43 points in away matches.
They missed a chance to close in on league leaders Coventry last time out after a 1-0 home loss to Hull City. That loss signaled a third straight winless match, and not just that, they’ve also failed to score in three back-to-back outings.
Boro really can’t wait to see the end of the festive period and the tight fixtures. They’ve, however, won three of their last four meetings with Derby, and that will fuel their confidence coming here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Middlesbrough Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.82 | 3.25 | 2.4 |
|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.2 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.2 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Middlesbrough match is: Middlesbrough to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/01/2026 between Derby County and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.49% for a win of Derby County against Middlesbrough with odds of 3.11 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Middlesbrough is 33.13% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Derby County with odds of 2.5 at Betway.
Derby County - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 35.38% | 2.5 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 52.69% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time : Derby County / Full-time : Middlesbrough | 18.75% | 29 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Middlesbrough Form
Derby County and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
43 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
|
11
|
35 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
Derby County and Middlesbrough Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
15 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
15 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
5 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
5 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
40 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
1 Jan 2019 - Championship
27 Oct 2018 - Championship
Derby County against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Missing players
O. Beck
M. Johnston
MidfielderD. Ozoh
ForwardC. Morris
S. Dieng
DefenderD. Lenihan
G. Edmundson
A. Jones
D. Fry
MidfielderR. McGree
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Middlesbrough
C. Morris
(10 Goals)
M. Whittaker
(8 Goals)
J. Ward
(7 Assists)
H. Hackney
(4 Assists)
,
C. Brittain
(4 Assists)
Derby County - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Middlesbrough won four of their last seven matches.
- In four of Derby’s last five matches, both teams scored.
- Derby failed to score in one of the last four meetings with Boro.
- Middlesbrough won three of their last four meetings with Derby.
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Our Derby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Middlesbrough have done well in this fixture lately and will be gunning for the same here. That, and the fact that they are the second-best performing away side, should be enough to lift their confidence levels.
They will also be looking to return to scoring ways, and such a match presents a good opportunity. Derby aren’t goal-shy either, so there is some value in backing both teams to score. Our prediction for Derby County v Middlesbrough is for Middlesbrough to win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Middlesbrough
| Derby County vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.82 | 2.82 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.25 | +1.6% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 2.35 | 2.4 | +2.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 41.7% (-0.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Derby County vs. Middlesbrough game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Derby County and Middlesbrough when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
