England - Championship
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Championship Predictions
After contrasting results in their first matches, Derby County and Coventry City will clash on matchday two of the Championship this Saturday, both seeking their first win. This match at Pride Park Stadium between the Rams and the Sky Blues comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Derby lost 3-1 away to Stoke City last week to be one of the nine teams on zero points after the first round. Coventry had a 0-0 home draw in their season opener to be one of the six teams to get a point from the first round.
The Rams were undone by two goals late into stoppage time when Stoke found a way to three points last weekend. They bounced back in the midweek in the EFL Cup, defeating West Brom via penalties to progress to the second round.
Derby will take comfort from the fact that they did a season double over Coventry last year, including a 2-0 win at this venue in March.
Coventry had to settle for a point against Hull in their first-round fixture but followed it up with a tight 1-0 win over Luton in their EFL Cup game to progress to the second round.
The Sky Blues remain one of the toughest defensive units to breach, as they kept clean sheets in four of their last five competitive fixtures.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Coventry City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.1 | 2.45 |
|
|
3 | 3 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.25 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Coventry City?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Coventry City match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2025 between Derby County and Coventry City in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.52% for a win of Derby County against Coventry City with odds of 3.1 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Coventry City is 30.91% with odds of 3.25 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Coventry City vs Derby County with odds of 2.5 at Betfred.
Derby County vs Coventry City Form
Derby County and Coventry City's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
|
23
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Derby County and Coventry City Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2025 - Championship
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
14 Apr 2025 - Championship
28 Mar 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Coventry City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Mar 2021 - Championship
Missing players
C. Nelson
S. Langas
ForwardL. Salvesen
O. Dovin
MidfielderJ. Eccles
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Coventry City
C. Morris
(1 Goals)
,
J. Ward
(1 Goals)
E. Simms
(1 Goals)
Derby County - Coventry City Key Points
- Six of Derby’s last nine Championship games produced under 2.5 goals.
- In 11 of their last 12 home Championship matches, Derby saw fewer than three goals scored.
- Five of Coventry’s last six matches in all competitions produced fewer than three goals.
- Three of Coventry’s last four away matches in the Championship saw two or fewer goals.
- Eight of the last nine competitive matches between Derby and Coventry saw two or fewer goals scored.
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Our Derby County vs Coventry City Prediction
Derby were unlucky to lose on matchday one, with their defeat coming via two goals conceded in stoppage time. They did bounce back with a win in the Carabao Cup, which should raise their morale. Coventry had a goalless draw in their season opener, continuing their tryst with low-scoring matches. They followed it up with a win in the EFL Cup, once again keeping a clean sheet.
This fixture has recently produced some low-scorers, and that could continue. That’s why our Derby County vs Coventry City prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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