Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Beijing Open
ATP - ATP Beijing Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
It's already been a big week for Daniil Medvedev as he won the Hangzhou Open. Now he's in Beijing for the China Open and the third seed faces qualifier Pablo Carreno Busta in round one. Medvedev has won seven of his last eight matches and our prediction is he will win this in straight sets.
In the second round, the winner will be up against unseeded Jan-Lennard Struff.
Another good tournament will boost the chances of Medvedev qualifying for the ATP Tour Finals. He currently holds the final qualifying position.
Earlier this week, he beat fellow Russian Andrey Rublev to win the title in Hangzhou, That was his third ATP Tour outdoor hard court title of the year.
In his last eight matches, only Frances Tiafoe has beaten him.
He leads Busta 5-2 in previous meetings, but trails 2-1 on this surface. This is their first match in five years and Medvedev has won the last two.
Pablo Carreno Busta is the world number 66, sixty places below his opponent. The Spaniard has a 10-9 record on this surface in 2026, compared to Medvedev's 27-8. He had lost four of his last five outdoor hard court matches before winning two qualifiers to reach this main draw.
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Daniil Medvedev v Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.26 | 4.08 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.2 | 4.5 |
|
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Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreño-Busta match is: Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreño-Busta game on 02/10/2026 of the current ATP Beijing Open season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 65.65% chance to win against Pablo Carreño-Busta according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.26.
- Pablo Carreño-Busta has a 34.35% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 4.55 at Shangrila.
Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 65.65 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 65.65 % |
| Pablo Carreño-Busta | 34.35 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Form
Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreño-Busta Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
28 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
27 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
26 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
6 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
29 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
28 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
14 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
29 Jul 2021 - Olympic Tournament
25 Jun 2021 - ATP Mallorca Open
Daniil Medvedev - Pablo Carreño-Busta Key Points
- Medvedev was 60 places higher than his opponent in the latest rankings.
- Only seven players have earned more ranking points than Medvedev this year.
- Medvedev won the Hangzhou Open earlier this week, his third ATP Tour outdoor hard court title of the year.
- Medvedev has won his last two matches against Busta.
- Only twice this year has Busta made it to round two of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction
Daniil Medvedev has had some time to recover from winning the Hangzhou Open on Monday. He is in excellent form at present and won that title for the loss of only one set. Seven of his last eight matches have been won and all but one of those victories were in straight sets.
Pablo Carreno Busta won two matches in straight sets to reach this main draw. He's been struggling on this surface and was in poor form before those qualifying wins. Our Daniil Medvedev v Pablo Carreno Busta prediction is Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
