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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
The struggling Dallas Mavericks take on the flawless Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 4, and this game has the potential to defy the odds. In their last four NBA meetings, the Mavs have beaten OKC three times, doing so even during the Thunder’s winning run. See our best Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder match prediction below.
As we mentioned, the Mavs have consistently defied the odds against OKC, especially at home. That's why we're banking on the over 21.5 points line for Anthony Davis, which is a bet that's consistently won in his H2H against the Thunder and all his NBA games so far.
According to StatsMuse, in his last ten games against Oklahoma, Davis is averaging 25.0 points and has won this bet in seven of those games. If we're looking at most recent games alone, he's won this bet in five of his last six against OKC. What's more, Davis has averaged 24.7 points in the NBA so far, clearing over 21.5 points in all three of his games.
His last outing and the Mavs' first win of the season saw Davis score 25 points, with Dallas beating the Raptors 139-129. Meanwhile, OKC just made it 3/3 wins in their 100-117 victory over the Hawks. But what's interesting is that OKC has allowed 22+ points to the opponents’ star men in two of their three games so far.
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The Best Betting Odds for Dallas Mavericks v Oklahoma City Thunder Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.7 | 1.29 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.4 | 1.33 |
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3.7 | 1.28 |
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3.55 | 1.32 |
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Who will win the Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder match is: Anthony Davis scored over 21.5 points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder game on 27/10/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Dallas Mavericks has a 42.51% chance to pick up the win against Oklahoma City Thunder according to Bwin ⭐ with the odds of 4.
- There is a probability of 57.49% ⭐ for Oklahoma City Thunder to win vs Dallas Mavericks with odds of 1.33 at Betway.
Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1
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1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
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13
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0.333 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
26 Oct 2025 - NBA
24 Oct 2025 - NBA
22 Oct 2025 - NBA
18 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
16 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
14 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Oct 2025 - NBA
24 Oct 2025 - NBA
22 Oct 2025 - NBA
14 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
10 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
11 Apr 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
18 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
16 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
12 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
18 Apr 2025 - NBA
16 Apr 2025 - NBA
13 Apr 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Oct 2025 - NBA
23 Oct 2025 - NBA
21 Oct 2025 - NBA
19 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
16 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
15 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Oct 2025 - NBA
19 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
16 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
12 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
5 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
22 Jun 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Oct 2025 - NBA
23 Oct 2025 - NBA
15 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
10 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
8 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
7 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
23 Jan 2025 - NBA
17 Jan 2025 - NBA
10 Dec 2024 - NBA
17 Nov 2024 - NBA
18 May 2024 - NBA
15 May 2024 - NBA
Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- Anthony Davis scored over 21.5 points in all three NBA games so far.
- Anthony Davis has averaged 25.0 points in his last ten games vs OKC.
- In his last ten games against the Thunder, Davis scored 22+ points in seven games.
- OKC has allowed 22+ points to three players over two games this season.
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Our Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
With the Mavs’ potential to end the Thunder’s winning streak, we think the better play here is backing Dallas’ star man to make at least 22 points. For one, he's done so consistently against OKC, winning the bet in seven of the last ten games he's played.
Moreover, Davis has cleared the 22-point line in all three NBA games this season, while OKC has allowed over 21.5 points to three star players over two games. Therefore, our Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is that Anthony Davis scored over 21.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.