Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

Prediction published on 18/12/2025, 03:25  by Geoffrey Ejiga | Modified on 18/12/2025 at 03:38 in NBA Predictions

The Dallas Mavericks are in hot form in recent games, with five wins in their last seven after failing to even win back-to-back games all season. But can the Mavs end the Eastern Conference leaders' four-game winning run? See our best Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons match prediction.

We don't see the Mavs ending Detroit’s winning run, and more importantly, we see Dallas losing by at least 2+ points. The Pistons have simply been on another level all season, and on all fronts. Detroit are 9th in offensive rating (117.4), but leads as second in defense ratings (111.2).

It's a similar story with the Pistons points scored and allowed per game. Detroit averaged 119.3 points per game (7th) and allowed 113.0, which is the 5th-lowest. That Discrepancy has earned them a +6.3 +/- average per game, which is way beyond the -1.5 we're betting on. Dallas, on the other hand, still has a -3.9 +/- this season, despite their recent successes.

Another deciding factor will be Detroit’s high FG% of 48.5% (7th) plus high offensive rebound per game of 13.4 (4th). Dallas has impressed by allowing only 46.3% FG% (11th), but the Pistons win just too many rebounds up front, which gives them numerous second chances. In their only meeting this season, Detroit won 14 offensive rebounds, helping them beat the Mavs 122-110.