Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
Matchday 11 in the Brasileiro Serie A season sees third-place Cruzeiro hosting league leaders Palmeiras. Raposa have accumulated 20 points in a strong start to the year and find themselves two points behind Verdao. Here’s our match prediction!
After a shock relegation in 2019, Cruzeiro had to spend three seasons in the Serie B before winning promotion back to the top flight. Now in their third straight season of top flight football following their return in 2022, Cruzeiro look to be putting things together.
They’ve come out hot out of the gates with six wins and two draws from their first 10 matches. However, a 0-0 home draw to Union in the Copa Libertadores saw them eliminated in the group stage, meaning their full attention will now be domestically.
To their credit, Cruzeiro have strung together a 10-match unbeaten run across all competitions, seven of which ended in victory.
Palmeiras suffered a disappointing 2-0 home loss to Flamengo in their last Serie A fixture, a result which ended a seven-game winning run across all competitions. It also saw Palmeiras have their lead cut to just one point in the standings.
Abel Ferreira’s side would respond strongly though, trouncing Sporting Cristal 6-0 in the Copa Libertadores, confirming Palmeiras perfect 6-0-0 record in the group stage of that competition. They’ve now scored 13 goals in their last five matches overall while conceding just three.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cruzeiro v Palmeiras Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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3.4 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
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2.88 | 2.88 | 2.63 |
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3 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
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2.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
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3.15 | 2.75 | 2.63 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cruzeiro and Palmeiras?
Our prediction for the Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/06/2025 between Cruzeiro and Palmeiras in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.48% for a win of Cruzeiro against Palmeiras with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras is 13.36% with odds of 3 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro with odds of 2.65 at Bwin.
Cruzeiro - Palmeiras Prediction and Best Odds:
Cruzeiro Palmeiras Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Palmeiras wins | 49.16% | 2.65 at Bwin |
Under 2.5 | 54.21% | 1.95 at 22bet |
Both Team To Score | 36.25% | 2.1 at William Hill |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Palmeiras | 19.88% | 6.5 at Unibet |
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Form
Cruzeiro and Palmeiras's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
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23 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
4
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22 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Cruzeiro and Palmeiras Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
4 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
27 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
24 Apr 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
20 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
15 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
4 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2025 - Copa do Brasil
24 Apr 2025 - Copa Libertadores
20 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Dec 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Dec 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Dec 2019 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Sep 2019 - Brasileirão Serie A
Cruzeiro against Palmeiras Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists












Cruzeiro - Palmeiras Key Points
- Three of Palmeiras’ five away league matches have seen both teams score.
- The last time these two faced off saw Palmeiras win 2-1 away from home in December of 2024.
- Cruzeiro have scored 16 goals in their last nine matches across all competitions.
- Palmeiras have scored in eight of their last nine matches, netting 18 goals during that stretch.
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Our Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Prediction
Cruzeiro’s defense has been solid, but they’ll face a huge test here against arguably the best team on the continent at the moment. That’s not to say that Leonardo Jardim’s side won’t fancy their chances as it’s been over a month since they last tasted defeat.
Palmeiras, meanwhile, will be looking to get right back on track in the league following their disappointing loss to Flamengo last weekend. However, as they showed in midweek, it’s an extremely tall task to keep this team off the scoresheet. Therefore, our Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras prediction is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cruzeiro Palmeiras
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Cruzeiro wins | 3.25 | 3.4 | +4.6% |
Draw | 3.25 | 2.9 | -10.8% |
Palmeiras wins | 2.2 | 2.4 | +9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Palmeiras is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 41.7% (-3.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Cruzeiro vs. Palmeiras game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Cruzeiro and Palmeiras? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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