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11 October 2020 - 12:00 

- Day 3

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Croatia
VS
Sweden

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Croatia vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Prediction

After midweek friendly matches, Croatia and Sweden are set to face off in their Match Day 3 action of the UEFA Nations League this Sunday in Zagreb. Going to this clash, both sides will be seeking their first points of the campaign after losing their opening two games. Croatia have conceded five goals and find themselves bottom while Sweden, third in Group 3 of League A, have conceded three. While Croatia have scored three goals, Sweden are yet to score in their opening two matches. The two nations registered wins in their warm up matches going to this clash; Croatia beat Switzerland 2-1 on Wednesday after coming from down. They will be looking to replicate this in the game, and also looking to keep their first clean sheet in seven games. They conceded four in each of their opening two group games, against Portugal and France. Considering the kind of opposition they faced then, it will be understandable but here the manager, Zlatko Dalic must fix the defence. The matches against Portugal and France were both played away from home and the Croats will be happy to be back at home for the Sweden clash, having done well at home in recent matches. They have seven wins in the last eight home matches and out of their last nine at home, Croatia have lost just once.

While Croatia have done well at home in recent games, the defensive problem persists; the team has conceded in seven of their last eight home matches, though they have scored in each of the eight matches and in seven of them scored two or more. Croatia’s last meeting with Sweden came in 2012, a friendly match, which Sweden won 3-1 but in the earlier three meetings between the two sides, Croatia produced wins. Sweden have never beaten Croatia in any competitive fixture and have conceded in each of their four meetings. The Suedes go to this game on the back of a 2-1 win away to Russia in a friendly match and will be hoping to replicate the same in this clash. The biggest positive from the Russia win is the return to scoring ways after failing to hit the back of the net in their opening two Nations League games. However, it is now three straight matches without a clean sheet and after losing two straight home matches in the group, they have the tough task of trying to change that when facing a side so good at home. The win away to Russia was however their fourth straight on the road and they will have the quality to handle Croatia, after their fine campaign in the Euro qualifiers. In five of their last six away matches, Sweden have scored two goals or more while keeping three clean sheets and five of the six have produced over 2.5 goals.

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Croatia vs Sweden Form

Croatia and Sweden's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Croatia
Croatia
3 6 1 0 5 -7
4
Sweden
Sweden
3 6 1 0 5 -8

Croatia and Sweden Last Matches

Croatia
Croatia Last matches
D W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
100%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
2
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
1 :  2
Croatia

8 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

France
4 :  2
Croatia

5 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
4 :  1
Croatia

19 Nov 2019 - International Friendlies

Croatia
2 :  1
Georgia

16 Nov 2019 - Euro

Croatia
3 :  1
Slovakia

13 Oct 2019 - Euro

Wales
1 :  1
Croatia
Sweden
Sweden Last matches
W W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
0.67
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

8 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
0 :  2
Portugal

5 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
0 :  1
France

18 Nov 2019 - Euro

Sweden
3 :  0
Faroe Islands

15 Nov 2019 - Euro

Romania
0 :  2
Sweden

15 Oct 2019 - Euro

Sweden
1 :  1
Spain

12 Oct 2019 - Euro

Malta
0 :  4
Sweden
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Croatia against Sweden Lineups: Starting 11

Croatia

Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2

1
D. Livakovic
2
F. Uremovic
6
D. Lovren
5
D. Caleta-Car
22
D. Melnjak
11
M. Brozovic
8
M. Kovacic
10
L. Modric
13
N. Vlasic
7
J. Brekalo
4
I. Perisic
9
M. Berg
11
A. Isak
10
E. Forsberg
8
A. Ekdal
20
K. Olsson
15
D. Kulusevski
6
L. Augustinsson
18
P. Jansson
3
V. Lindelof
2
M. Lustig
1
R. Olsen

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Sweden

Croatia - Sweden Key Points

  1. Five of Sweden’s last six away matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. Sweden have scored two or more goals in five of their last six away matches.
  3. Croatia have scored two or more in seven of their last eight matches at home.
  4. Croatia have seven wins in eight home matches.
  5. Croatia have conceded in six straight matches.
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Our Croatia vs Sweden Prediction

Croatia and Sweden will both be trying to get three points from this game and we can bet on an open game out in Zagreb after the two nations lost their opening games. Croatia are good at home and Sweden have proven they have the quality to get results on the road, and with the openness expected here, we can bet on goals on both sides. Further, Croatia have not kept a clean sheet in their last six games but have scored two or more in seven of their last eight at home. Sweden on their part, have no clean sheet in the four meetings with Croatia, and have scored two or more in five of their last six away matches. With this, we bet this game will produce over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Croatia vs Sweden Prediction

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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