Chile vs Ecuador Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in World Cup Predictions
Ecuador will push for a decisive result against Chile to stay in the top three spots of the CONMEBOL qualification matchday 14 in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. This match at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Pradanos on Wednesday comes with our prediction of a draw or away win. Ahead of this round, La Roja are bottom of the standings with nine points, while the visiting La Tri are 2nd with 22 points.
Chile are four points behind play-off spots, throwing doubts over their ability to reach the World Cup. La Roja hasn't reached the World Cup finals in the last two editions, and that exile may continue this edition if results don't improve.
They lost 1-0 away at Paraguay last week, negating the momentum of four points gained in two prior rounds. At home too, they lost two of their three recent home games in the qualifiers.
Chile's poor form is good news for Ecuador, which are separated from the sixth-placed Colombia by three points. They won 2-1 at home against Venezuela in the last round, making it three wins in a row.
For all their improvements, Ecuador struggled on the road recently. They were beaten only once in their last five away World Cup qualifiers, but only two wins in this sequence put them at risk.
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Chile v Ecuador Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 2.95 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.09 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.76 | 2.97 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.91 | 2.97 | 2.67 |
|
|
2.8 | 3 | 2.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Chile and Ecuador?
Our prediction for the Chile vs Ecuador match is: draw or Ecuador wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/03/2025 between Chile and Ecuador in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.73% for a win of Chile against Ecuador with odds of 3.05 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chile vs Ecuador is 26.82% with odds of 3.09 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Ecuador vs Chile with odds of 2.84 at Melbet.
Chile - Ecuador Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chile Ecuador Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins | 37.45% | 2.84 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.26% | 1.77 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.67% | 1.62 at LSbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ecuador | 14.51% | 6 at LSbet |
Chile vs Ecuador Form
Chile and Ecuador's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
29 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | +9 |
|
10
|
11 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -18 |
Chile and Ecuador Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
8 Feb 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
8 Feb 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sept 2024 - World Cup
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Jun 2024 - Copa America
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sept 2024 - World Cup
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
Chile vs Ecuador Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2021 - World Cup
5 Sept 2021 - World Cup
21 Jun 2019 - Copa America
5 Oct 2017 - World Cup
Players list
B. Cortes
DefenderF. Loyola
G. Maripan
G. Suazo
P. Diaz
MidfielderV. Pizarro
R. Echeverria
D. Valdes
A. Vidal
ForwardD. Osorio
E. Vargas
H. Galindez
DefenderP. Hincapie
W. Pacho
J. Ordonez
P. Estupinan
MidfielderD. Guagua
M. Caicedo
P. Vite
A. Franco
ForwardG. Plata
E. Valencia
Substitutes
L. Vigouroux
G. Castellon
DefenderE. Wiemberg
N. Fernandez
F. Sierralta
B. Kuscevic
MidfielderD. Escobar
E. Pavez
L. Cabral
C. Aranguiz
A. Aravena
F. Zampedri
D. Cabezas
M. Ramirez
DefenderY. Medina
F. Torres
C. Ramirez
MidfielderK. Arroyo
K. Paez
P. Mercado
D. Castillo
J. Mendez
ForwardJ. Mercado
J. Corozo
Most goals and assists
Chile
Ecuador
E. Vargas
(3 Goals)
E. Valencia
(6 Goals)
Chile - Ecuador Key Points
- Chile lost seven and drew two of their last ten World Cup qualifiers.
- At home, Chile failed to win three of their last four World Cup qualifiers.
- Ecuador won their last two matches against Chile.
- Ecuador are unbeaten in their last six matches, winning four.
- Ecuador avoided defeat in four of their last five away World Cup qualifiers.
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Our Chile vs Ecuador Prediction
Chile are closer to the bottom of the CONMEBOL standings, but the expanded format gives them a chance. They can still move into the top seven places but need a positive result here against Ecuador. That would be easier said than done, as the visitors are in cracking form. Their push to make it consecutive World Cup qualifications has seen them even make light note of a three-point penalty. The visitors are very strong defensively, and that gives them an edge here. Our Chile vs Ecuador prediction is drawn or Ecuador wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chile Ecuador
| Chile vs Ecuador | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chile wins | 2.6 | 3.05 | +17.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.09 | -6.4% |
| Ecuador wins | 2.6 | 2.84 | +9.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ecuador is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.5% and is now 35.2% (-3.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
