Europe - Conference League
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by Thobelani Moyo in Conference League Predictions
PFC Cherno More Varna will welcome Turkish outfit Istanbul Basaksehir to the Ludogorets Arena in the first leg of the UEFA Europa League second qualifying round. Here's our match prediction.
The Bulgaria First Professional Football League has already begun for PFC Cherno More Varna. It was not a great start, as they drew 1-1 against FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia in their opening match.
Concerning how they got into this season's UEFA Europa Conference League qualifiers, they finished in third place in the 2024-25 season.
The Sailors don't have a rich history in this competition. This is just their second appearance since their debut in the previous season. It was a short-lived fairytale, as they were eliminated in the second qualifying round, losing 2-1 on aggregate.
Istanbul Basaksehir, on the other hand, claimed the fifth spot in the 2024-25 Turkish Super Lig season, which was the last spot for ensuring participation in European football.
However, it can't be stressed enough that their previous campaign was underwhelming, considering their fourth-place finish in the 2023-24 season.
The Grey Owls are making their third appearance in the UEFA Europa Conference League qualifiers. So far, they have been successful in both qualifying editions and have either advanced to the group stages or the knockout rounds.
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The Best Betting Odds for PFC Cherno More Varna v Istanbul Basaksehir Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.7 | 3.3 | 1.85 |
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3.75 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
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3.8 | 3.3 | 1.95 |
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3.75 | 3.4 | 1.88 |
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3.8 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between PFC Cherno More Varna and Istanbul Basaksehir?
Our prediction for the PFC Cherno More Varna vs Istanbul Basaksehir match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/07/2025 between PFC Cherno More Varna and Istanbul Basaksehir in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.84% for a win of PFC Cherno More Varna against Istanbul Basaksehir with odds of 4.5 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PFC Cherno More Varna vs Istanbul Basaksehir is 37.7% with odds of 3.66 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Istanbul Basaksehir vs PFC Cherno More Varna with odds of 1.95 at William Hill.
PFC Cherno More Varna vs Istanbul Basaksehir Form
PFC Cherno More Varna and Istanbul Basaksehir Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jul 2025 - A PFG
26 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2025 - A PFG
18 May 2025 - A PFG
13 May 2025 - A PFG
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2025 - A PFG
13 May 2025 - A PFG
4 May 2025 - A PFG
18 Apr 2025 - A PFG
9 Apr 2025 - Bulgarian Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jul 2025 - A PFG
18 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - A PFG
10 May 2025 - A PFG
27 Apr 2025 - A PFG
22 Apr 2025 - Bulgarian Cup

3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2025 - Super Lig
25 May 2025 - Super Lig
18 May 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Super Lig
9 May 2025 - Super Lig
20 Apr 2025 - Super Lig
5 Apr 2025 - Super Lig
15 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2025 - Super Lig
18 May 2025 - Super Lig
3 May 2025 - Super Lig
28 Apr 2025 - Super Lig
Most goals and assists



PFC Cherno More Varna - Istanbul Basaksehir Key Points
- PFC Cherno More Varna have seen four of their last six matches across all competitions end with under 2.5 goals.
- Istanbul Basaksehir has seen three of their last four matches across all competitions end with under 2.5 goals.
- PFC Cherno More Varna have seen each of their last seven competitive matches, including in the previous season, end with under 2.5 goals.
- Istanbul Basaksehir's last competitive away match against Galatasaray in the previous season ended in a 2-0 defeat.
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Our PFC Cherno More Varna vs Istanbul Basaksehir Prediction
PFC Cherno More Varna are not playing on their home turf but in a neutral venue. However, when we take a look at their past competitive home matches from the previous season, we can see that they were the masters of the bore draw.
This is also a team that drew seven of their last eight matches. It's also worth mentioning that in each of their last ten home matches, the goals did not exceed 2.5. Istanbul Basaksehir could edge a narrow 1-0 away win in this one. Our PFC Cherno More Varna vs Istanbul Basaksehir prediction: under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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