England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Both Chelsea and Manchester United have European finals to look forward to in the coming weeks. For fifth-placed Chelsea, each of their remaining three fixtures is like a cup final. The Blues host Manchester United who are 16th in the Premier League. Here's our match prediction.
With two games to play, Chelsea occupy the final Champions League qualifying position. They are ahead of sixth-placed Aston Villa on goal difference and one point ahead of Nottingham Forest in seventh. They travel to Forest for their final league fixture of the season. Villa are also playing on Friday evening with a home match against Spurs. Chelsea have to at least match their result to stay in the top five.
Manchester United have only four teams below them in the Premier League table. Yet this month could also see them qualify for the Champions League. Like their opponents, the Red Devils lost their last league fixture. How much do they care about this game with the Europa League final on the horizon?
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5.25 | 7 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.25 | 7 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.25 | 8 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.2 | 8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Manchester United match is: Chelsea to win and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2025 between Chelsea and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.79% for a win of Chelsea against Manchester United with odds of 1.4 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Manchester United is 22.57% with odds of 5.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Chelsea with odds of 8.15 at 1xbet.
Chelsea vs Manchester United Form
Chelsea and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
63 | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
|
16
|
39 | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | -11 |
Chelsea and Manchester United Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Premier League
8 May 2025 - Conference League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
1 May 2025 - Conference League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2025 - Conference League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
17 Apr 2025 - Conference League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Premier League
1 May 2025 - Conference League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Premier League
8 May 2025 - Europa League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
1 May 2025 - Europa League
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Premier League
8 May 2025 - Europa League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Premier League
1 May 2025 - Europa League
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
25 May 2023 - Premier League
22 Oct 2022 - Premier League
28 Apr 2022 - Premier League
Chelsea - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Chelsea's hopes of playing in next season's Champions League suffered a blow last weekend. The Blues were beaten 2-0 at Newcastle United but other results meant they remained fifth in the table.
Chelsea look to continue their good home form.
They were beaten 2-0 at Newcastle on Sunday, their seventh away league loss of the season. It's a good job they have the fourth best home record in the Premier League. They have won 11 games this season and that includes seven of the last eight and just one loss since the first weekend of this season.
Their most recent home fixture saw them beat champions Liverpool 3-1. Their Conference League final may be on its way but a top-five finish is so important for them. That could be achieved this weekend, especially if they can earn three points against United.
How much do United care about the Premier League?
It's been a strange season for Manchester United but could yet have a happy ending. The Reds are 24 points behind Chelsea but it's possible they could qualify for next season's Champions League and Chelsea miss out. That's because of their upcoming Europa League final against Tottenham.
A win takes them into the Champions League and that is their priority. It has been for a while and United have gone seven Premier League games without a win with five defeats. Compare that with an unbeaten run of 14 games in the Europa League!
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Chelsea vs Manchester United last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
W. Fofana
MidfielderA. Anselmino
ForwardO. Kellyman
M. Mudryk
M. Guiu
C. Nkunku
L. Martinez
A. Heaven
D. Dalot
M. De Ligt
MidfielderT. Collyer
ForwardJ. Zirkzee
Chelsea & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Chelsea will be without Nicolas Jackson for this game. He was sent off in Sunday's 2-0 loss at Newcastle United. He will also be unavailable for the final league game at Nottingham Forest but can play in the Conference final.
They are also without Marc Guiu and Christopher Nkunku for this match. Jadon Sancho is also unavailable as he is on loan from United. Chelsea don't need a goal fest in this game, just three points will do even if it's a 95th minute own-goal and two of their last three home league games have seen one.
Trouble up front for Chelsea.
Chelsea may have to look to midfield for their goals in this game. Cole Palmer needs to find his scoring boots and his only recent home league goal came from the penalty spot. Enzo Fernandez has scored twice in the last four home league games for them.
Manchester United would not be blamed at all if they were to leave out some key players for this match. That wouldn't please Forest and Villa though but Liverpool did the same recently when losing at Stamford Bridge.
The last thing United want at present is injuries but Leny Yoro suffered one against West Ham last weekend and is doubtful for this game. Matthijs de Ligt is also out and it's possible a few fringe players will receive an outing on Friday evening.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Manchester United
C. Palmer
(15 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(17 Goals)
E. Fernandez
(12 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(16 Assists)
Chelsea and Manchester United Stats in Premier League
Chelsea - Manchester United Key Points
- Chelsea have won seven of their last eight home league games.
- Only one of Chelsea's last 17 home league games has been lost.
- Manchester United have gone seven league fixtures without a win, five ending in defeat.
- Manchester United have conceded four goals in two of their last three away league matches.
- Six of Chelsea's 11 home league wins this season have seen them ahead at half and full time.
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Our Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction
Chelsea cannot afford any slip-ups in this game if they want to avoid a final day showdown at Nottingham Forest. It's possible they could qualify for the Champions League this weekend. However, a poor result here could see them drop to seventh with that trip to Forest to come.
Their home form has been strong though and they take on a Manchester United side that has had an appalling Premier League season, Winning the Europa League is their number one priority. Our main Chelsea v Manchester United prediction is Chelsea to win and lead at half and full time.
Prediction :
Chelsea to win and lead at half and full time
Chelsea vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions
Chelsea to keep a clean sheet.
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Chelsea vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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