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England - Premier League

Chelsea
01 Dec 2024 08:30
Aston Villa

Prediction :

 

Chelsea to win

 
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Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions

Chelsea are third in the Premier League and host Aston Villa on Sunday. Their opponents are eighth in the table but only three points behind them. The Blues have shown better form this season and are also going well in the Conference League with their 100% record maintained on Thursday at Heidenheim. Their aim will be at least a top four finish this season. Home form could do with being improved on though with only a couple of wins in the Premier League this season.

Aston Villa are only outside the top six on goal difference and three points behind the Champions League places. They have won five league games this season but while scoring 19 goals have conceded the same number. Three of their six away league games have been won so the Villains some confidence of being able to get something from this game though they are on a winless run at present. Here’s our match prediction.

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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Aston Villa Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.67 4.1 4.5
Ladbrokes
1.7 4 4.33
1xbet
1.76 4.33 4.42
22bet
1.76 4.33 4.42
Betobet
1.69 4.1 4.8
Stake
1.73 4.3 4.6
Melbet
1.68 4.26 4.5
Tonybet
1.69 4.3 4.6
Betway
1.73 4 4.33
Unibet
1.66 4.2 4.7
Betfair
1.67 3.9 4.75
Betsson
1.75 4.05 4.7
William Hill
1.7 4 4.5
Vbet
1.73 4.1 4.8
Check all Chelsea vs Aston Villa odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Aston Villa?

Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Aston Villa match is: Chelsea to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/12/2024 between Chelsea and Aston Villa in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.15% for a win of Chelsea against Aston Villa with odds of 1.76 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Aston Villa is 28.64% with odds of 4.33 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Chelsea with odds of 4.8 at Betobet.

Chelsea - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:

Chelsea Aston Villa Prediction Probability Odds
Chelsea wins 53.15% 1.76 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 63.53% 1.57 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 69.58% 1.57 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea 25.52% 5 at Bet365

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Form

Chelsea and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Chelsea
Chelsea
31 15 9 4 2 17
6
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
25 16 7 4 5 -1

Chelsea and Aston Villa Last Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
L D W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Nov 2024 - Conference League

Heidenheim
0 :  2
Chelsea

23 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Leicester
1 :  2
Chelsea

10 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

7 Nov 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
8 :  0
FC Noah Yerevan

3 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Chelsea

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

7 Nov 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
8 :  0
FC Noah Yerevan

27 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Newcastle

6 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

3 Oct 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
4 :  2
Gent

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  2
Brighton
L W L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Nov 2024 - Conference League

Heidenheim
0 :  2
Chelsea

23 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Leicester
1 :  2
Chelsea

3 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Chelsea

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

24 Oct 2024 - Conference League

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  4
Chelsea

20 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
L L L L D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Juventus

23 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Crystal Palace

9 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Aston Villa

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Club Brugge
1 :  0
Aston Villa

3 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham
4 :  1
Aston Villa

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Crystal Palace
D W D L D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

27 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Juventus

23 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Crystal Palace

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Crystal Palace

26 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Bournemouth

22 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Bologna

6 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Manchester United
W D W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Aston Villa

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Club Brugge
1 :  0
Aston Villa

3 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham
4 :  1
Aston Villa

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  3
Aston Villa

29 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
2 :  2
Aston Villa

24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Wycombe Wanderers
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

33 %

Draw

33 %

Aston Villa

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Chelsea

7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Chelsea

26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  0
Aston Villa

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Aston Villa

1 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Aston Villa

16 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  2
Chelsea
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Chelsea - Aston Villa: Form Analysis

Chelsea have already won six Premier League games this season. Only a couple have been lost and one of those was in their opening game at home to Manchester City. They have scored 23 league goals this season but 14 of those have come on the road.

Home form has only seen two of their six league games being won with three of the last five being drawn. They come into this match unbeaten in their last five league and cup games and won 2-0 at Heidenheim on Thursday in the Conference League.

Villa are looking to end their poor run of form.

Aston Villa have gone seven league and cup matches without a win. Their last victory in the Premier League was in late October. Midweek saw them held to a goalless home draw by Juventus in the Champions League.

The Villains have only earned two points from their last four Premier League matches. The last two away fixtures have both ended in defeat with losses at Tottenham and Liverpool with six goals being conceded.

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Chelsea against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11

Chelsea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Sanchez
25
M. Caicedo
29
W. Fofana
6
L. Colwill
3
M. Cucurella
45
R. Lavia
8
E. Fernandez
19
J. Sancho
20
C. Palmer
7
P. Neto
15
N. Jackson
11
O. Watkins
19
J. Philogene
27
M. Rogers
7
J. McGinn
8
Y. Tielemans
44
B. Kamara
12
L. Digne
14
P. Torres
4
E. Konsa
2
M. Cash
23
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Aston Villa

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

R. James

Forward

O. Kellyman

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

J. Ramsey

Chelsea & Aston Villa Squad Analysis

Chelsea won in the Conference League on Thursday despite making plenty of changes for the game in Heidenheim. Their top players are all expected to make their return as several aren't even in the Conference League squad.

Cole Palmer, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana, Nicolas Jackson, Malo Gusta and Moises Caicedo are among those who will be back in contention to start against Aston Villa on Sunday afternoon.

Nkunku is doubtful for this match.

Christopher Nkunku played against Heidenheim but was substituted after getting injury. He'll be checked before this match but may play some part. Out of this game though is their captaini Reece James who has a hamstring injury. 

Aston Villa didn't rest players for their Champions League game against Juventus. They have injury doubts over Amadou Onana and Jacob Ramsey. One player who will be looking forward to this match is former Chelsea player Ross Barkley and makes his return to Stamford Bridge.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Colombia J. Duran (11 Goals)
Best assists
England C. Palmer (6 Assists)
Argentina E. Fernandez (6 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium Y. Tielemans (6 Assists)

Chelsea - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. Chelsea are unbeaten in their last five matches.
  2. Chelsea are unbeaten in their last nine home league and cup games.
  3. Aston Villa have gone seven games without a win.
  4. Aston Villa have lost their last two away league games, conceding six goals.
  5. Aston Villa haven't won in the Premier League since October and a form guide for the last five league games has them in 18th place.
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Our Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction

Chelsea had another good week in Europe though it was with a much changed side. That does help them though and they are yet to lose their Premier League match played the weekend after a game in Europe. They are unbeaten in their last five league and cup matches.

Aston Villa are struggling for wins at present. Not since October have they won in the Premier League and are 18th in a form guide for the last five games. Our main Chelsea v Aston Villa prediction is Chelsea to win.

Prediction :

 

Chelsea to win

 
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Chelsea vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions

Chelsea to win and both teams to score

Odds 3
Chelsea last three home wins in the Premier League have all seen both teams score. Both teams have scored in five of Aston Villa's last six Premier League fixtures.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Aston Villa

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Chelsea wins 1.69 1.67 -1.2%
Draw 4.2 4.1 -2.4%
Aston Villa wins 4.33 4.5 +3.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Chelsea is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.2% and is now 59.9% (0.7%)

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Chelsea vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions

This Premier League match between Chelsea and Aston VIlla is being played on Sunday December 1. It's scheduled kick-off is 13:30 UK time.
This is a home match for Chelsea and will be played at Stamford Bridge. They have only lost to Manchester City in their last 19 home competitive fixtures.
This match between Chelsea and Aston VIlla will be shown live on Sky Sports and a subscription or day pass is required. You can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore where you'll find live text commentary and updated statistics to help you with your in-play bets.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction
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