Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction & Betting Tips - Jupiler Pro League
Belgium - Jupiler Pro League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Jupiler Pro League Predictions
It’s a top-of-the-table clash in the Jupiler Pro League as Charleroi and Union Saint-Gilloise clash on matchday five on Saturday at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. This match between the 1st-placed ‘Zebras’ and the 2nd-placed ‘Old Lady’ could see action from both sides, with our prediction backing BTTS.
Before this round, Charleroi are top of the table with 12 points (W4), although Gent could catch up if they win on Thursday night. The Union are right behind Charleroi with 10 points (W3, D1).
Charleroi won 3-1 away at Kortrijk last weekend to extend their winning start to the campaign. They have been one of the best defensive sides too, conceding only two goals so far.
Both their home games this league campaign have seen two-goal winning margins, as the ‘Zebras’ look to extend their momentum. The challenge is to stop their nemesis, as Charleroi haven’t won at home against Union in any competition since 1971.
A 3-0 away win at St Truiden on Wednesday made it three consecutive clean sheets for Union (W3, D1). They are also the highest-scoring team of the division – before Thursday’s games – with 11 goals in total.
Eight of those goals have come in two of their league trips as they look to extend their record of nine wins across their last ten league head-to-head games (D1).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Charleroi v Union Saint-Gilloise Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.85 | 3.55 | 1.94 |
|
|
4.22 | 3.63 | 1.93 |
|
|
4.12 | 3.54 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.12 | 3.54 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.12 | 3.64 | 1.89 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Charleroi and Union Saint-Gilloise?
Our prediction for the Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2026 between Charleroi and Union Saint-Gilloise in Jupiler Pro League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.77% for a win of Charleroi against Union Saint-Gilloise with odds of 4.22 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise is 29.5% with odds of 3.64 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Charleroi with odds of 1.97 at Tonybet.
Charleroi - Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction and Best Odds:
| Charleroi Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise wins | 36.73% | 1.97 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.74% | 2.06 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Union Saint-Gilloise | 21.18% | 5.50 at Betsson |
Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise Form
Charleroi and Union Saint-Gilloise's standings in the Jupiler Pro League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 |
|
4
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +18 |
Charleroi and Union Saint-Gilloise Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
22 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
16 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
9 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
9 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
16 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
2 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
16 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
10 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
25 Apr 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Sept 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
30 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
15 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
11 Aug 2026 - Champions League
8 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
4 Aug 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
15 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
4 Aug 2026 - Champions League
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Sept 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
11 Aug 2026 - Champions League
8 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
31 Jul 2026 - Super Cup
21 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
17 May 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2026 - Belgian Cup
4 Feb 2026 - Belgian Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
18 Oct 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
11 Jan 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
16 Aug 2024 - Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi against Union Saint-Gilloise Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
M. Delavalee
DefenderN. Solheid
M. Sow
T. Rowe
I. Cisse
M. Kera
A. Colassin
A. Bojang
G. Nawata
V. Chambaere
DefenderD. De Roeve
N. Havenaar
R. Schoofs
I. Hurtevent
I. Pavlic
D. Olaru
R. Mofokeng
D. Aquino
Most goals and assists
Charleroi
Union Saint-Gilloise
F. Mbemba
(3 Goals)
,
A. Scheidler
(3 Goals)
R. Florucz
(4 Goals)
P. Pflucke
(3 Assists)
M. Biondic
(4 Assists)
Charleroi - Union Saint-Gilloise Key Points
- Charleroi average 6.5 shots on target per game this league season.
- Seven of Charleroi’s last nine games have seen BTTS.
- Seven of Charleroi’s last 11 home league games saw both teams score.
- Union scored at least three goals in six of their last eight league games.
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Our Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction
This is an early-season clash between two in-form sides as Charleroi look to maintain their lead at the top. They have ticked most of the boxes this season – 6.5 shots on target per game, 12 big chances created, and 145 touches in the opposition box. Union aren’t too far, especially with their average of 2.8 goals per game.
Six of the last eight competitive matches between these sides produced goals from both teams, and going by their form this season, that could continue. Our Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Charleroi Union Saint-Gilloise
| Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi wins | 3.60 | 4.22 | +17.2% |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.64 | +3.4% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise wins | 2.01 | 1.97 | -2.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Union Saint-Gilloise is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 49.8% and is now 50.8% (1.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
