Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Conference League Predictions
Surprise package of the league phase in the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League, Celje, will look to continue their impressive start when they host Legia Warsaw on matchday three. This match on Thursday in Slovenia between the third-placed ‘Yellow and Blues’ and the 18th-placed ‘Militarians’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
With six points from the first two matchdays, Celje are third in the standings, one of the six teams to have started the league campaign with consecutive victories. Legia have three points and are stuck in the midtable logjam.
Celje won 2-1 at the weekend in their domestic league game for a third win in their last four matches. Having won 2-0 away at Shamrock Rovers and 3-1 at home against AEK Athens, the Slovenians are also impressing in the continental competition.
Home form is equally impressive, as Celje have five wins and a draw from their last six home matches this season in all competitions.
Legia drew 1-1 away from home in the Polish domestic league, which was their third successive stalemate in all competitions during regular time. They did win on matchday of this competition, 2-1 away at Shakhtar Donetsk, but that remains their only victory in their last five matches.
Even on the road, Legia lost three of their six recent trips, winning just once.
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The Best Betting Odds for NK Celje v Legia Warsaw Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.5 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.65 | 2.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between NK Celje and Legia Warsaw?
Our prediction for the NK Celje vs Legia Warsaw match is: NK Celje wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/11/2025 between NK Celje and Legia Warsaw in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.02% for a win of NK Celje against Legia Warsaw with odds of 2.38 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between NK Celje vs Legia Warsaw is 24.47% with odds of 3.65 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Legia Warsaw vs NK Celje with odds of 2.99 at LSbet.
NK Celje - Legia Warsaw Prediction and Best Odds:
| NK Celje Legia Warsaw Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| NK Celje wins | 61.02% | 2.38 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.62% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 69.05% | 1.65 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : NK Celje/NK Celje | 31.57% | 3.75 at Betfair |
NK Celje vs Legia Warsaw Form
NK Celje and Legia Warsaw's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
25
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 |
NK Celje and Legia Warsaw Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Prva Liga
29 Oct 2025 - Slovenia Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Prva Liga
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
18 Oct 2025 - Prva Liga
5 Oct 2025 - Prva Liga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Prva Liga
18 Oct 2025 - Prva Liga
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
27 Sept 2025 - Prva Liga
31 Aug 2025 - Prva Liga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Slovenia Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Prva Liga
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
5 Oct 2025 - Prva Liga
21 Sept 2025 - Prva Liga
14 Sept 2025 - Prva Liga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
30 Oct 2025 - Polish Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Ekstraklasa
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
19 Oct 2025 - Ekstraklasa
5 Oct 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2025 - Polish Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
28 Sept 2025 - Ekstraklasa
24 Sept 2025 - Ekstraklasa
14 Sept 2025 - Ekstraklasa
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
19 Oct 2025 - Ekstraklasa
5 Oct 2025 - Ekstraklasa
20 Sept 2025 - Ekstraklasa
31 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
NK Celje against Legia Warsaw Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
NK Celje
Legia Warsaw
F. Kovacevic
(16 Goals)
M. Rajovic
(3 Goals)
M. Kvesic
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Bejger
(1 Assists)
, 
V. Lisakovich
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Avdyli
(1 Assists)
P. Stojanovic
(1 Assists)
,
P. Wszolek
(1 Assists)
,
A. Jedrzejczyk
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Alfarela
(1 Assists)
, 
V. Bichakhchyan
(1 Assists)
,
B. Kapustka
(1 Assists)
,
R. Augustyniak
(1 Assists)
,
K. Urbanski
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Elitim
(1 Assists)
NK Celje - Legia Warsaw Key Points
- Celje won three of their last four matches in all competitions.
- Including qualifiers, Celje won their last four matches in the Conference League.
- Celje won five of their last six home matches in all competitions, drawing the other 0-0.
- Legia lost three of their last six away matches in all competitions, drawing two, and winning only once.
- Legia failed to win four of their last five matches in all competitions.
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Our NK Celje vs Legia Warsaw Prediction
Who would have given Celje a chance before the league phase began! The Slovenians have surprised everyone by winning both their matches in the league phase to start this round closer to the top. Their recent form in all competitions has been equally impressive, raising hopes among the fans that their run could continue. Legia haven’t had the best of times in the recent weeks, although they were beaten just once in their last five competitive matches.
Legia have struggled on the road, though, and that’s why our NK Celje vs Legia Warsaw prediction is NK Celje wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis NK Celje Legia Warsaw
| NK Celje vs Legia Warsaw | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Celje wins | 2.3 | 2.2 | -4.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.6 | +2.9% |
| Legia Warsaw wins | 2.8 | 2.88 | +2.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- NK Celje is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 45.5% (2.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the NK Celje vs. Legia Warsaw game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between NK Celje and Legia Warsaw when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Conference League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
