England - League One
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by Ian John in League One Predictions
League One leaders Cardiff City host struggling Plymouth Argyle at the Cardiff City Stadium on Saturday. Both these teams suffered relegation from the Championship last season, but the Bluebirds, under Brian Barry-Murphy, have made a fabulous start to the new campaign, unbeaten in five. The Pilgrims have struggled under Tom Cleverley and have picked up just three points from their opening five matches. What will our prediction be for this match between two south-west giants?
It is fair to say Brian Barry-Murphy has had a dream start as Cardiff boss. His team has not conceded a goal in over 400 minutes of League One football, and with four wins and a draw, plus two wins in the Carabao Cup, they sit atop the table. They have won all their last five games, all without conceding a goal, including 1-0 away wins over both AFC Wimbledon and Luton in the league, followed by a 3-0 win over Cheltenham Town in midweek in the EFL Cup Second Round.
Pilgrims fans watched on as their favourites struggled in their first four league games, losing all four. Their only success came in the EFL Cup, where they beat QPR 3-2. Their last away league game saw them go down to a 3-2 loss at Lincoln, before losing 1-0 at home to Leyton Orient. However, last weekend, the Green Army landed a first win 1-0 over Blackpool moving them up to 19th, but could only draw at Swansea City in midweek, losing 5-3 on penalties in the EFL Cup.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cardiff v Plymouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.52 | 4.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.8 | 5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.35 | 5.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cardiff and Plymouth?
Our prediction for the Cardiff vs Plymouth match is: Cardiff City wins the match to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2025 between Cardiff and Plymouth in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.03% for a win of Cardiff against Plymouth with odds of 1.6 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cardiff vs Plymouth is 19.22% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Plymouth vs Cardiff with odds of 5.8 at William Hill.
Cardiff - Plymouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Cardiff Plymouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins | 56.03% | 1.6 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.46% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 1.85 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time : Cardiff/Cardiff | 26.62% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Cardiff vs Plymouth Form
Cardiff and Plymouth's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
|
20
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -9 |
Cardiff and Plymouth Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - League One
19 Aug 2025 - League One
16 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
7 Aug 2025 - League One
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - League One
19 Aug 2025 - League One
7 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - League One
19 Aug 2025 - League One
16 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - League One
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - League One
19 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2025 - League One
9 Aug 2025 - League One
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
Cardiff vs Plymouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
Players list
N. Trott
DefenderR. Kpakio
D. Lawlor
J. Bagan
W. Fish
MidfielderC. Willock
R. Colwill
C. Ashford
R. Wintle
J. Colwill
ForwardY. Salech
L. Ashby-Hammond
DefenderM. Sorinola
A. Mitchell
K. Szucs
MidfielderB. Ibrahim
A. Benarous
B. Sarpong-Wiredu
C. Watts
M. Boateng
B. Mumba
ForwardL. Tolaj
Substitutes
M. Turner
DefenderC. Chambers
P. Ng
MidfielderD. Mafico
T. Nyakuhwa
ForwardI. Davies
C. Robinson
Z. Baker
DefenderB. Galloway
J. Edwards
MidfielderC. Roberts
ForwardJ. Hatch
A. Pepple
F. Issaka
Most goals and assists
Cardiff
Plymouth
R. Colwill
(4 Goals)
O. Oseni
(3 Goals)
Cardiff - Plymouth Key Points
- Cardiff City have won all their last five games in all competitions.
- Only Blackpool (12) have conceded more goals than Plymouth (9) in League One this season.
- No team has conceded fewer than Cardiff City's one goal in League One this season.
- This fixture last season finished in a 5-0 win for Cardiff City.
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Our Cardiff vs Plymouth Prediction
Our prediction for the Cardiff City vs. Plymouth Argyle League One match is: Cardiff City wins the match to nil.
Both these relegated teams would have wanted to bounce back straight away this season. Cardiff have done precisely that to lead the league, but Plymouth have struggled, not picking up a point until last weekend's narrow win over Blackpool. The form book strongly suggests a Cardiff City win here and with their defence being so miserly, the extra value of backing them to win to nil looks a solid betting choice.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cardiff Plymouth
| Cardiff vs Plymouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins | 1.53 | 1.52 | -0.7% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.5 | +7.1% |
| Plymouth wins | 5.25 | 5 | -4.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Cardiff is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 65.8% (0.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Cardiff vs. Plymouth game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Cardiff and Plymouth? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's League One! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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