Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Two rounds into the 2025/26 Serie A season, Cagliari and Parma are still in search of opening wins. They have one point apiece ahead of their faceoff on matchday three, which will be hosted by Cagliari. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
Neither of these teams can be faulted for the slow starts. Cagliari faced Fiorentina on matchday one and did well to snatch a draw in the dying embers of the game. They couldn’t, however, pull the same on champions Napoli in the last outing, where they suffered a 1-0 loss.
The Islanders actually put up well defensively in that game, only conceding in the fifth minute of injury time. Across the last three Serie A seasons, Cagliari failed to win their opening three games.
There is a piece of history Parma will hope to avoid. The last time Cagliari won a game in the opening three, it was against them. Like Cagliari, Parma are coming here winless in their opening two matches.
They also started the season with tough encounters - against top four mainstays Juventus and Atalanta. Before heading out to the international break, Parma had to lift themselves with a late goal to secure a 1-1 draw with Atalanta.
It was an improvement from their 2-0 loss to Juventus. However, given their away form, winning once in 14 league games, they might wait longer for a win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cagliari v Parma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.2 | 3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.2 | 3.55 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cagliari and Parma?
Our prediction for the Cagliari vs Parma match is: under 2.5 goals and Cagliari to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between Cagliari and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.63% for a win of Cagliari against Parma with odds of 2.3 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cagliari vs Parma is 31.26% with odds of 3.32 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Cagliari with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
Cagliari vs Parma Form
Cagliari and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
|
16
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Cagliari and Parma Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2025 - Serie A
10 May 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Serie A
10 May 2025 - Serie A
Cagliari vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Sep 2024 - Serie A
3 Jun 2023 - Serie B
30 May 2023 - Serie B
22 Apr 2023 - Serie B
3 Dec 2022 - Serie B
Cagliari vs Parma last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
B. Radunovic
ForwardL. Pavoletti
N. Trabucchi
MidfielderJ. Ondrejka
Hernani
ForwardM. Frigan
Most goals and assists
Cagliari
Parma
S. Luperto
(1 Goals)
P. Cutrone
(1 Goals)
G. Gaetano
(1 Assists)
Cagliari - Parma Key Points
- Parma won just once in their last 14 away league games.
- Parma lost half of their last six matches in Serie A.
- Six of Parma’s last 10 league matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Cagliari’s last three league matches had under 2.5 goals netted.
- Cagliari are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Parma, winning three.
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Our Cagliari vs Parma Prediction
Our prediction for Cagliari v Parma is under 2.5 goals and Cagliari to win. Both Cagliari and Parma come into this encounter seeking the first win of the season, and they will thus be under pressure. None of the four matches the two sides have featured in has produced more than two goals.
As they have been low-scoring, we may bet on the same here, given this is a run that goes beyond their matches this season. Recent league form favors Cagliari, though, with Parma showing clear struggles on the road.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Cagliari vs. Parma game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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