Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
League leaders Arsenal head seaside to the Amex Stadium on the south coast in midweek, where Brighton & Hove Albion await them for a Matchday 29 meeting in the Premier League. The Seagulls are in 11th place in the top-flight standings, while the Gunners are top of the table after 29 games. Check out our match prediction below!
With the mid-table being as tightly compact as it is, Brighton moved up as many as three places this past weekend thanks to their victory over Forest. Fabian Hurzeler’s side are now up to 37 points, and another three in this match could take them as high as eighth place, provided results elsewhere also go in their favour.
Mikel Arteta’s men maintained their five-point buffer at the top of the standings after winning the London Derby against Chelsea on Sunday. However, they have played a game more than second-placed Man City, and have to keep churning out results until they meet the Citizens in what could be a title decider on MD33. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Brighton v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 3.9 | 1.71 |
|
|
4.98 | 3.88 | 1.68 |
|
|
4.98 | 3.88 | 1.68 |
|
|
5 | 3.8 | 1.67 |
|
|
5 | 3.8 | 1.67 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Arsenal match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2026 between Brighton and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.31% for a win of Brighton against Arsenal with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Arsenal is 38.83% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Brighton with odds of 1.75 at 888Starz.
Brighton - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 45.86% | 1.75 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 54.41% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 19.96% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Brighton vs Arsenal Form
Brighton and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 |
|
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 |
Brighton and Arsenal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
12 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Premier League
12 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Brighton vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Brighton - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion produced a massive defensive effort to secure all three points after taking a 2-1 lead inside the first quarter of an hour against Nottingham Forest at the weekend.
Having beaten Brentford on MD27, the Seagulls have now earned the maximum six points from their last two league games, as many wins as they managed in their 14 preceding EPL matches since November.
While the hosts have earned 24 points from 14 home games this season, they have been a tough team to beat at the Amex, losing only twice at this venue in the top flight to date (W6 D6 L2).
However, Brighton are winless in their last five EPL home games against this opponent (D2 L3)!
Meanwhile, Arsenal come into this midweek fixture following back-to-back victories in London Derbies in the space of a week, beating Spurs 4-1 on the road before a 2-1 win over Chelsea on Sunday.
The Gunners are now unbeaten in their last six top-flight matches and have scored two or more goals in five games during this period since losing 3-2 to Man United at the Emirates in January.
The visitors have dropped points in two of their last three away league games - against Wolves and Brentford - but they are unbeaten in seven and still have the best away record in the division (W8 D5 L2).
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Brighton against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Steele
DefenderM. De Cuyper
J. Veltman
J. Milner
M. O'Riley
Y. Ayari
H. Howell
Y. Minteh
D. Welbeck
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderR. Calafiori
M. Lewis-Skelly
M. Dowman
C. Norgaard
L. Trossard
N. Madueke
K. Havertz
G. Jesus
Missing players
A. Webster
ForwardS. Tzimas
M. Odegaard
M. Merino
Brighton & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Hurzeler heaped praise on Danny Welbeck at the weekend by saying that he is in his “best shape ever.” The 35-year-old has scored in his last two games, taking his season tally into double digits, and he will likely get the nod here ahead of Charalampos Kostoulas.
James Milner extended his all-time Premier League appearance record to 655 by starting against the Reds over the weekend. However, Carlos Baleba will likely replace him from the off here to try and cope with the Gunners’ formidable midfield.
Solly March made his long-awaited first appearance of the season on Sunday after undergoing knee surgery, meaning only Adam Webster, Stefanos Tzimas and Yasin Ayari are sidelined for the hosts this week.
Gabriel Magalhaes now holds the record for the most EPL goal contributions by an Arsenal centre-back!
The Brazilian international produced yet another towering header to set up defensive partner William Saliba for Arsenal’s opener against Chelsea. He now has 25 (20 goals, five assists) league goal contributions for the Gunners, surpassing Laurent Koscielny’s 24.
Viktor Gyokeres had a fairly quiet outing against the Blues, but he could be one to watch here, having recorded five goals and an assist in his last seven away games for his side across all competitions.
Declan Rice picked up a knock in the second half on Sunday and is a doubt, along with Ben White. If the two Englishmen are unable to recover in time, they will join Martin Odegaard and Mikel Merino in a watching brief.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Arsenal
D. Welbeck
(13 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(14 Goals)
Y. Minteh
(4 Assists)
L. Trossard
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Odegaard
(6 Assists)
Brighton - Arsenal Key Points
- Six of Brighton’s last nine home league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Brighton have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Each of Arsenal’s last four league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Arsenal have scored two or more goals in seven of their last nine away league matches in all competitions.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last three EPL games between these sides.
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Our Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction
While Brighton have struggled against this opponent in recent times, they do enter this match following back-to-back wins and have only lost two games at the Amex in the top flight all season.
The Seagulls may also benefit from Arsenal’s short turnaround from Sunday’s London Derby, where the Gunners were pushed on the backfoot in the closing stages despite having a man advantage. This is far from a straightforward fixture for the league leaders. Therefore, our Brighton vs Arsenal prediction is BTTS.
Brighton vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Brighton have only failed to score in two of their 14 Premier League home games this season, while Arsenal have netted two or more goals in seven of their last nine away league matches in all competitions.
Arsenal wins
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last six league games and have the best away record in the top flight this season, while Brighton are winless in their last five matches against this opponent.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Arsenal
| Brighton vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 5.4 | 5.2 | -3.7% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4 | +8.1% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.63 | 1.75 | +7.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.3% and is now 57.1% (-4.2%)
Brighton vs Arsenal - FAQs
The Premier League match between Brighton and Arsenal will take place on March 4 at 19:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Brighton and Arsenal will be played at the Amex Stadium in Brighton.
The Premier League match between Brighton and Arsenal will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
