Brest vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Brest
23/11/2025 11:15
Metz

Prediction :

 

Metz wins

4.2
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Metz have been in a resurgent mood and will be hoping to continue in the same way after the international break. They are traveling to Brest on Sunday, the two separated by only one point, sitting above the drop zone. We have a prediction for the match below.

Brest had their moment to reflect on their season and will be hoping to address their six-game winless run. The most recent of them was a 3-0 defeat at Marseille right before the international break.

It was also the fourth straight time that Brest failed to score. The three goals they managed in the last six outings all came in one game.

Metz will be observing Brest’s struggles with a keen eye. The visitors struggled for rhythm after their promotion, failing to win any of the opening nine matches.

However, once they discovered their way again in Ligue 1, the visitors have been almost unstoppable. Les Grenats are marching into this away fixture as favorites, strengthened by a run of three straight wins.

In six of Metz’s league matches this season they conceded three or more, but in the last three games they’ve come out as tough defensively. Stephane Le Mignan’s men have only let in one goal in their last three matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Brest v Metz Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.83 3.8 4.1
Stake
1.84 3.9 4.3
Melbet
1.8 3.76 4.3
BC Game
1.79 3.7 4.3
Tonybet
1.85 3.9 4.3
Check all Brest vs Metz odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and Metz?

Our prediction for the Brest vs Metz match is: Metz wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/11/2025 between Brest and Metz in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.55% for a win of Brest against Metz with odds of 1.85 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs Metz is 21.7% with odds of 3.9 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Brest with odds of 4.82 at 888Starz.

Brest - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:

Brest Metz Prediction Probability Odds
Brest wins 48.55% 1.85 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 69.4% 1.95 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 50.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brest 20.48% 5 at Bet365

Brest vs Metz Form

Brest and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Brest
Brest
22 17 6 4 7 -4
18
Metz
Metz
12 17 3 3 11 -20

Brest and Metz Last Matches

Brest
Brest Last matches
D D L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Lyon

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  0
Brest

25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  3
PSG

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  3
Brest

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Nantes
D L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Lyon

25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  3
PSG

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Nantes

20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
4 :  1
Nice

14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  2
Paris FC

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  3
Lille
L L W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  0
Brest

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  3
Brest

28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
0 :  2
Brest

29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  1
Brest

24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  0
Brest
Metz
Metz Last matches
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  1
Nice

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Metz

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  0
Lens

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
6 :  1
Metz

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
4 :  0
Metz

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  3
Marseille
L D D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  1
Nice

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  0
Lens

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  3
Marseille

28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Le Havre

14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  1
Angers

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Strasbourg
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
3.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Metz

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
6 :  1
Metz

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
4 :  0
Metz

21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
5 :  2
Metz

31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  2
Metz

23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Metz

Brest vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Brest

67 %

Draw

0 %

Metz

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

7 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
4 :  3
Metz

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Brest

24 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Brest

26 Sept 2021 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  2
Metz

31 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  4
Metz

29 Nov 2020 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  2
Brest

Players list

Brest
Brest
Goalkeeper

G. Coudert

Defender

K. Lala

B. Chardonnet

S. Coulibaly

D. Guindo

Midfielder

J. Chotard

H. Magnetti

K. Doumbia

R. Del Castillo

Forward

P. Mboup

L. Ajorque

Metz
Metz
Goalkeeper

J. Fischer

Defender

K. Kouao

T. Yegbe

M. Colin

Midfielder

J. Gbamin

A. Toure

J. Deminguet

J. Asoro

G. Tsitaishvili

Forward

G. Hein

C. Sabaly

Substitutes

Brest
Brest
Goalkeeper

N. Jauny

Defender

J. Bourgault

J. Le Cardinal

M. Diaz

Midfielder

H. Makalou

E. Ebimbe

L. Tousart

H. Magnetti 78'

Forward

R. Lascary

K. Doumbia 66'

M. Balde

P. Mboup 78'

Metz
Metz
Goalkeeper

O. Ba

Defender

B. Stambouli

I. Sane

J. Asoro 79'

F. Ballo-Toure

K. Kouao 67'

Midfielder

G. Abuashvili

B. Traore

J. Deminguet 68'

Forward

M. Mbaye

S. Sane

M. Bokele

G. Tsitaishvili 68'

Missing players

Brest
Brest
Goalkeeper

R. Majecki

Defender

B. Locko

Metz
Metz
Goalkeeper

P. Sy

Midfielder

U. Mboula

Forward

H. Diallo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brest
CD Huachipato Metz
Top Goalscorer
France R. Del Castillo (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France G. Hein (5 Goals)
Best assists
France L. Ajorque (5 Assists)
Best assists
France G. Hein (3 Assists)

Brest - Metz Key Points

  1. Brest are winless in their last six matches.
  2. Brest failed to score in five of their last six matches.
  3. Metz posted wins in each of their last three matches.
  4. Metz have three wins in their last five away matches at Brest.
  5. Brest won just two of their last seven home matches against Metz.
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Our Brest vs Metz Prediction

Metz are truly up from their slumber and will be hereby eyeing a fourth straight win. They’ve only won once on the road this season, but a victory away to Brest is not unthinkable for Metz. They have done well in their previous visits, and this will feel routine.

That added to their recent rise places Metz as clear favorites here. Brest will, however, not give in without a fight, as they need the points to arrest their freefall. Our prediction for Brest v Metz is that Metz wins.

Prediction :

 

Metz wins

4.2
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brest Metz

Brest vs Metz Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Brest wins 1.68 1.85 +10.1%
Draw 3.7 3.9 +5.4%
Metz wins 4.9 4.82 -1.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Brest is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 10.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 54.1% (-5.5%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Brest vs. Metz game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brest vs Metz Prediction