Brest vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Metz have been in a resurgent mood and will be hoping to continue in the same way after the international break. They are traveling to Brest on Sunday, the two separated by only one point, sitting above the drop zone. We have a prediction for the match below.
Brest had their moment to reflect on their season and will be hoping to address their six-game winless run. The most recent of them was a 3-0 defeat at Marseille right before the international break.
It was also the fourth straight time that Brest failed to score. The three goals they managed in the last six outings all came in one game.
Metz will be observing Brest’s struggles with a keen eye. The visitors struggled for rhythm after their promotion, failing to win any of the opening nine matches.
However, once they discovered their way again in Ligue 1, the visitors have been almost unstoppable. Les Grenats are marching into this away fixture as favorites, strengthened by a run of three straight wins.
In six of Metz’s league matches this season they conceded three or more, but in the last three games they’ve come out as tough defensively. Stephane Le Mignan’s men have only let in one goal in their last three matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Brest v Metz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.84 | 3.9 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.76 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.72 | 4.64 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.7 | 4.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and Metz?
Our prediction for the Brest vs Metz match is: Metz wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/11/2025 between Brest and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.55% for a win of Brest against Metz with odds of 1.85 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs Metz is 21.7% with odds of 3.9 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Brest with odds of 4.82 at 888Starz.
Brest - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brest Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 48.55% | 1.85 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.4% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brest | 20.48% | 5 at Bet365 |
Brest vs Metz Form
Brest and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Brest and Metz Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
Brest vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
26 Sept 2021 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2020 - Ligue 1
Brest against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Jauny
DefenderJ. Bourgault
J. Le Cardinal
M. Diaz
MidfielderH. Makalou
E. Ebimbe
L. Tousart
R. Lascary
M. Balde
O. Ba
DefenderB. Stambouli
S. Sane
I. Sane
F. Ballo-Toure
G. Abuashvili
B. Traore
M. Mbaye
M. Bokele
Missing players
R. Majecki
DefenderB. Locko
P. Sy
MidfielderU. Mboula
ForwardH. Diallo
Most goals and assists
Brest
Metz
R. Del Castillo
(9 Goals)
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
L. Ajorque
(9 Assists)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
Brest - Metz Key Points
- Brest are winless in their last six matches.
- Brest failed to score in five of their last six matches.
- Metz posted wins in each of their last three matches.
- Metz have three wins in their last five away matches at Brest.
- Brest won just two of their last seven home matches against Metz.
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Our Brest vs Metz Prediction
Metz are truly up from their slumber and will be hereby eyeing a fourth straight win. They’ve only won once on the road this season, but a victory away to Brest is not unthinkable for Metz. They have done well in their previous visits, and this will feel routine.
That added to their recent rise places Metz as clear favorites here. Brest will, however, not give in without a fight, as they need the points to arrest their freefall. Our prediction for Brest v Metz is that Metz wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brest Metz
| Brest vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 1.68 | 1.85 | +10.1% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.9 | +5.4% |
| Metz wins | 4.9 | 4.82 | -1.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brest is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 54.1% (-5.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
