Brentford vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Brentford have proved a difficult team to beat on home soil this season. The Bees are 13th in the Premier League and this weekend welcome 19th-placed Burnley to the Community Stadium. Read our match prediction below.
Four of their six home league games have been won this season. Brentford have claimed some big scalps too but their poor away record (five losses in six games) means that they are still in the bottom half of the table. That makes continuing their strong home form even more important.
Burnley are in the relegation zone but only a point from safety. The newly-promoted club have already lost eight league games since their return to the top flight. A long battle to avoid an immediate return to the Championship is taking place. They struggle in defence, particularly on their travels and this trip to Brentford is going to be a major test of their ability to avoid relegation.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brentford v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.5 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.36 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.3 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.6 | 6.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brentford and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Brentford vs Burnley match is: Burnley wins and more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Brentford and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.86% for a win of Brentford against Burnley with odds of 1.56 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brentford vs Burnley is 16.83% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Brentford with odds of 6.6 at Tonybet.
Brentford - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brentford Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 58.86% | 1.56 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.6% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Brentford/Brentford | 28.52% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
Brentford vs Burnley Form
Brentford and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
33 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +7 |
|
19
|
13 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -19 |
Brentford and Burnley Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
28 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
28 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
25 Nov 2025 - National League Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
20 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
20 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
31 Oct 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - National League Cup
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Oct 2025 - National League Cup
Brentford vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2024 - Premier League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
12 Mar 2022 - Premier League
30 Oct 2021 - Premier League
Brentford - Burnley: Form Analysis
Brentford are 13th in the Premier League but they are only four points adrift of fifth place. They would be closer if able to get better results on their league travels. Only three of the 16 points they have earned this season have come on the road with one win and five defeats.
Brentford have excellent home form.
It has been a different story on home soil though. Only Manchester City has been able to come away from Brentford with an away win this season. Four out of six home Premier League fixtures have been won with three goals scored by them in all but one of their four league victories.
Burnley are six points behind their opponents after the first 12 games of the new Premier League season. Like their opponents, they are far better when playing at home. The Clarets have also won one away game (at Wolves) and lost the other five.
Their six away league games have seen 18 goals conceded with at least two goals conceded in each fixture. However, they have scored nine of their own. Only Chelsea and Spurs have scored more away league goals than Burnley this season.
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Brentford against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderK. Ajer
R. Henry
E. Pinnock
MidfielderF. Onyeka
V. Janelt
Y. Yarmoliuk
R. Nelson
K. Lewis-Potter
M. Weiss
DefenderH. Ekdal
L. Pires
MidfielderL. Ugochukwu
J. Laurent
A. Broja
M. Edwards
J. Anthony
J. Bruun Larsen
Missing players
J. Da Silva
F. Carvalho
A. Milambo
C. Roberts
L. Beyer
ForwardZ. Amdouni
Brentford & Burnley Squad Analysis
Brentford suffered a major blow this month with the injury of Fabio Carvalho who was ruled out for the season after rupturing an ACL in training. The Bees now have three players who are out for the season.
Thiago will aim to make it ten league goals for the season.
They managed to get through the 2-1 loss at Brighton last weekend without adding to their injury woes. Igor Thiago has scored nine league goals this season but a late penalty miss at the Amex saw Brentford fail to salvage a point. He'll still be a major threat in this game against Burnley.
The away side have lost their last three league games, most recently a 2-0 home loss to in-form Chelsea. They need to stem the steady flow of goals that are being put past them on their travels.
They didn't pick up any fresh injuries in last weekend's eighth league loss of the season. Armando Broja came on as a sub against Chelsea and could feature more in this game against Brentford.
Most goals and assists
Brentford
Burnley
I. Thiago
(16 Goals)
J. Anthony
(5 Goals)
, 
Z. Flemming
(5 Goals)
V. Janelt
(4 Assists)
Q. Hartman
(4 Assists)
Brentford - Burnley Key Points
- Brentford have won four of their six home league games this season.
- Four of Brentford's six home league games have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Burnley's six away league games this season.
- Those six away league games have produced five defeats with 27 goals being scored.
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Our Brentford vs Burnley Prediction
Brentford will want to get some points from this game against Burnley. Their next two league games see them travel to Arsenal and Tottenham so three points this weekend would be greatly appreciated. Their home form is impressive with teams such as Newcastle, Liverpool and Manchester United being beaten.
Burnley are in the bottom three and have already conceded 24 league goals this season. 18 of those have come on their travels and that's far too many. Our main Brentford v Burnley prediction is Burnley wins and more than 2.5 goals.
Brentford vs Burnley - Other Interesting Predictions
Igor Thiago to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brentford Burnley
| Brentford vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 1.67 | 1.56 | -6.6% |
| Draw | 3.98 | 4.6 | +15.6% |
| Burnley wins | 6.1 | 6.6 | +8.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 64.1% (4.2%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Brentford vs. Burnley game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Brentford and Burnley when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Premier League!
Brentford vs Burnley - FAQs
This Premier League game between Brentford and Burnley is being played on Saturday November 29. It is due to kick-off at 15:00 UK time.
With this being a Saturday afternoon kick-off, this game is not being shown live on television in the UK. You can follow all that’s going on by visiting our Premier League livescore with updated statistics and live text commentary.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
