England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions
The Premier League is finally back after a long international break with matchday four action! Seventh-place Bournemouth look to continue their promising start to the season when they host 11th-placed Brighton at the Vitality Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Check out our prediction for this match between the Cherries and the Seagulls!
After a ninth-place finish last year, Bournemouth fans will feel bullish about their chances of pushing on and challenging for a spot in the top seven and potential European qualification. With six points from the first three games, it marks the second-best start to a season in club history.
Brighton, meanwhile, experienced a slow start to the campaign before a stunning upset victory in matchday three. With four points from three games, they’ll be looking to leapfrog their opponents and break into the top half with all three points here. It’s been happy hunting for the Albion against this opponent in recent years, which includes five wins in their last six meetings. Will they experience more of the same on Saturday?
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.4 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.5 | 2.88 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Brighton match is: Bournemouth draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between Bournemouth and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.54% for a win of Bournemouth against Brighton with odds of 2.51 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Brighton is 17.1% with odds of 3.64 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Bournemouth with odds of 2.9 at Bet365.
Bournemouth vs Brighton Form
Bournemouth and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
|
11
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Bournemouth and Brighton Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2025 - Premier League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
10 May 2025 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2023 - Premier League
4 Apr 2023 - Premier League
4 Feb 2023 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Brighton: Form Analysis
Bournemouth sent out a real statement of intent in their 1-0 away win over Tottenham before the international break. It wasn’t a case of the Cherries simply holding on for dear life, they were clearly the better team and statistically outperformed Spurs in nearly every category.
The visitors fired off 19 total shots and generated 1.59 expected goals compared to only five shots (one on target) and 0.13 expected goals from Tottenham.
Bournemouth rank as the fifth-best defensive team with only 2.90 expected goals conceded.
After a 4-2 away defeat to Liverpool to open the campaign, Bournemouth have now won their last two straight Premier League matches on the bounce.
As for Brighton, they’ll also come into this game with plenty of momentum after their dramatic 2-1 come-from-behind home victory over Manchester City two weeks ago. An 89th minute goal by Brajan Gruda sealed their second straight home win over the Citizens.
They opened the season with a 1-1 home draw with Fulham before a 2-0 away loss to Everton in matchday two.
A 6-0 rout of Oxford in the EFL Cup third round means that Brighton have now won their last two matches in a row across all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Bournemouth vs Brighton last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Smith
MidfielderL. Cook
ForwardE. Unal
L. Sinisterra
A. Webster
MidfielderS. March
M. Wieffer
Bournemouth & Brighton Squad Analysis
Despite seeing their star defensive players snapped up by Europe’s elite in the summer window, Bournemouth have been able to cope well. They brought in Bafode Diakite from Lille in a big money move, the club’s second biggest ever transfer fee paid (€35 million), along with Adrien Truffert from Rennes.
Center back Marcos Senesi is set to play a starring role in the Cherries defense this season and was instrumental in both attack and defense in the 1-0 win over Tottenham. The 28-year-old assisted Evanilson on the opening goal, completed 17 passes into the final third, won 5/5 ground duels, made four interceptions and provided eight clearances.
Marcos Sensei put in a man-of-the-match performance against Spurs.
Manager Andoni Iraola will be unable to call upon Adam Smith, Lewis Cook and Enas Unal ahead of Saturday’s match.
39-years-young James Milner kept his cool from the spot to score the first goal in Brighton’s 2-1 win over his former club. It also marked his first goal for the Seagulls since joining in June of 2023.
After coming off the bench to score the winner, German midfielder Brajan Gruda will be pushing for a spot in the starting 11. He should be supported by Kaoru Mitoma and Yankuba Minteh on the wings with Danny Welbeck leading the line once again.
Manager Fabian Hurzeler will be without Mats Wieffer, Adam Webster and Solly March.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Brighton
A. Semenyo
(2 Goals)
S. Tzimas
(2 Goals)
, 
B. Gruda
(2 Goals)
D. Brooks
(1 Assists)
, 
H. Traore
(1 Assists)
,
A. Semenyo
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Senesi
(1 Assists)
K. Mitoma
(1 Assists)
Bournemouth - Brighton Key Points
- Bournemouth have kept back-to-back clean sheets and allowed zero clear cut chances in their last two league games.
- Brighton have allowed six clear cut chances in their first three league matches and have conceded four goals.
- Bournemouth have won their last two games in the Premier League.
- The hosts have lost only once in their last five home league matches dating back to last season (3W, 1D).
- Brighton have lost three of their last five away matches dating back to last season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction
This should be a fascinating matchup as both teams come into this game after excellent results before the international break. The oddsmakers have this one as close to a coinflip, but we give a slightly bigger edge in favor of the home team here.
Iraola has his side playing phenomenally on the defensive end and they’ll be a tough team to break down at the Vitality Stadium. While Brighton have dominated this fixture in recent years, Bournemouth look set to buck that trend on Saturday. Our Bournemouth vs Brighton prediction: Bournemouth draw no bet.Bournemouth vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bournemouth vs. Brighton game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Bournemouth and Brighton? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
