Tip Bosnia & Herzegovina - Italy
Italy have already won the group and clinched qualification for the Euro 2020 finals. They travel to fourth placed Bosnia and Herzegovina who still have an outside chance of gaining automatic qualification. The Bosnians are on ten points and five behind second placed Finland. Two wins from their final couple of games are required to give them any chance of a top two finish. The problem is that Finland have Liechetenstein at home this week and are heavy favourites to win that game. Bosnia's problems in this group stem from their away record with not a single point earned in four matches. It's a different story at home with three wins and a draw with 13 goals scored. They recently put five past Finland and have scored nine goals in their last two home matches. Five out of six have been won at home with no losses in their last nine home European Championship qualifiers.
The Italians have won all eight of their games in this group and have a nine point lead over Finland. They have gone 38 European Championship qualifiers without defeat but that record looks at stake here. Italy have chosen an experimental side with plenty of youngesters being included. They've won the group and made sure they don't miss out on another finals, so it's time to give some inexperienced players a game. 15 of 29 players named for this game have less than 10 international caps. Bosnia still have something to fight for, though they will be in the play-offs thanks to the Nations League. Go for a home win against an experimental Italian side.
Key points Bosnia & Herzegovina - Italy
Bosnia and Herzegovina have won five of their last six game at home.
Bosnia and Herzegovina have scored at least twice in their last five home games.
The only previous visit to Bosnia and Herzegovina saw Italy lose 2-1.
Italy have already won the group, they have made plenty of changes and will field an experimental line-up.
Conclusion Bosnia & Herzegovina - Italy
What could Bosnia and Herzegovina achieve if they could play well in away games? They can't at present but home form is impressive with lots of goals being scored. All they can do is try to win their last two matches and hope the sides above them falter. Italy are playing a weakened line-up, so go for a Bosnian win in this game.
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Bosnia & Herzegovina Italy Prediction published on November 12, 2019