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Belgium W vs Italy W Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's Euro

Europe - Women's Euro

Belgium W
03/07/2025 12:00
Italy W

Prediction :

 

Belgium W wins the match

 
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 by Ian John | in Women's Euro Predictions

Group B of Euro 2025 in Switzerland starts with an exciting match between Belgium Women and Italy Women at the Stade de Tourbillon in Sion. Will the Belgian Red Flames, managed by Elisabet Gunnarsdottir, get the better of Andrea Soncin's Le Azzure? Or do the bookmakers have their predictions right having Italy as the clear favourites to win the game? 

It is clearly an important game for both teams, especially given that Group B also includes World Champions Spain and an improving Portugal. Italy topped Group A1 in qualifying, ahead of the Netherlands on goal difference, to qualify automatically. Belgium though finished third in Group A2, winning just one game, but they then qualified via the playoffs beating Greece 5-0 on aggregate and then Ukraine 4-1 on aggregate to claim a place at this summer's finals.

Since then, the form for both teams has been somewhat contrasting. Belgium have won five and lost five of their last ten, but that doesn't tell the whole story. Their last three defeats have seen them concede five goals in each game (5-0 v England, 5-1 v Spain, 5-0 v France), but they have also produced some fine performances including wins over England (3-2), Portugal (3-0) and most recently a 2-0 win over Greece in their final warm up game. 

Italy's form is more consistent with two wins and a draw in their last three; a 3-0 home win over Denmark, followed by a 0-0 draw in Sweden and then a 4-1 win away to Wales.

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The Best Betting Odds for Belgium W v Italy W Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.5 4.33 1.53
Betfred
5.5 4 1.53
William Hill
5.5 4 1.53
Betway
4.75 4.2 1.53
Unibet
6 4.1 1.53
Check all Belgium W vs Italy W odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Belgium W and Italy W?

Our prediction for the Belgium W vs Italy W match is: Belgium Women wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/07/2025 between Belgium W and Italy W in Women's Euro :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.65% for a win of Belgium W against Italy W with odds of 6 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belgium W vs Italy W is 16.68% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy W vs Belgium W with odds of 1.6 at 22bet.

Belgium W - Italy W Prediction and Best Odds:

Belgium W Italy W Prediction Probability Odds
Italy W wins 41.66% 1.6 at 22bet
Over 2.5 goals 56.91% 1.95 at Stake
Both Team To Score 39.58% 1.8 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Belgium W 19.31% 14 at Betfair

Belgium W vs Italy W Form

Belgium W and Italy W's standings in the Women's Euro

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Italy W
Italy W
4 3 1 1 1 -1
3
Belgium W
Belgium W
3 3 1 0 2 -4

Belgium W and Italy W Last Matches

Belgium W
Belgium W Last matches
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Jun 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Belgium W
2 :  0
Greece

20 Jun 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

France W
5 :  0
Belgium W

3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League

Portugal W
0 :  3
Belgium W

30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League

Belgium W
1 :  5
Spain W

8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League

Belgium W
3 :  2
England W

4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League

England W
5 :  0
Belgium W
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Jun 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Belgium W
2 :  0
Greece

30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League

Belgium W
1 :  5
Spain W

8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League

Belgium W
3 :  2
England W

26 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League

Belgium W
0 :  1
Portugal W

3 Dec 2024 - Women's Euro

Belgium W
2 :  1
Ukraine

29 Oct 2024 - Women's Euro

Belgium W
5 :  0
Greece
D W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Jun 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

France W
5 :  0
Belgium W

3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League

Portugal W
0 :  3
Belgium W

4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League

England W
5 :  0
Belgium W

21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League

Spain W
3 :  2
Belgium W

29 Nov 2024 - Women's Euro

Ukraine
0 :  2
Belgium W

25 Oct 2024 - Women's Euro

Greece
0 :  0
Belgium W
Italy W
Italy W Last matches
W L L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League

Wales W
1 :  4
Italy W

30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League

Italy W
0 :  0
Sweden W

8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League

Denmark W
0 :  3
Italy W

4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League

Sweden W
3 :  2
Italy W

25 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League

Italy W
1 :  3
Denmark W

21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League

Italy W
1 :  0
Wales W
W W D W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League

Italy W
0 :  0
Sweden W

25 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League

Italy W
1 :  3
Denmark W

21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League

Italy W
1 :  0
Wales W

29 Oct 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Italy W
1 :  1
Spain W

25 Oct 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Italy W
5 :  0
Malta W

16 Jul 2024 - Women's Euro

Italy W
4 :  0
Finland W
D D W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League

Wales W
1 :  4
Italy W

8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League

Denmark W
0 :  3
Italy W

4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League

Sweden W
3 :  2
Italy W

2 Dec 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women

Germany W
1 :  2
Italy W

12 Jul 2024 - Women's Euro

Netherlands W
0 :  0
Italy W

31 May 2024 - Women's Euro

Norway W
0 :  0
Italy W

Belgium W vs Italy W Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

18 Jul 2022 - Women's Euro

Italy W
0 :  1
Belgium W
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Belgium W against Italy W Lineups: Starting 11

Belgium W

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

21
L. Lichtfus
17
J. Janssens
4
A. Tysiak
19
S. Kees
11
J. Cayman
22
L. Deloose
15
M. Toloba
10
J. Van Haevermaet
8
J. Teulings
7
H. Eurlings
9
T. Wullaert
10
C. Girelli
18
A. Caruso
17
L. Boattin
8
E. Severini
6
M. Giugliano
7
S. Cantore
3
L. Di Guglielmo
5
E. Linari
23
C. Salvai
19
M. Lenzini
1
L. Giuliani

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Italy W

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Belgium W
CD Huachipato Italy W
Top Goalscorer
Belgium J. Van Haevermaet (1 Goals)
Belgium H. Eurlings (1 Goals)
Belgium T. Wullaert (1 Goals)
Belgium J. Cayman (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy C. Girelli (3 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium T. Wullaert (2 Assists)
Best assists
Italy S. Cantore (3 Assists)

Belgium W - Italy W Key Points

  1. Italy have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches (scoring 10, conceding seven).
  2. Belgium have won five of their last ten games, scoring 18 goals in those games, conceding four.
  3. The teams have met five times since 2017, Belgium winning four (scoring 10) and Italy one (scoring five).
  4. Belgium have won all the last three matches between the two teams, including a 1-0 win in the last Euros.
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Our Belgium W vs Italy W Prediction

Our prediction for the Belgium Women vs. Italy Women Euro 2025 Group Stage match is: Belgium Women wins the match.

This is an intriguing game between two well-matched teams. Itally are by far the more consistent of the two, which is why they are favourites, but Belgium fans know their team is either feast or famine, with outstanding wins alongside heavy defeats in recent times. However, Belgium have a fantastic record against Italy in recent times and given their lengthy odds alongside that record, backing them to win is a great value bet here.

Prediction :

 

Belgium W wins the match

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Belgium W Italy W

Belgium W vs Italy W Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Belgium W wins 4.2 5.5 +31.0%
Draw 3.6 4.33 +20.3%
Italy W wins 1.83 1.53 -16.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Italy W is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 65.4% (10.7%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Belgium W vs. Italy W game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Belgium W and Italy W? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Women's Euro! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Belgium W vs Italy W Prediction
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