Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bundesliga runaway leaders Bayern Munich could take another step closer to the title when they host Union Berlin on matchday 27. This match on Saturday between the first-placed Bavarians and the ninth-placed ‘Iron Ones’ comes with our prediction of a home win and BTTS.
Ahead of this round, Bayern’s 67 points (W21, D4, L1) give them a nine-point cushion over Borussia Dortmund. Union’s 31 points (W8, D7, L11) see them start 14 points behind sixth and seven points above the relegation zone.
After cruising into the Champions League quarters with a 4-1 home win over Atalanta, Bayern will look to get into the international break on a high. They won eight of their last nine competitive games (D1) and have the confidence of doing the same.
They did drop points in a 2-2 away draw at Leverkusen in the league last weekend, but 11 wins out of 13 home matches this season (D1, L1) give them confidence of an immediate bounce-back.
Union won 1-0 away at Freiburg to build a buffer with the relegation zone. However, five defeats in the last eight league matches (W2, D1) are still not convincing enough to guarantee safety.
Their away form needs to change, as the ‘Iron Ones’ lost three of their last four away league trips and haven’t won consecutive away games this season.
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Bayern Munich v Union Berlin Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.16 | 9.6 | 17 |
|
|
1.13 | 9.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.13 | 9.4 | 15 |
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1.14 | 9 | 13 |
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1.15 | 8.4 | 14 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin match is: Bayern Munich wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2026 between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.86% for a win of Bayern Munich against Union Berlin with odds of 1.19 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin is 19.36% with odds of 10.1 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich with odds of 17.5 at 888Starz.
Bayern Munich - Union Berlin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich Union Berlin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 67.86% | 1.19 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.19% | |
| Both Team To Score | 76.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 42.22% | 1.52 at LSbet |
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin Form
Bayern Munich and Union Berlin's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
89 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 |
|
11
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 |
Bayern Munich and Union Berlin Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich against Union Berlin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
L. Prescott
DefenderH. Ito
D. Ofli
F. Pavic
R. Guerreiro
E. Osmani
T. Bischof
G. Della Rovere
M. Cardozo
T. Rothe
D. Leite
J. Juranovic
J. Woo-yeong
A. Kral
A. Ilic
I. Ansah
O. Burke
Missing players
M. Neuer
S. Ulreich
L. Klanac
J. Bartl
DefenderJ. Tah
A. Davies
C. Kiala
MidfielderJ. Musiala
D. Daiber
ForwardL. Diaz
N. Jackson
W. Mike
M. Raab
MidfielderA. Schafer
ForwardR. Skov
D. Preu
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
H. Kane
(36 Goals)
O. Burke
(6 Goals)
M. Olise
(20 Assists)
A. Ilic
(8 Assists)
Bayern Munich - Union Berlin Key Points
- Bayern’s last six competitive matches saw both teams score goals.
- Ten of Bayern’s last 11 Bundesliga matches saw both teams score, seven ending in wins.
- Bayern’s last eight Bundesliga home matches produced BTTS, with six resulting in their wins.
- Union lost five of their last eight Bundesliga matches.
- Union scored in eight of their last nine away league games.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin Prediction
Union held Bayern to a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture, but expecting a similar result this time around could be a bit of a stretch. Union have lost three of their last four away league games, while Bayern have 11 wins from their 13 home Bundesliga matches this season. The visitors can hope to pull things back with a goal, though, as they scored in eight of their last nine away Bundesliga matches. Bayern, too, have been consistently leaking goals.
The last three head-to-head matches produced BTTS, and our Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin prediction is Bayern Munich wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayern Munich Union Berlin
| Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.19 | 1.19 | 0% |
| Draw | 7.3 | 10.1 | +38.4% |
| Union Berlin wins | 14.5 | 17.5 | +20.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.0% and is now 84.0% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
