Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayern Munich will look to put their European disappointment behind as they look to pile more misery on St Pauli in a matchday 12 fixture of the Bundesliga campaign. This match on Saturday between the league-leading Bavarians and the 16th-placed Kiezkicker comes with our prediction of Bayern -2 European Handicap.
With 31 points (W10, D1), Bayern start this round six points clear of Leipzig. St Pauli’s seven points (W2, D1, L8) see them start this round in the relegation play-off spot, one point adrift of the safety zone.
Bayern lost 3-1 away at Arsenal in the midweek Champions League match for their first competitive loss this season. Coupled with a 2-2 away draw at Union on matchday ten of the Bundesliga, they have now failed to win in two of the recent three.
That could change here, as Bayern have won all eight competitive fixtures here this season, scoring 33 and conceding only four.
St Pauli lost 1-0 at home to Union Berlin last matchday for a club-record eighth defeat in a row. The positives of starting the season with seven points from three games now look like ages ago as the visitors struggle to get out of the relegation zone.
The problems are piling up on the road, where St Pauli failed to score in three and lost their four recent league trips.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v St. Pauli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.1 | 10 | 21 |
|
|
1.13 | 10 | 21 |
|
|
1.09 | 10 | 27 |
|
|
1.1 | 9.4 | 20 |
|
|
1.13 | 10 | 22 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli match is: Bayern Munich -2 European Handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Bayern Munich and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 80.6% for a win of Bayern Munich against St. Pauli with odds of 1.14 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli is 11.45% with odds of 10 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 7.94% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich with odds of 27 at Melbet.
Bayern Munich - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 80.6% | 1.14 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.97% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 55.44% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli Form
Bayern Munich and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
47 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | +53 |
|
17
|
12 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -14 |
Bayern Munich and St. Pauli Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
Players list
M. Neuer
DefenderJ. Tah
K. Min-jae
J. Kimmich
R. Guerreiro
MidfielderK. Laimer
T. Bischof
A. Pavlovic
L. Karl
ForwardL. Diaz
H. Kane
N. Vasilj
DefenderH. Wahl
E. Smith
K. Mets
L. Ritzka
MidfielderA. Pyrka
J. Sands
J. Fujita
J. Irvine
M. Pereira Lage
ForwardA. Hountondji
Substitutes
J. Urbig
DefenderC. Kiala
H. Ito
J. Stanisic
S. Boey
MidfielderL. Goretzka
M. Olise
S. Gnabry
N. Jackson
B. Voll
DefenderM. Saliakas
A. Dzwigala
MidfielderC. Metcalfe
L. Oppie
R. Jade-Jones
ForwardD. Sinani
A. Ceesay
M. Kaars
Missing players
J. Musiala
D. Nemeth
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
St. Pauli
H. Kane
(20 Goals)
M. Olise
(10 Assists)
J. Fujita
(3 Assists)
Bayern Munich - St. Pauli Key Points
- Bayern won ten of their 11 league games this season.
- Eight of Bayern’s ten wins in this Bundesliga campaign came by at least a three-goal margin.
- Bayern won all six home league games this season, five by a margin of 3+ goals.
- St. Pauli lost eight consecutive league games.
- St. Pauli lost their four recent away league matches.
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Our Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli Prediction
St Pauli’s season has gone from bad to worse as they have now lost a club-record eight Bundesliga games in a row. Five of those last six games saw them fail to score, so any hopes of stretching the runaway leaders look like a far-fetched option. Bayern have an incentive to get back to winning ways after getting thumped in the midweek Champions League fixture.
The runaway league leaders have been in great scoring form this season, and that could be their ticket to revival. Our Bayern Munich vs St Pauli prediction is Bayern Munich -2 European Handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayern Munich St. Pauli
| Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.11 | 1.14 | +2.7% |
| Draw | 12.7 | 10 | -21.3% |
| St. Pauli wins | 27 | 27 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 90.1% and is now 87.7% (-2.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bayern Munich vs. St. Pauli game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
